More UK Troops to Eastern Europe - Ukraine Crisis - New Cold War 2/WW3

BBC News: Reports " The UK is considering offering to double its number of troops deployed in Eastern Europe, as ministers weigh up options to increase pressure on Russia amid heightened tensions over Ukraine.  "

Lets Get Real:

The ONLY thing that Putin understands is FORCE and the presence of POWER, if the US and the UK want to make sure that Putin does not invade the Ukraine, then the US and UK have to accept the FACT that they need to place heavy troops in the Ukraine, learn from Munich 1938 AND Poland 1939.  Putin is a common thug and murder, thus he will understand actual presence of Western troops in the Ukraine, otherwise he will see Biden and Johnson as WEAK leaders.  Both the President and the PM should ask what themselves what the GREAT LEADERS would have done, they would not have waited, they would have ACTED.  The problem is after Afghanistan is that Biden and Johnson have shown that they are feckless and weak, they react not act.  Thus Putin could win this one. 

UK PM Johnson to TALK to Putin - Cold War 2/WW3

Sky News: Reports " Boris Johnson will step up his presence in the Russia-Ukraine crisis by holding a call with Russian President Vladimir Putin and visiting the region "in the coming days".  "

Lets Get Real:

The US, French, UK leaders all want the CREDIT if Putin backs off, none are willing to go that extra step and place troops in the Ukraine.  If the US or the UK placed troops in Western Ukraine the Russians would back off in a minute, they do not want a nuclear war over the Ukraine, and a nuclear war is not in the long term plans of Putin.  The SAD fact is that neither the US or UK have a Reagan, Churchill or Thatcher in charge, one can see those leaders taking charge and doing something, not just reacting to the moves of Putin.  One must assume that Putin is loving the attention of the West, visits by Ministers and calls with Heads of States.  Putin knows that the West is WEAK and FECKLESS with leaders to match. Neither Biden or Johnson has the majority support of the people in their home countries, thus they do not have the nerve to place troops in the Ukraine to WARN OFF Putin. 

The FEAR of a Ukraine - Russian War - New Cold WAR 2/WW3

BBC News: Reports " Top US General Mark Milley has said that a Russian invasion of Ukraine would be "horrific" and would lead to a significant number of casualties.  "

Lets Get Real:

One does really hope that the people of the Ukraine will fight if the Russians invade, after the debacle that was Afghanistan, were the Government dissolved and the President ran away, the West after supporting the Ukraine with lethal arms cannot afford to be WRONG AGAIN, from what one can see from reports people are getting ready to FIGHT, even Old age pensioners, the question is if the Ukraine Army have to fight a insurgence how will they be supported, will the West fly in supplies or try to take them over the border by trucks, will the Russians be warned not to attack Western supply planes, tricky.  Putin is old enough to remember Afghanistan after 1979, and how the US under the Reagan Administration supported the insurgence against Moscow, and how the USSR left Afghanistan in 1989, the failure in Afghanistan was seen as part of the reason that the USSR fell.  If Putin has a failure in Ukraine, could he be overthrown or even better arrested and face trial in Russia.  Everyone has a reason to win, non one can afford to lose in this Ukraine Crisis. 

POTUS moving US troops to Eastern Europe and NATO - New Cold War 2/WW3

The White House: Presser by President Biden just off AF1, " Q    Have you decided how soon you would be moving U.S. troops to Eastern Europe?....THE PRESIDENT:  I’ll be moving U.S. troops to Eastern Europe and the NATO countries in the near term — not a lot.  "

Lets Get Real:

POTUS building up the pressure on Putin of Russia, but then under cutting the remark by saying not a lot, who says that, a former Senator who has not gotten over being a SENATOR.  It can be argued that Putin has marked Biden's card, as feckless and weak after AFGHANISTAN, and a leader without the support of the American people.  As stated in previous post it will take the ground on the Ukraine and Russian border two weeks to get hard, as to allow the movement of tanks.  In that time the West, the US, UK and other countries are sending lethal arms to the Kiev Government, the President of Ukraine is worried that the talk of WAR with Russia will send the economy in to tailspin and down the toilet.  It really depend what one means by imminent, that is the word used by the West to describe the forthcoming Russian invasion, the Kiev Government has been fighting the Russians in East Ukraine for years since the 2014 takeover of the Crimea.   The Germans have not helped, they have sent five thousands HATS, yes hats, the new Berlin Government does not want to annoy Moscow.  If Biden was tough like JFK OR Reagan he would have sent the 101st airborne in to the Ukraine and drawn a RED LINE.  But then Biden is WEAK and a LOSER, another Jimmy Carter!

Is there hope of a peaceful end to the Ukraine - Russian Crisis? - New Cold War 2/WW3

Daily Mail: Reports " The world holds its breath: Kremlin says there's 'not a lot of room for optimism' after US ambassador hand-delivers letter dismissing Putin's security demands and British troops teach Ukrainians how to use NLAW anti-tank weapons  "

Lets Get Real:

It is a matter of waiting, Putin will want to look like he made some effort to read the answers from POTUS and NATO, but then what will he do?  The level of Russian troops at the Ukraine border is increasing, the tensions are getting worse, the UK stated yesterday that it would send troops to Eastern Europe to defend NATO members.  If the military experts are right the Kremlin is waiting for the ground on the Ukraine and Russian border to go HARD, thus the ability of tanks to move, say that is two weeks, the West has the time to increase the pressure on Putin, make him rethink the idea and call off the invasion, on the other hand, if Putin does invade he will be a war criminal, the Ukraine is a democracy and moving Westwards, the Eastern European Countries in NATO and the EU will want military support in case Putin fancies his chances with the Baltic States and Poland. Thus a few more weeks before WAR.

Russian Gas pipeline under THREAT of SANCTION - New Cold War 2/WW3

BBC News: Reports " Germany and the US have warned they could target a key Russian gas pipeline if the country invades Ukraine.  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus another stick to poke the Russian Bear, the pipeline would bring in millions in to Russia of Western currency.  President Putin has boxed himself in, he has been VERY FIRM with his demands, can he save face now by accepting the secondary ideas from the West, such as a new INF Treaty and agreements on military games for both sides.  It has been reported that Putin is waiting for the ground to be firm before invading the Ukraine, that time should give him second thoughts, is the pain to himself and Russia worth it, what will the people think if he does not invade, will he look weak, interesting few weeks ahead.  The question is how lucky is Biden?  Will his economic threats do the trick.  The Biden impression might decide if Putin takes the risk, does he think that Biden does not have the spine for a tough war, the question is do the Russian people.  The Kremlin has hid the number of Russian deaths in East Ukraine, that is why it has been reported that the Russian Army has already dug pits for the burial of any Soldiers killed in a attack, as to avoid the body bags coming home.

US answers Russian Demands TODAY - New Cold War 2/ WW3

CNN - Politics: Reports " Biden admin to send Russia written responses as soon as Wednesday "

Lets Get Real:

The two main Russian demands are that UKRAINE never joins NATO and that NATO troops are removed from East European States in NATO, those Countries that were part of the old Warsaw Pact.  The simple answer to the Russians is NO and Hell NO, but course the US State Department will put it in diplomatic language, what the US can offer is TALKS on a new INF Treaty that the Russians broke numerous times before and agreement on when military games will take place.  It will be up to the Russians to respond, if Putin wants a face saving way out of this crisis that is a GOOD DEAL.  Of course the latest threat by Russian to take appropriate measures if they do not get what they want will call for NATO to place NATO troops in Poland and the Baltic States.  One hopes Russians are just playing games, it could cost them if they take the wrong path.

Russian THREAT to the West over its DEMANDS - New Cold War 2/WW3

Fox News: Reports " Russia threatens 'appropriate measures' if West's responses to demands aren't constructive...Statement comes after Ukraine approved list of actions US has promised to take to avert military crisis  "

Lets Get Real:

The Russians should not make threats they cannot carry out, if the West were to take the above as REAL, then NATO would have to send a military build up to Poland and the Baltic States.  The Russian President is ACTING more like Hitler every day, is this his Munich 1938, does he want a REAL WAR and thus is pushing his demands, does he really think he can win a WAR against NATO.  One would have to be MAD to think that, or is he bluffing, at what point does he pull back, is he waiting for an answer to his written demands before invading, that is a open question.  The Russian Army if it tried its luck in the Baltic States or Poland would face the full FORCE of NATO.  Neither side want that, so what is the cut off point for Putin, what does he really want, just to absorb East Ukraine in to Russia, or does he want more, the West awaits!

A more limited ACTION by Russia in the Ukraine - New Cold War 2/WW3

Guardian: Reports " Focused Russian attack on Ukraine seen as more likely than full-scale invasion...Officials and experts say several elements missing for full-scale invasion despite recent troop movements  "

Lets Get Real:

This blog is not a military expert and this article sounds right on the nose, a limited or focused attack would allow the Russian Federation to absorb East Ukraine and get a land border between the East and Crimea.  Thus a limited operation would place the Biden Oval in a BIND, does it go for massive sanctions on Putin and on Russian economy, does it try to bring the Russian economy to its knees, it has been noted that PUITN over the years has tried to create a buffer between Western sanctions and the Russian economy as to prevent the Russian economy being bought to its knees.  Also if Putin cuts off gas to the West he will lose the money and also the US and the WEST will seek other outlets for its gas needs.  Thus in the long term the Russian Government will lose its money from the West.   It's a matter of waiting to see what PUTIN DOES. 

8,500 US Troops placed on HIGH ALERT for Eastern Europe - New Cold War 2/WW3

The Hill: Reports " Pentagon puts 8,500 troops on higher alert over Russia-Ukraine tensions "

Lets Get Real:

This will WARN Putin that any attack on NATO Countries will LEAD to WW3, the problem is not that, Putin is not that far gone, well one hopes, the problem is the Ukraine, one can expect that Putin will invade after the West gives its formal NO to Russian demands, that the Ukraine never joins NATO and that NATO troops are removed from East Europe States in NATO.  The Russian firepower, land and sea is for a quick kill, that is brutal but that what Putin wants, he wants to absorb the Ukraine back in to the Russia, he wants the OLD USSR back, for that to work Putin will have to go after the BALTIC STATES and Poland.  The Biden Oval does not have the guts to send US troops in to Ukraine, that would really STOP PUTIN in his tracks, what he can do is make so that any Ukraine insurgence is supported by the West, Biden can make Russia bleed, as Reagan did in supporting the insurgence in Afghanistan after 1981.  Thus there are more diplomacy, the UK Defence Secretary will visit Moscow, one hopes that the Russians have the courtesy not to invade the Ukraine if the Defence Minister is in town.  Thus after the formal reply from the West and the departure of the UK Minister one can expect a quick strike, the question is will the Ukraine fight, one saw what happened in Afghanistan, one's hopes are really with the Ukraine Army and people.

The US plans for reaction IF Russia invades the Ukraine - New Cold War 2/WW3

Daily Mail: Reports " Ukraine slams Biden for withdrawing embassy staff as president considers sending up to 50,000 troops, warships and aircraft to NATO allies in the Baltics and Eastern Europe as fears grow over Russian invasion "

Lets Get Real:

If POTUS wanted to STOP the Russian Bear invading the Ukraine, there is a simple answer, send 50,000 troops to the West of the Kiev, and say, this far and no further.  Also take the US to defcon 3 ( military Status of US Forces ), and making it know that decision has been made, also get the US long range bombers in to the air, just outside the Russian border.   This would make Putin pause, he would have to consider the FACT that POTUS might have woken up or he was getting better advice.  President Putin sees tis as his chance to reform the band, e.g the USSR.  There will be no better time, WEAK Western leaders, and the EU has internal problems, the Germans don't want to annoy Germany because they get their gas from Russia.  The idea of World War 3 breaking out is remote, Putin has it has been alleged a young family and a nice home to retire too, he wont have that if it turns in to WW3.  Thus Putin is pushing his luck to see how far he can go and if any one will STOP him.

Military Update and the Ukraine Crisis - New Cold War 2/ WW3

Sky News: Reports " NATO sends extra ships and jets, as UK pulls some embassy staff out of Ukraine and Ireland says war games off its coast are 'not welcome'....The moves come amid rising tensions about Russia's military build-up on the Ukraine border that were not eased during talks between US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov on Friday.  "

Lets Get Real:

The QUESTION everyone is ASKING, will Putin invade, well having one hundred and twenty seven thousand Armed and Navy personnel on the Ukraine is one hell of a ego boost, if that is all it is.  The Kremlin must be looking at a weak President in the Oval Office and a scandal prone PM in 10 Downing Street, thus if your Putin you must be thinking, is it worth a punt, on averages it look good, but then what about the sanctions, will they bring the Russian economy to its knees, over the past few years the Putin Government has attempted to prevent such shocks hitting the Russian economy, but heavy sanctions would have a long term effect.  On the other hand Putin would have the Ukraine.  The idea of going after the Baltic States or Poland should be a no go even for Putin, it would lead to Word War 3.  Thus it can be postulated that Putin will go for the Ukraine, but then stop, of course when you start a WAR plans go out of the window.  Let's recall the USSR invaded Afghanistan in 1979, the local insurgence was supported by the Reagan Administration, and the USSR was forced out in 1988/89.  Thus Putin is taking a major risk.

UK Embassy Staff LEAVE the Ukraine - New Cold War 2/WW3

BBC News: Reports on remarks by the UK PM, " Speaking as the Foreign Office pulled some embassy staff out of Ukraine, the PM said the situation is "pretty gloomy" but war was not inevitable.  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus the UK and the US are getting its Embassy Staff out, this is not a good sign, one would assume the NSA and GCHQ are reading the latest Russian secret intelligence, if they are not why are spending so much on them!! The Russians are waiting for the official reply to their demands, as expected the West will say NO to the main demands, that the Ukraine never joins NATO and that Eastern States IN NATO have NATO troops removed.  Thus what will PUTIN do, one expects use these refusals as a reason to invade the Ukraine, the massive troop deployments by the Russians on the borders leads to postulate that Putin is going for the whole of the Ukraine.  The US and NATO Countries then will send deployments to the BALTIC STATES and Poland.  The West will also keep supplying the Kiev Government with military support, then it gets tricky, will Russian planes shoot down supply planes, will the supply planes have fighter cover. Of course the NATO Countries could use the border between the Ukraine and Poland as a access point for supplies, how will PUTIN react to that problem.  The larger the invasion the more chance of WW3 breaking OUT.

No UK Troops for the Ukraine Border - UK Deputy PM - After Brexit

Sky News: Reports " Ukraine: UK will stand 'shoulder to shoulder' with Kyiv but 'extremely unlikely' to send troops, deputy PM Dominic Raab says...Russian troops are mounting on the Ukraine border and the Foreign Office has accused Moscow of plotting to install a puppet leader in Kyiv. Ukraine's ambassador to the UK has vowed to "fight to the death".  "

Lets Get Real:

The Ukraine is not part of NATO, so Article 5 does not come in to force, an attack on one is an attack on ALL. On the other hand, Putin has to be stopped, it can be argued that Putin ha set up the board for a full invasion of the Ukraine, as above reports the FCO thinks that the Kremlin has a stooge Government in waiting to take over if the Russians go to Kiev.  Thus what would STOP him in his tracks, make him withdraw, it would be if the US and the UK placed forces on the border, and stated, cross this line, then that's it, TOTAL WAR, that would stop Putin and could even lead to his overthrow, the problems is that BIDEN does not have the guts and the UK PM has party gate, thus both are in a WEAK spot, they do not have the confidence of their people, thus one can expect some appeasing strategy to come out of Biden and the West, the people that will suffer will be the poor people of the Ukraine, just as the Czechs suffered in 1938/39.  Why do our leaders never LEARN. 

The BOARD is being SET for RUSSIAN INVASION of the Ukraine - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports " Russia-Ukraine tensions: UK warns of plot to install pro-Moscow ally "

Lets Get Real:

Thus the Kremlin is setting up a stooge Government that will follow the rules from Moscow, one can assume from the above that Putin is going for a TOTAL INVASION, not a minor incursion, that will get BIDEN off the hook with his blunder.  The question is how fast can the US and the UK and other Countries arm the Kiev Government and can the supplies keep on going if the Russian mount a full air, land and sea invasion, who will protect the supply air drops, does BIDEN want the US Air Force and the RAF to protect NATO supplies in case the Russians shoot down the supply planes, this can get bad very FAST.  Let's recall that the US and Russia are nuclear powers, it is in their interest not to open the Pandora box of this crisis, it only takes a missile to shoot down a NATO plane for things to get very dangerous on the ground. One has noticed that BBC News, Sky News and Channel 4 news have started to show their appeasing views, very much like 1938 and we know what happened in 1939, World War 2.  After the West gives its formal answers to the Putin demands we shall see what path Putin will take, War or Peace? Let's hope he is not a madman!

US Embassy Staff start to LEAVE the Ukraine - Biden Era

Guardian: Reports " US embassy in Ukraine ‘requests staff evacuation’ amid war fears...Report comes as arms deliveries promised by Joe Biden arrive in response to threat of Russian invasion  "

Lets Get Real:

The FACT the the US and UK is sending lethal arms to the Kiev Government could be seen in Russia as a STRONG WARNING, this and no further when it comes to its troops on the Ukraine Border.   The question is when will Putin move, there have been endless diplomatic meetings and more to come, so is ALL this about the Putin EGO, he wants to feel powerful and thus has a hundred and twenty seven Soldiers and Navy personnel on the Ukraine border and at sea.  The Troops cannot just be left there, they will be furious if they just hang about in the snow, waiting for the roads to be HARD as to allow the tanks to move.  Putin could be playing a very dangerous game, do something, or retreat, that is the two options faced by Putin, what will he decide, let's hope peace, if not the Kiev Government will have a fight on its hands, it will be supported by the West. 

Russian and UK Defence Secretary's to meet in Moscow to discuss the Ukraine - After Brexit

Sky News: Reports " Russia's defence minister has accepted an invitation to meet his UK counterpart Ben Wallace amid fears that an invasion of Ukraine is "imminent".  "

Lets Get Real:

One hopes the UK Defence Secretary plays the HARD COP to the Russians, making it clear that the UK will support the Kiev Government with lethal arms even if the Kiev Government has to run an insurgency against the Russians.  Also make it clear that Russia will FACE HEAVY sanction if it invades a small or big part of the Ukraine, the Kremlin needs to HEAR that NATO is united and that it will take FIRM ACTION to support its Eastern Members.  One concern that this blog has, is that the Russians have to agree to NO INVASION while the UK Defence Secretary is in MOSCOW, that would be seen as a major insult and could LEAD to more military action by the West, in this case the UK.  The Russian Bear has to be SCARED OFF, and warned not to try this again. 

Lethal Arms for Ukraine from US - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports " Ukraine tension: US 'lethal aid' arrives in Kyiv amid border build-up "

Lets Get Real:

As the article notes 90 tones of aid has been sent by the US, this is a STARK warning to the Russia, the British Government has also sent lethal weapons, the Kremlin has to get its mind around the FACT that the West, US, UK and other countries will support the Kiev Government if the Russians invade.  The Kiev Government might need support of they have to fight an insurgence against the Russians, the Russian Army is the biggest in Europe, the problem is that there only needs one thing to go wrong or a Russian Commander to push his  luck and start a WAR with NATO.  The Kremlin needs to send a strong messages to its military commanders, that should NATO country be attacked then ALL other NATO Countries go to their support.  The meeting between the US Secretary of State and Russian Foreign Minister yesterday seems pointless, they just stated the same points as last week.  One really hopes that Putin backs off, otherwise we could be seeing the origins of World War 3.

How Senators Manchin and Sinema KEPT their Word over the Filibuster - Biden Era

Guardian - Live Blog: Reports in its 2.35pm post the following on the attempt to narrow the Senate's filibuster rules, " That measure was defeated in a vote of 48 to 52, with Democrats Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema joining their Republican colleagues in opposing the proposal.  "

Lets Get Real:

It has been clear for months that Senators Manchin and Sinema would not vote to gut the filibuster rule in the US Senate, they have KEPT their word, it seems that the Democratic Senators cannot count or read, why bring something up if your going to LOSE, the easy answer is that the BASE of the Democratic Party wanted and the Majority Leader does not want to face a primary fight with AOC, the left wing firebrand.  The White House has spent weeks trying to convince these Senators and it failed, it didn't even try to get Republicans, Senator Romney stated that he had not gotten a call from the White House.  The Democrats were trying a power snatch, taking election from under the control of State and making them FEDERAL, at the end of the day it was crass politics, the US Senate deserves better than that from its majority.

Biden thinks Putin will INVADE the Ukraine - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports " Ukraine tension: Biden says he thinks Putin will 'move in' "

Lets Get Real:

The presser if your in the Ukraine will leave you in a state of sock, the Western line had been that any attack on the Ukraine would mean drastic and severe sanctions by the West on Russia, more than it had been in 2014.  The idea of a minor invasion would lead to a different reaction and arguments between the Allies will be seen by Kremlin as stated a a green light to invade and that as long a they keep the noise down in the neighbourhood then the US and its NATO allies will do something minor in reaction.  The FACT that the White House had to CLEAR and CLEAN this up shows how badly Biden had done at the presser, thus if PUTIN does attack the Biden White House will be forced to act or face calls of being appeasers, no one comes back from that.  As stated in previous post, the Biden Oval does not want to be compared to  Neville Chamberlain the appeasing PM of the 1930s or JFK for selling out Turkey in 1962 to end the Cuban Missile Crisis.  If your a Democrat strategist you are thinking, who on the Democratic Bench would be a good candidate for the 2024 Democratic nomination.  Politics is a brutal business.

How Biden's BLUNDER is seen by PUTIN - Biden Era

The White House: Remarks by President Biden at his presser Yesterday, the following are his remarks on a Russian Invasion of the Ukraine, " And so, I think what you’re going to see is that Russia will be held accountable if it invades.  And it depends on what it does.  It’s one thing if it’s a minor incursion and then we end up having a fight about what to do and not do, et cetera. "

Lets Get Real:

Thus above we see POTUS giving the green light for Russia to do a minor invasion of the Ukraine, small enough for Russia to get what it wants, one presumes the EAST of the Ukraine, but leaving KIEV and the rest of Western Ukraine ALONE.  The President states above that there will be fight between the ALLIES if it is a minor invasion, thus no matter what the White House Press Secretary states or the VP the words will come back to haunt Biden.  The liberal media gave the Gipper a HARD TIME, well one hopes that the MEDIA will go after Biden for the above remarks, it is an open invite to invade the Ukraine, as long as it is not too loud.  The above remarks undercut the tough word out of the White House and the Administration, Putin will like his chances, of course the above remarks might force Biden to ACT, he does not want to be seen as Neville Chamberlain.  One really has doubts that Biden will run in 2024, he will be ancient by then and less there.

President Biden and his Presser and the Ukraine - Biden Era

The White House: Statement by the White House Press Secretary on the US policy towards a Russian invasion of the Ukraine, " President Biden has been clear with the Russian President: If any Russian military forces move across the Ukrainian border, that’s a renewed invasion, and it will be met with a swift, severe, and united response from the United States and our Allies. President Biden also knows from long experience that the Russians have an extensive playbook of aggression short of military action, including cyberattacks and paramilitary tactics. And he affirmed today that those acts of Russian aggression will be met with a decisive, reciprocal, and united response.  "

Lets Get Real:

POTUS really messed up his presser when it came to the Ukraine, he implied that a minor Russian incursion would require a limited US and Western action, also implied that NATO was not united.  EVEN CNN has been leading with this story, the general view is that President Biden was speaking as if he was still a Senator, in other words his words did not matter, but as President HIS words do matter. The CNN Kiev reporter was getting messages that the Ukraine Government was shocked by the statement by Biden that US and Western action would be limited by a minor invasion by Russia.   Thus BIDEN really needs to get a new CHIEF OF STAFF, you do not let the boss out if he does not know what NOT TO SAY.  Thus ANY MILITARY ACTION by Russia will now call on the Biden Oval to take forceful action, otherwise the Biden mess will be seen as giving a GREEN LIGHT for Russia to invade. 

Russian FORCES BATTLE Ready - Ukraine vs. Russia - Biden Era

The Hill: Reports " Russia’s military deployment near the Ukrainian border is “almost completed,” according to a Ukrainian Defense Ministry intelligence assessment.. "

Lets Get Real:

Thu we have the meeting between the US Secretary of State and the Russian Foreign Minister on Friday in Geneva, one hopes that some kind of diplomatic way can be found for Russia to save face, Putin has boxed himself in, he wants NATO to say in Treaty form that the Ukraine will never joint NATO and those former Warsaw Countries in Eastern Europe who joined NATO will have their NATO troops removed with their equipment, this is a NO STARTER, even IF Biden wanted to do that he does not have the influence on the Hill.  It's Mid Terms year, no politician Republican or Democrat wants to be called a APPEASER in the shape o Neville Chamberlain of appeasement infamy.   The US and the West can agree on the need for new missiles treaty to replace the now defunct INF Treaty singed by Presidents Reagan and Gorbachev.  Also on a agreement on when the sides can have military drills.  This is the OUT for Putin, the question is will he take this deal. 

US promises more Military Support for Ukraine if Russia invades - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports that the US Secretary of State has stated that the US, " has promised to boost security assistance for Ukraine.  "

Lets Get Real:

The Biden Oval would be smart to throw all the military support the Ukraine might need if the Russia invades, the very threat could prevent Putin doing something stupid.  As stated in this blog, what if Neville Chamberlain had sent military support to Poland in 1939, would Hitler have invaded, it a open question.  The US could make life very difficult for Russians Soldiers if the invade, as they faced in Afghanistan in the 1980s, when the Reagan Administration supported the rebels.  The very threat of arms supplies to the Kiev Government should send some chitters in the Kremlin, what if during that process a US supply plane is HITA, what will the US do then, there are so many ways this could go wrong for the WORLD.   POTUS needs to video call Putin and put the fear of God in to him.  The Russian Bear has its weak points. 

More US Military Kit should Russia invade the Ukraine - Biden Era

CNN - Politics: Reports " The Biden administration is weighing new options, including providing more arms to Ukraine to resist a Russian occupation, to try to raise the costs for Russian President Vladimir Putin.. "

Lets Get Real:

Let's hope that the US will support a Ukraine Insurgence operations should Russia invade to take the whole of the Ukraine or just East Ukraine.  In 1980s the Reagan Administration helped the Afghanistan Insurgence against the USSR who had invaded Afghanistan in 1979.  The US support and the failure of the USSR to crush the insurgence forced the Soviet Union out of Afghanistan in 1989.  The question is does Biden have the guts to be another Reagan, one has doubts, the abysmal failure of the US leaving Afghanistan has shown that Biden is a appeaser of the first order.  The US Secretary of State is meeting the Russian Foreign Minister on Friday in Geneva, if your the Ukraine, Poland or the Baltic States you are worried that the Biden Oval does not have the bottle for a military battle.  In many respects we are waiting to see what Putin does, he has two options, Diplomacy, with small limited gain from his view point or taking the WHOLE of the Ukraine and building up the Russian Federation to be the successor of the USSR.

Last Chance Saloon for Diplomacy? US and Russia to meet in Geneva - Biden Era

The Hill: Reports " Secretary of State Antony Blinken will meet with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov in Geneva on Friday.. "

Lets Get Real:

One hopes the Biden Oval has not lost its bottle, and grants the concessions that Russia want, why else would Russia come along, in less they want to show to their own people that they have tried every diplomatic avenue.  If your in Kiev you are worried that the Biden Oval will do a MUNICH 1938 and sell you out, one hopes that White House has been in close contact with the Kiev Government and will support it if the talks fail on Friday.  On the Diplomatic front if that is what the Russian want their is the chance of new INF Treaty and Treaty Agreements on when both sides will have WAR GAMES,  that is all the NATO West can offer, the Kremlin has demanded more, that the Ukraine never becomes part of NATO and that East European States in NATO have NATO troops removed from their soil, also equipment.  The Baltic States and Poland will be worried that Biden will do a JFK in 1962 and sell them out, as JFK did to Turkey to end the Cuban Missile Crisis.  The secret nature of that deal is the reason why Putin wants a TREATY, he saw Khrushchev was removed from power because of the public impression that he had FAILED over Cuba and Turkey.   Thus all eyes will be on Geneva on Friday. 

What are the Germans BLOODY PLAYING at over the Ukraine - Biden Era

Daily Mail: Reports " As the Bundestag continues to oppose involvement, flightpath tracking data shows how British aircraft are avoiding German airspace en route to ferrying anti-armour weaponry to Ukraine.  "

Lets Get Real:

How dare the Germans block the RAF from using its airspace to defend the Ukraine, the new German Government needs to be reminded that it is PART OF NATO, and who ever gave the the Germans the right to block UK actions in defence of democracy.  The Biden Oval should would never put up with such action, this type of things happen when you put a left wing Government in power, God knows what the new German Foreign Minister is saying to the Russians, let's hope we bug them!!  This type of appeasement leads to WAR, one understands why the Germans are treading carefully, World War 2 etc.   But this in 2022, and a democracy is at risk from a tyrant, one does hope that the Germans get that point.   If Putin thinks Germany is WEAK he will take action.  Why does history have to repeat itself, why do people never learn. 

The UK kit being sent to the Ukraine - Biden Era

Sky News: Reports on the remarks by the UK Defence Secretary on the military kit being sent to the Ukraine, " the deployment is "not routine" and they are equipped with tanks, armoured fighting vehicles, rocket artillery and short-range ballistic missiles.  "

Lets Get Real:

One does have to wonder if the UK had sent these kind of forces to Poland in 1939 would Hitler have invaded, would there have been World War 2 and the millions of deaths.  The UK is sending a FIRM WARNING, but has made it clear that it will not be sending troops, the Russian Army is to BIG, the only way the UK would be taking action is if Putin has gone MAD and attacks a NATO Country, then ALL BET ARE OFF, one doubts that will happen, the costs would be to far even for tyrant like Putin.  Thus one can expect more cyber attacks on the Ukraine, a small invasion to take the East Ukraine and absorb it in to the Russian Federation, that would bring the Russians very close to Poland, a NATO MEMBER.  Also one can expect more action on the borders of the Baltic States.  The question is what will buy Putin off and will the costs be to much for the Biden Oval and the West. 

UK SENDS Anti Tank Missiles to the Ukraine - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports " Britain is supplying Ukraine with short-range anti-tank missiles for self-defence after Russia amassed about 100,000 troops on its border, the defence secretary said.  "

Lets Get Real:

At last a power is doing something, small fry in the big picture, but it sends a message to the KREMLIN, the UK is NOW on the ground, the Russians would never dare strike UK Forces, as this would bring in NATO. The UK could not send tanks are they are not working at the moment!  The new German Foreign Minister is going to the Kremlin today, let's hope that Germany keeps to the Western line, that it will not say NO to the Ukraine becoming part of NATO and it will not withdraw NATO troops and equipment from Eastern Europe States that have joined NATO since 1997.  The Russians have blocked themselves in, the West has offered talks on other aspects but the Russian are not biting.  After the West gives its formal reply, what will Russia do, invade or do more diplomacy, that is open to question. 

Russian - Ukraine Tensions - Update 2 - Biden Era

Guardian: Reports " Russia moves troops to Belarus for joint exercises near Ukraine border...Move likely to stoke invasion fears as war games also planned near borders of Nato members Poland and Lithuania  "

Lets Get Real:

One has to assume that Putin is bluffing, any ATTACK on a NATO Country would invoke Article 5, a attack on one is a attack on ALL.  That mean WORLD WAR 3.  One assumes Putin is doing this to remind the Biden Oval that the Russian have a lot of targets, if so its a VERY bad mistake.  After Afghanistan Biden cannot afford to be seen as WEAK as in relationship to the Russians.  If Putin wants to play hardball the Biden Oval should send in US troops to protect the West of the Ukraine and draw a line between the West and the East.  As stated in previous post the West is waiting for some kind of action by Putin, he in reverse might be waiting for a FORMAL HELL NO from NATO to the Russians demands, that the Ukraine never becomes part of NATO and that the Eastern Nato States will remove their NATO TROOPS and equipment.  PUTIN must know he can only go so far, of course the question ha to be asked, has he gone CRAZY and has started to believe his own PR, that would be a major worry.  The German Foreign Minister is seeing the Russian tomorrow, one hopes that the German will be CLEAR to the Kremlin, an attack on the Ukraine could lead to the cut off their new gas pipeline, whatever the COSTS to the West.   This would hurt Russia and the economic sanctions will be hard for the Russian people to cope with, even the rich ones, Putin's friends.

Russia - Ukraine Tensions - Update - Biden Era

Let Gets Real:

Thus thig blog was WRONG, no Russian invasion of the Ukraine last weekend, WHY? what is the game Putin is playing,  is he waiting for his false flag operatives to strike, or is he waiting for a FORMAL NO from NATO?  The Ukraine should be on ALERT!  Also NATO, no one is sure what the Putin response could be, might he threaten the Baltic States, Finland, Sweden, Putin will want to be seen as a WINNER, it seems his polls are down and the Russian people are not out in the streets in the support for war as one reported stated, they were in 2014, has the Russian Teflon finally gone from Putin? The lack of something happening is worrisome, what doe it take to frighten Putin, everyone has a WEAK POINT, that is the 64 million dollar question. 

US on Russia and the Ukraine - Update 2 - Biden Era

Sky News: Reports " Russia looking for excuse to invade Ukraine' - but US insists week of diplomacy has not failed...To try to, through sabotage operations, through false flag operations, through blaming the other guy, to create that pretext, to give an excuse to go in, or to make it look like the Ukrainians were the aggressors..." the US Under-Secretary of State, Victoria Nuland, tells Sky News. "

Lets Get Real:

The Biden Oval if it was smart and not risk averse would send in the 101st airborne, on a surprise New Year military exercise with the Ukraine Forces, this would STOP Putin in his tracks, eve Putin does not want to take on US Forces or NATO forces.  The Russian Bear will back off he knows that he will get his backside kicked and it would be a humiliation for the Kremlin.  Unfortunately Biden is no Ronald Reagan, after losing nearly 240+ US Armed Forces Personnel in Beirut due to a terrorist bombing, the Gipper invaded Grenada to stop a Marxist Coup, that took guts and Reagan was seen as tough by the rest of the World, one does not see Biden doing something to prevent WAR.  The US needs a NEW REAGAN, while the UK needs another Churchill or Thatcher.

Russians creating PRETEXT to invade the Ukraine - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports " Russia-Ukraine: US warns of 'false-flag' operation "

Lets Get Real:

President Putin is following the Hitler playbook, in 1939 Hitler had prisoners dressed up as Polish Soldiers and had them attack a German asset, the " attackers " were all killed, it suited Nazi Germany to go with this story.  It should also be recalled that the Nazis and USSR singed a non aggression pact in August of 39.   Thus after the Nazi attack on Poland, Germany had the half it wanted while the USSR had the rest.  It can be argued that Putin is a keen student of Hitler.  The WEST must stop this invasion, HARSH words are good, but there has to be a military line that Putin does not cross, otherwise the Europe, the World in fact could be on the road to World War 3, what next for Putin after the Ukraine, the Baltic States, Poland.  As Munich 1938 has showed it is better to stop tyrants before they go for ALL OUT WAR.

Senator Kyrsten Sinema supports the Filibuster - Biden Era

Guardian - Live Blog: Reports in its 5.45pm post the following, " Kyrsten Sinema has indicated – or simply confirmed – that Democrats’ push to change Senate rules to allow for the passage of voting rights legislation is indeed doomed.  "

Lets Get Real:

One has to respect Senator Sinema she has stuck to her guns, she must be the grown up the Democratic Group, also it should be noted that Senator Manchin has stuck to his guns and refused to cut the legs of the Democrats in they are in the minority after the MID TERMS in November.  The Democratic Leadership from Biden DOWN are afraid of the base, the Democratic base is FAR LEFT, the Country is in the MIDDLE or MIDDLE RIGHT, the left with their spending money like a drunken sailor and thinking that their voters are the same as MIDDLE AMERICA, they are not, and Senator Sinema understands that more than the leadership, let's postulate that the Republicans take the House and Senate, the first people to use the filibuster will be the Democrats, and they can do that because of Sinema and Manchin have thought through the process.   Democracy is more than what your base wants at that minute, the Country comes first.  So hat off to these two brave SENATORS.

The Russian BLACKMAIL Part 2 over the Ukraine - Biden Era

Daily Mail: Reports " Russia's Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov said in televised remarks that he would 'neither confirm nor exclude' the possibility that Russia could send military assets to Cuba and Venezuela if the talks fail and U.S. pressure on Russia mounts.  "

Lets Get Real:

If the Russians places nuclear missiles in Cuba they will be breaking the 1962 agreement between Presidents Kennedy and Chairman Khrushchev that ended the Cuban Missile Crisis, any placement of nuclear missiles in Cuba could lead to a new Cuban Missile Crisis, and the Biden Oval cannot sell out the Turks this time as JFK did in 1962 under a secret agreement between the US and Russia.   The question is how far IS Putin willing to go and how far will Biden go to STOP HIM.  It can be postulated that IF Putin takes the East Ukraine but leaves the rest that might be enough to prevent a greater WAR, but if he goes for the WHOLE of the Ukraine, then ALL BETS ARE OFF, the US will supply military resources to the Kiev Government, very much like the US did in the 1980s to the fighters in Afghanistan.  This is hard lesson for history, if you have nuclear weapons don't give them as the Ukraine did in the 1990s.  Also it should be noted that Colonel Gaddafi after 9/11 gave up his nuclear materials to the US and looked what happened to him, overthrown by NATO.  Also this is why North Korea will never give up its nuclear missiles, the Regime is safe, the US or others will never attack a nuclear armed State, that is why Iran wants to become a nuclear armed power.  Thus a very frost few weeks ahead. 

The Ultimate BLACKMAIL from Putin over the Ukraine - Biden Era

Sky News - Live Blog: Reports in its 2.31pm post the following, " Russian envoy warns of 'catastrophic outcome' if agreement isn't reached now..."

Lets Get Real:

If the Russians were bluffing they have gone to far, the US under Biden is not going to say NO to the Ukraine, it might make them say YES faster.  The NATO allies are not going to remove NATO troops from Eastern Europe States that are part of NATO or their equipment.  The latest line is that Putin is to be given military options if the diplomacy fails, there is two options left, have some real talks about a new INF Treaty and advance notice of military games or invade the Ukraine and make threats to the Baltic States and Poland.  Why Putin has gone this far?  The Russian President looks sane, well for a Russian tyrant.  It has to be asked who is advising him, his rich friends must be worried that their assets will be frozen by the West and Putin could be leading Russia in to a hot war with the West.  One hopes there are some sane people around Putin, also not afraid to tell him some home truths, nuclear wars are BAD! Is the Ukraine worth it,  WW3 would make WW2 look like a nice dinner party that went wrong!

The END of DIPLOMATIC TALKS between the US and Russia over Ukraine ? - Biden Era

The Hill: Reports " Russia sees 'no grounds' for more security talks with US, NATO "

Lets Get Real:

This confirms that the talks between the US and Russia was a sideshow for the Russians, they want to tell their people that they tried their hardest and what follows, whatever that is, can only be the FAULT of the West.  Putin has made it clear that the fall of the USSR was the greatest tragedy of the 20th Century, he seems to have forgotten World War 1 and 2, the holocaust of the Jews.  Mr KGB is playing a foolish game, he could drag the WORLD close to World War 3, it would not take much, a missile on the Russian side going wrong and hitting a NATO Country, the Russians making it clear that any help from the West to the Kiev Government will be seen as a ACT OF WAR, the US is already supplying Kiev with small arms and other equipment.  There could be hundred of thousands of Ukraine refuges should WAR break out and they will be heading to NATO/EU Countries.  The Biden Oval cannot be seen to appease Putin after Afghanistan, he does not want another Munich 1938 and POTUS being cast as the new Neville Chamberlain.  This developing crisis point is heading in one direction, the invasion of Ukraine and the risk of a general WAR in Europe. 

Russia REFUSES to decrees Troops on the Ukraine Border - Biden Era

CNN - World: Reports " Russia has not committed to de-escalate on the Ukrainian border after two rounds of diplomatic talks this week, Deputy US Secretary of State Wendy Sherman said Wednesday,.. "

Lets Get Real:

One does wonder when Putin will pull the plug on this diplomatic sideshow, it is CLEAR that the Russians Diplomats have been told to keep to the Party line, that Ukraine must not be allowed in to NATO and that NATO forces should be removed from Eastern Europe States in NATO.  These States were in the old Warsaw Pact in the Cold War.  The Biden Oval should take the LEAD, send in the 101st Airborne, on a goodwill visit to Kiev and the border between the West and East Ukraine.  This would draw a line in the sand, show Putin's Kremlin that the US and the West will not be LEAD by the whims of President Putin.  Also it should be LEAKED what sanctions the Russian Federation would face if it did invade the Ukraine, make them eye watering for the Kremlin and the Russian people.  The West has had enough of following Putin, time to show the Kremlin who really is in charge, better than having to react to a Russian invasion of the Ukraine.