Thursday, April 17, 2014

The Geneva Deal on the Ukraine - Ukraine Latest


Lets Get Real:
IF the pro Russian protesters leave the taken building then we will know that Russia was behind the WHOLE business, on the other hand this could be a Russian faint to fool the West with the PR of a deal but tell its supporters to keep hold of the captured buildings.   Lets see if Moscow's word can be trusted, so far they have shown that their word can not be trusted.  Why would they back down, they can not be afraid of Obama, are the economic sanctions working, do Putin's rich friends fear tougher sanctions from the US and the EU, the Easter Weekend will tell, can the Russian Bear be trusted. 

Geneva Deal on Ukraine - Ukraine Latest


Lets Get Real:

Talk is CHEAP, lets see what actions the Russians take, do they get their men the hell out of East Ukraine, do the cease supporting native Russian speakers, do they keep their nose OUT of the affairs of the Ukraine.  There is always a BUT with the Russians, lets see what the others in the TALKS say about the meeting, the Russian bear always tries its lucky to far, that why it needs sometimes a slap on its nose.   This could be easy talk before an invasion, as Reagan said, Trust but Verify. 

Tuesday, April 15, 2014

The Oval Office and the Ukraine - Ukraine Crisis Latest


Lets Get Real: 

At least the Oval Office is backing Kiev through words, even if its doing bugger all else, no arms, no intelligence,  just some basic food rations, that really going to help against the Russian army!  If Russia is going to ACT it will ACT NOW, its has a reason from its point of view, also Russian TV is pushing the Kremlin line, so what is the prediction of this blog, it is risky to make predictions in this game, but it can be postulated that Russian might move tonight or tomorrow, if it sees that its gains in East Ukraine could be lost, on other hand does Putin really want a short War with the Ukraine, this is not Georgia, it could get very bloody.  Thus out of 10, this blog is betting 6.5 of some kind of action by Russia. 

Is Ukraine heading for Civil War ? - Ukraine Crisis Latest


Lets Get Real:

If the Russians are going to invade the East Ukraine the above is a good reason as any, its the kind of incident that Russian TV will use to convince the Russian people that Kiev is under fascist control, echoes of World War 2 will be used, one should watch Russian TV and press just to see alternative world view, its nuts but its the one the Russian people are being fed, Putin has removed free press from Russia.   The Kremlin knows that the Russian people do not want the USSR back, they want the Tsarist Empire back, and that includes the Ukraine, thus if your in the Baltic States you have to be worried, in Poland one can see great FEAR developing, lets hope NATO would defend these Countries, the question is do you TRUST President Obama. 

Ukraine TAKES ON Pro Russian protesters in East Ukraine - Ukraine Crisis Latest


Lets Get Real: 

About time that THE Kiev Government got off its backside and did something about these Russian inspired attacks in the East of the Ukraine, you never give way to a bully he just comes back for more, the common held view is that Kiev did not ACT because it did not want to give Moscow a reason to attack, that was a mistake, the Russian Bear can smell weakness and goes fore more honey, sometimes it needs a firm slap on its nose and its claws pushed back, Moscow might not like Kiev taking action, but it will respect some response, it might have 2nd thoughts about attacking East Ukraine, lets recall the East is majority Ukrainian, the native Russians are a minority, lets hope Kiev follows through, its tanks should not be stopped by single cars, if people will not move then roll over the cars, give the people a chance to get out, but follow through, always follow through with an action. 

Friday, April 11, 2014

Banning an alleged Hostage Taker - US Blocks Iran Choice for UN


Lets Get Real:

One has to wonder what Iran is playing at, one could postulate that they want to sabotage the talks between the US and Iran, there have been reports that conservative elements in Iran have told the new President that he better get a deal or he is out, if Iran's President thinks he will not get a good deal he might be using the hostage card as way to say he tried but that the US was never interested in real talks.  Of course it could be conservative elements in Iran that picked this choice, knowing that it would have this effect.  The Oval Office must know it can not fight to many battles, it is low in the polls, it needs to keep some appeal to the floating voter and moderate Republicans, they would not be happy if Obama allowed an alleged former hostage taker to become Iran's Ambassador to the UN.   

Kathleen Sebelius OUT as Health Secretary - 2nd Term Blues


Lets Get Real: 

This might be a short term victory for the White House, Secretary Sebelius has been the public face of ObamaCare, thus the Republican attacks have been centred on her and her Department, with the White House spin on those that have signed up for ObamaCare the actual problems could came later, how many of those signed up have paid the first month's insurance, how many had insurance before ObamaCare, does the new law get the millions who had no cover some health cover at last, sooner or later the Obama Administration will have to answer those questions, then if the news is negative the Republican Party will move its critical comment to Obama, while Sebelius was Secretary she took the majority of the political hits, now its the turn of the Oval Office.   The question was the Secretary pushed or did she decide to go after some good news, the memoirs of those that took part IN ObamaCare will be very interesting to historians.