Monday, May 02, 2011

Everything is Political - Death of OBL = 2012 Election

Guardian: Reports that POTUS used the news of the death to distance himself from the Jimmy Carter comparison that has dogged him of late, the article states the following, “ In his wording, it was clear that Obama was seeking to put to rest the comparison with Jimmy Carter,…”. But folks nothing is that new, lets recall Bush 41 had sky high polls after the First Gulf War but was out in 1992, defeated by then Governor Bill Clinton. As the Clinton Campaign Team stated it was the “ Economy stupid ”, at the end of the day the Obama re-election will be down to the economy, if unemployment is high, and the US voters feels that the Obama spending has not helped then Obama will be another Jimmy Carter. Lets recall folks this is May 2011, the election is a year and half away, the main worry for the US voter is the economy. Also the Obama Administration could have a problem, with the death of Osama Bin Laden many Americans might expect the US to leave Afghanistan, that is not going to happen soon folks. The US can not afford to give the PR battle to the Taliban of Afghanistan, also Pakistan is a major worry, a weak central government with nuclear missiles. The US will be in Afghanistan for a few more years folks, thus POTUS will have to justify that policy. Also Iraq is a lot more stable but the US can not afford for Iraq to fall in to the hands of Iran, thus POTUS might need a new agreement to keep troops in Country to prevent Iran invading, that would be a disaster for Obama. Also the Libya operation could last months, another policy to defend. It should be recalled that Bush 41 lost due to the impression that he didn’t understand the worries of main street, the main worry of main street in the debt, thus Obama cant go in to an election with a pledge to raise taxes, that would be Walter Mondale all over again. Thus Oval can expect a bounce in the polls, but it’s a long road to 2012 folks, still predict a Obama loss in 2012.

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