CNN: An interesting opinion article that looks at what happened once the US left South Vietnam and how this might be the future for Afghanistan. In essence folks once the US military left South Vietnam the South fell to the North, once the US and NATO leaves Afghanistan will Afghanistan fall to the Taliban. After the two Obama surges the War in Afghanistan is Obama's War, the President has stated that he will start to withdraw the troops in 2011 depending on conditions on the ground, well folks if Obama think the Taliban are blue dog Democrats he is in for a nasty shock, this year has seen an increase in US and UK casualties, the first three months of this year has been more bloody than the same time last year for the US and the UK. In 2009 from January to March the UK lost 15 of its Armed Forces Personnel, in 2010 in the same time period the total is now 33. This breakdown does not include those that have been hurt but have not died, the US plan is to get closer to the Afghan people, with all due respect to the Afghan people I would rather our troops had a big guarded fort, and kept their distance from the locals. At the end of the day the Western Forces will leave, victory or no victory, the voters in the UK and the USA might get one fact that the their Governments don't get, YOU CANT WIN IN THE BLOODY PLACE, its a lesson that the UK keeps having to learn over and over again, we have the bloody t-shirt from previous Afghan Wars. The old British Imperial policy was to get a non threat to UK interests, let him rule Afghanistan but keep an eye over the border. The conditions on the ground might have changed, we no longer have India ( yes its modern Pakistan ) but the Government still uses Imperial Law from the period in some cases, it can be argued that we could loan a military base from Pakistan, lets face it the badlands are not under the control of Pakistan anyway, clear out the Al Qaeda from the region of the base and keep an eye on Afghanistan. Any new threats and use the old Imperial policy of dropping bombs on the threat, in today's terms send it a drone with a hellfire missile and take out the threats and protect our troops and UK national security. The above is the most likely result of the Afghan War.
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