New York Times: Reports that USA thinks that Iran has enough nuclear material to create a bomb. The Times reports that the USA will place pressure on Russia to help prevent Iran becoming a nuclear power, in return the USA will deal with the Russian concern about US Missile Defences in Eastern Europe. The question will this strategic thinking work, the answer is no, Iran wants to join the nuclear club, it knows that it will get respect from the West if its a nuclear power, the USA will be timid in trying to remove the regime. In some respects it does not matter what the Obama Administration wants, if Israel thinks that Iran is a threat to its survival it will take out the nuclear plants in Iran. The Obama Administration must get its head around that thought, thus one can expect that Israel will hit Iran, Iran will attack Iraq and the USA will be in Iraq for many years. The Middle East in a mine field at the best of the times, a nuclear armed Iran makes it a lot worse, thus expect some action between Israel and Iran before the end of 2010. I was wrong last year in thinking Israel would attack before Bush Administration came to end but that was before the latest developments, thus the tinder box that is the Middle East will be one of the top issues for Obama.
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