I predict that Senator Hillary Clinton will win Nevada, only one poll has had Obama ahead in the state, the RCP Average of Polls has Clinton ahead by 3.7%. Has it is hard to poll a Caucus, it would be risky to predict the point spread, the difference between Clinton and Obama, it is all down to who turns up and how many and if Union support is effective for Obama. I think is safe to predict that that Clinton will win by 4 % to 7 % over Obama.
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