CNN - Politics: Reports a new poll from American Research Group, in this poll Governor Romney leads Speaker Gingrich by 29% to 25%, the poll has a 4% margin of error. Thus a close race folks, if Romney can win this Southern State the Republican race is over, if Gingrich wins and Romney comes a close 2nd then we have a longer race. To get in the weeds here folks, its not winner takes all, the % of delegates goes by vote share. Lets recall that in 1976 Reagan lost 5* Primaries but would not get out of the race, at the end President Ford only won by a very narrow margin. It will take something big for Romney not to be the nominee, if Gingrich can take SC and win other States the race will go down to the Convention. There has been the theory that the race could go to the Republican Convention, that in the present day look far out there folks, but nothing over till its over folks.
*Double checked folks on the 1976 Republican Race, Reagan lost the first 5 Primaries to President Ford, not 9 as stated in post. This blog picked up that first impression from one of the US networks. This blog does not change its content in less factually wrong.
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