Thursday, June 23, 2022

Ukraine Update - The Eastern Battlefield - New Cold War 2


Lets Get Real:

The Biden Oval and NATO must make sure that Severodonestsk and Lysychansk do not fall to the Russians, if they take both cities they could have control of the South East Ukraine an declare victory and absorb the area in to Russia and force the Ukraine to go on the offensive, that could lead to trench warfare that could last years.  The question is can Russia and the West keep up with the pace of the WAR, how many poor conscripts will Putin throw in to the mead grinder of the Ukraine War, and will the Western Countries put up with the Russians cutting gas to Europe.  Hungary has already played up, by stopping sanctions on Russia, what is to say that the voters throughout Europe lose interest, the attention span in the West is low, and this WAR will last years or if Putin dies of his mystery illness a lot shorter.  President Biden needs to show that he will not drop the ball on the Ukraine like he did in Afghanistan. 

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Alternatively the US/UK could just have insisted that Ukraine implement the Minsk Protocols that they signed up to (which gave a measure of devolution to Donbass, and guarantees for the status of the Russian language), and agree that Ukraine would not be asked to join NATO. A nice simple solution that everyone would have been happy with except perhaps the US State Department.

You may be too young to remember it, but when the sovereign state of Cuba decided to host Soviet missiles on its sovereign territory, as it had every legal right to do, the US blockaded the island with warships and everyone waited for WW3 to start. 1962.

You may even be too young to remember that when Kosovo unilaterally declared its independence from Serbia, NATO forces bombed Serbia in 1999 until they withdrew their army from Kosovo, whose independence they then recognised. This was pretty much a template for of what's happened in Donbass, which declared independence in 2014 and has been attacked by Ukraine ever since.

What's sauce for the Kosovan goose is sauce for the Donetsk/Luhansk gander.