Guardian: Reports on its new poll, " Labour stands on 34%, up 1 point on a fortnight ago, while the Tories are unchanged on 32%. Ukip, which is edging downwards, has dropped 3 points to 15%, while the Greens are up 2 points on 8%, ahead of the Lib Dems, who are also up 2 points, on 7%. "
Lets Get Real:
As noted by this blog and others, it only needs Labour to get to around 34%-36% to have the ability to form a majority Government by a narrow margin. Due to the election maths it takes more Conservative voters to vote Conservative to allow the Party to rule by itself. Thus this blog is keeping to its prediction that Labour will win the election with a narrow majority or come out the biggest Party. If it needs a coalition partner it can get that from the Lib Dems or the SNP. The Conservative Party faces 5 years in opposition. It should be noted that if the Conservative Party losses it can be expected that David Cameron will resign as PM and Conservative Leader. A new Labour Government can be expected to balls it up on the economy and cause it to lose the next election in 2020.
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