Obama and Afghanistan

The New York Times: Reports that the Obama Administration is having a problem in defining success in Afghanistan, the NYT writes the following, " the Obama administration is struggling to come up with a long-promised plan to measure whether the war is being won. " The problem is that you cant win in Afghanistan, the West will be lucky to leave Afghanistan at the same state just after the Taliban was overthrown. Afghanistan is a political nightmare, the Obama charm wont work, when the Afghan people are not fighting some invading force they are fighting in each other, its only a common enemy that brings them together as a people and a force. The Presidential Election at the end of August in a fix, the Western supported choice will win, the Obama White House does not have a choice, they have their own Diem of Vietnam. The War Lords can be bought, its a custom, the fighters will change sides at the drop of a hat for the right money, but its a long term deal. The problem is that President Obama does not have all the time in the World, Liberal Democrats in Congress feel about Afghanistan as they felt about Iraq. Obama's polls have been going down, his fight for health care reform could have a damaging effect on his ability to get support for his Afghanistan Policy, thus health care and Afghanistan might just define the Obama Presidency, thus my prediction that Obama will lose re-election in 2012.