Lets have a look at the Tracking Polls before the Democratic Convention and naming of Joe Biden as VP to Obama.
Gallup: Reports a tied race between McCain and Obama. The Tracking Polls find the following, Obama 45% - McCain 44%. The McCain Campaign has predicted that Obama will come out of the Democratic Convention with a 15% lead in the polls. This would be a big bounce, but if Obama gives a great speech and the Liberal Media sticks the script and fawns over him then its in the realm of reality. If Obama gets that swing and keeps it he would win in a landslide, not holding my breath over that result.
Obama on the whole cant break the 50% level,m while McCain is getting to the right side of the 45%. Obama needs a big bounce from the Convention and he needs to keep it for November. Obama has to careful that he does not go to left wing, recent days we have seen the candidates go at each other over who is richer, they are both rich, the difference is and this is important, when you have been a POW in Vietnam you deserve something at the other side, Obama has a thin record on achievement and also he was not a POW in Vietnam and a War Hero.
The well respected RealClearPolitics average of the Polls has Obama leading by 1.4%. In other words a tied race, the Conventions this year could give either candidates a bounce that could place them on the road to victory.
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