Tuesday, April 06, 2010

Gallup - Obama 49% Approval

Gallup: Reports that President Obama has a 49% job approval in its daily tracking poll, with 46% disapproving of the job performance of President Obama. This poll can be looked at in two ways, at least POTUS is closer to the 50% mark, this is always good for getting your Agenda through Congress. It should be noted that the Gipper in the same time frame has the same level of support, and he later went on to win 49 states in 1984. But the problem is that budge cuts of the early Reagan years then allowed for the economic boom of the late 80s, the Obama health care reform has the hurt in stages, thus tax hikes and and forcing Americans to buy insurance, the election calender thus will be effect by these HCR stages. While Reagan could point to the economic boom ahead, Obama will not be that lucky, he has not spent a year on getting the economy moving, he has spent a year on health care reform, thus it can be postulated that the real verdict on Obama comes in the 2010 Mid Term Elections, if the Republicans can take the House and Senate this will force Obama to the centre of American politics, if the Democrats control both House and Senate they will not learn, they will push their liberal Agenda and Obama will turn in to VP Walter Mondale in 2012.

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