Tuesday, November 13, 2018

The DUP and the UK - EU Deal - Brexit Update 4 - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

The next few hours and days could be crucial for the PM, if the numbers in the House of Commons does not look good then PM May might find that she is forced out of office.   The PM has to sell the deal to the Cabinet, the House of Commons and the Country, the deal has to look like we are leaving the EU not become its colony, this decision could break the Conservative Party.   The Cabinet should have a hard look over the issue over night, do they support the PM or break her, that is the choice.   This is the biggest political decision since World War 2, it has to be gotten right. 

The Reaction to the UK - EU Deal Part 2 - Brexit Update 3 - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

It will be interesting to see what the reaction is from the right wing press, such as the Daily Mail and the The Sun to the Brexit deal, if they support it then some Brexit MPs will follow their lead, on the other hand if they say NO, it could be time for the moving men to start taking Mrs May stuff out of No 10.   One hopes that the PM is better at one to one talks than she is at giving speeches, needs to be very good to get the Cabinet support her and for there to be no resignations or a limited amount.  Interesting few hours ahead for the PM and the Country. 

The Reaction to the UK - EU Deal - Brexit Update 2 - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

As noted in previous post the reaction to the agreed deal is not good, can the PM keep her Cabinet together, will the hard brexit supporters in the Cabinet support the deal, and will they sell it to Conservative MPs. The PM will face problems should many Cabinet Ministers resign. It will be interesting to see how Labour MPs react to the deal, will they support the Government when it comes to a vote or will they obey the Party line to oppose the deal. One can expect the papers tomorrow to be full of review and predictions. The Conservative Chief will have COUNT the votes and place pressure on MPs, AT the moment the Whip does not have a great job.

UK - EU Deal Agreed - Brexit Update - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

Thus a finally an agreement has been agreed by the UK and the EU.   The reaction thus far has not been good, the hard brexit supporters say they will oppose, the same for Labour.   The details of the agreement have not come out, thus as stated this blog will not make a comment in till the full draft is OUT, it should leak overnight.    As stated this blog wants to see the UK out of the EU in March 2019, out of the customs union and the single market, the ECJ should no longer have power over UK Courts.  The Houses of Parliament should be sovereign again, the UK should not be tied to the EU for more than is needed.   Northern Ireland should not be seen as different than other parts of the UK.   

Monday, November 12, 2018

How much time is left for a Brexit Deal - Brexit Update 4 - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

You take your pick with the newspapers, the right wing Daily Mail says there is a deal, while the left wing Guardian says time is running out.   The hard remainers and hard brexit supporters are taking their sides and dishing the other.   Will the UK Cabinet face a deal tomorrow, it could happen, everything seems to be up in the air.  The will of the UK voters must be followed through, the UK voted to leave the EU, not to become its colony!!

Is there a Brexit Deal ? - Brexit Update 3 - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

Is the UK PM playing a good hand of poker or is she playing about looking for a solution.   The EU is saying one thing, while the UK Government says there is no deal.   The PM will need to get Cabinet approval before going to the House of Commons, she will need a campaign to sell the deal.  It could be argued that the PM should wait in till January and then push MPs to accept any deal.   Well there be more Cabinet resignations, it could happen, also at Minister of State level.    The pro remainers are playing up the divisions within the Conservative Party, while Labour is also divided.  Interesting few hours and days ahead. 

Brexit Update 2 - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

When you start talking about Cabinet Ministers and their consciences you know you are in trouble.  The PM has to get her Chief Whip out in the House of Commons tea rooms to place the fear of God in to hard remainers and hard brexit supporters.   The Chief Whip should also be on the phone to the local Chairman of the MPs seats, make them place pressure on their MP, remind them that they need to be re-selected.   This will be the biggest political battle of the 21st Century.   It hard to see the outcome.   The PM has to be firm with the EU, give a good enough deal or they could be dealing with Boris Johnson in Number 10 Downing Street.