Friday, October 10, 2008

The Weekend Polls

Lets have a look at the Polls folks, the state of the 08 Presidential Race:

Gallup: Reports that Obama has a 10% lead over McCain. This is good for Obama, if one takes in to consideration that African - American candidates poll better than the vote, around the 4% to 6% margin it can be argued that Obama is around 4% - 5% ahead of McCain. The poll finds the following, Obama 51% - McCain 41%. The economic 9/11 is hurting McCain, if Obama keeps the election agenda on the economy he wins, its that simple. As stated it will be a close race and Obama should win a by a few points. The time for War Heroes is over, like in 2004 when Kerry lost to Bush the American people will elect someone who does better on the old TV.


Rasmussen
: Reports that Obama has a 5% lead over McCain. Although stated above that African - American candidates poll better than the vote, other polls suggest that Obama is leading outside the margin of error. Thus this poll would be seen in that context of a Obama lead of around 4% - 5%. The poll finds the following, Obama 50% - McCain 45%. Senator Obama should start to think about his transition team, he needs to hit the ground running, avoid the mistakes of the first Clinton term. He needs to think about his Secretary of State and Treasury, he will have two wars on his hands and this economic mess to deal with in 2009.


Reuters/Zogby
: Also reports that Obama has a 5% lead over McCain. There are no polls that have McCain leading. This poll finds the following, Obama 48% - McCain 43%. One of the first things Obama will have to do after the election is find way to get the USA out of Iraq, the USA economy is in a mess, a Global Power can cope with one War at time, thus Iraq will have to stand on its own legs. The last time I looked Obama was keeping to his 16 months plan, it could be argued that 6 to 7 months should give Iraq enough time to stand on its own. Times changes the outlook. Thus the Obama Camp look forward to the White House being their next stop. The Ayers attack by McCain seems not to have had any effect, they might as well try Pastor Wright, but due to the the economic 9/11 I thinks its over for McCain.

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