Friday, June 14, 2013

A No Fly Zone for Syria ? - Syrian Update 2

Guardian: Reports the following on the US policy change towards Syria, " Washington in talks with allies over radical options including no-fly zone as plan for small arms support meets lukewarm reaction  ".

Lets Get Real:

The Oval has a choice, if the Oval is really going to support the rebels and overthrow Assad he has to expect to lose the liberal base, you can not be a liberal at home and abroad, it  is one or the other, and since the Oval stated that the use of chemical weapons would be a red line for the US, well the Oval has boxed itself in, it has to follow through, small arms will not cut it, a couple of years ago it might have helped, NOT NOW, the place is awash with small weapons, the secular rebels need the big stuff, either trained or for the US to take down Syrian combat planes.   The Oval if it goes down this road will need the support of the Republicans, the Oval can not lead from behind as in Libya, the Civil War in Syria is far to complex for that, you have a fight with the Islamic faith, you have a proxy War between Iran and the US/West, you have Russians wanting to keep their Naval base, thus embers of the Cold War,  getting rid of Assad if the US IS ALL IN, is just the first problem, you then have to get the Western supporting rebels to take down the Al Qaeda supporting terrorists, then make nice with the Russians, let them keep their base, then try to make sure Iran does not cause more deaths, and yes deal with the Middle East Peace Process, that is enough for the last three years of the Obama Term.   Thus Syria could define the Obama 2nd term folks, well in till the Iran Crisis. 

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