The Polls

Folks lets have a look at look at the polls.

The New Republic: Great Article on how pollsters view themselves and others in the business. Have to be honest this article made me laugh, they so seem to act like old irritated old women in some respects. I guess it shows they are human, but some need a hobby. Read of the Day.

WSJ: Michael Barone writes the following, " But political polls are imperfect instruments. Reading them right is less a science than an art. We can trust the polls, with qualifications. " After New Hampshire and the bad polling of 2000 and 2004, it is wise to suspect polls till we get some real votes and even then it is a matter of time, it seems that Democrats and Republicans vote at different times, thus depending on the time you might get a false impression, Kerry was winning early in 2004 but then the Republican vote came in for Bush. Lets hope we don't get another 2000 or a Bradley Effect. A new Zogby Poll has Obama leading by nine percent, Obama 51.6% - McCain 42%. Again those not sure at 6.4%, interesting folks very interesting.

A Close 08 Race ?

IBD/TIPP: Reports that their tracking poll has the race a lot closer that most polls. The poll finds the following, Obama 46% - McCain 42%. The four percent lead is lower than my estimate for the final result, Obama 53% - McCain 47%. As Obama is seen as the winner by the Elite Media, there is more of a reason for the voter to look at the Obama plan for USA. Thus it will be interesting to see on election if there is a Bradley Effect, African - American Politicians polling better than actual votes. But if one looks at the margin of the Obama lead from 1% to over 10% it can be argued that Obama will be the next President Elect, it will be his choice if he wants to be Jimmy Carter mark 11 or Ronald Reagan. The not sure at 12% is very interesting, not sure or not wanting to tell the pollster they are voting for McCain.

AP: Also reports a very close race, Obama 44% - McCain 43%. If Obama Campaign would not lose sleep over these two polls, its going to be Obama, us of the conservative view point will have to wait for another Ronald Reagan. Lets recall when there have been a Democratic President and Congress, Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton, they mess it up sooner or later, thus after two years of an Obama Administration the Republicans can take Congress again and then the Presidency two years later, Obama is good but he is no Bill Clinton or Ronald Reagan.

War Crimes of Russia

The Times: Reports on a new film; A Woman in Berlin; that looks at Russian War Crimes in Germany after the defeat of Germany in World War Two. The film looks at the rape of German women by Russian Soldiers. The War Crimes of Germany in the Russia during World War Two are beyond human understanding, the death toll in the millions. Thus when Germany was defeated the Russian soldier had years of losses and bitter rage towards the Germans. The point is a War Crime does not justify another War Crime. The rape of countless German woman should not have happened, people are people good and bad, the old USSR was evil so was Nazi Germany, the World is better off that these two systems no longer exist, in their time they killed millions, Stalin and Hitler different side of the same coin. The new Russia should look to show that it has honour to help with financial aid those women that suffered at the hands of out of control soldiers. Ronald Reagan was right when he called the Soviet Union an Evil Empire, a BBC series a few years ago called the War between the old USSR and Nazi Germany the War of the Century. The World would have been better off if the the Red Army of the USSR and the German Army of Nazi Germany had been thrown to oblivion, a few million people could have been saved.

Shrum on the Polls

This Week: Bob Shrum argues in this article that the Democrats will win this time around, and that it will be the Republicans who will have the bad election night. This is the same Mr Shrum that has lost more Presidential Campaigns than I have had healthy dinners, I don't do healthy dinners!! Mr Shrum says your going to win Obama Campaign, get those volunteer's out now, have them work day and night, no weekend off. Obama will win, but there is a difference from a narrow win and a big win.

Lets Vote Reagan

BBC: Is running a Favourite President vote. Lets win one for the Gipper, Vote for Ronald Reagan as your favourite President. Click Here.

Somme Mud by E.P.F. Lynch ( Edited by Will Davies )

Have started to read Somme Mud, The Experiences of an Infantryman in France 1916 - 1919. Quick Review, Interesting Read, but it should be noted that the language used by Lynch is beyond the racial pale when discussing race. But it should also be noted that it was written by a man from the start of the last Century and who fought in the Battle of Somme. The views of today and the correct rejection of racist views by today's generation does not take away the story of Lynch and his fellow soldiers in the Trenches of World War One.

The Character Issue ?

Fox News: Reports that Senator Obama is taking a few days off the Campaign trail to visit his ill grandmother. This shows real character by Obama, in a fight for the Presidency taking hours or days off is a risk of losing that voter, but Obama is showing real character, hat off to you Sir.