Saturday, October 18, 2008

New Gallup Poll

Gallup: Has a new Poll, as before Gallup has three different versions of the Poll, one of Registered voters, Likely Voters1, this version is their traditional LV, those that have will vote and have voted in the past. LV2, this version if for new young voters and those from ethnic backgrounds that do not on the whole vote.


Gallup LV1: This version of the Poll has a very close race, Obama 49% - McCain 47%. As Gallup points out this has been running for the past three days, the tax attack against Obama by McCain might just be working. Also LV2 also shows a narrow race, this shows that the race is a four point difference, here the polls finds the following, Obama 50% - McCain 46%. It would be interesting to see if this poll narrows even more or expands to favour Obama. That's the problem Obama will find over the next seventeen days, the media, lets cut the crap has this race over. Thus if you keep telling people that Obama is going to win, the voters will start to look at Obama. If McCain can make Obama look like another Walter Mondale his big win might turn out to be a very narrow win. It would be ironic if Obama was to win the Presidency through the Electoral College but to lose the popular vote. Obama could be the George W. Bush of 2000.

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