Friday, April 20, 2012

Is Syria the NEXT Libya ? = Arab Spring

Telegraph: Reports that Western Leaders have threatened to take action in Syria by setting up humanitarian corridors due to the Syrian Regime not honouring the UN Ceasefire.   If you read the article closely folks this can be seen a last ditch effort by the French President to get some military glory before the two rounds of the French election, as usual the FCO does not want to take action, no great surprise. What is interesting is that the US is starting to put the military option on the table, it can be argued that neither President Obama or French President Sarkozy want another Bosnia on their hands, what Libya did show is that when NATO really takes action, and the opposition is a paper tiger in many respects, as was the case with Libya forces, then NATO can win. The UK Coalition Government will not want to part of any military action that does not have UN approval, on the other hand if the US goes in the UK goes in, also if Turkey states that it is under threat from the low level civil war in Syria then NATO as a whole has to take action, thus the UK, one way or another folks this could get tricky quite fast, lets hope the action is due to military need not a quick political fix. As military action in Syria by NATO would lead it can be argued to conflict between the West and Iran, the Tehran Regime will back its only real last ally in the region. This could be the start of a Proxy War in Syria folks.

No comments: