Tuesday, April 07, 2009

Obama in Iraq

BBC News: Reports on Obama's last call of his World Tour, the President is in Iraq. It is ironic that while through the 08 Campaign in Foreign Policy terms Iraq was a negative for Bush 43 but a positive for then Senator Obama. As a candidate Obama stated he would get the USA out of Iraq in sixteen months, well that got changed once Obama was in the White House. The Obama plan for Iraq has followed the agreement settled by Bush 43, combat troops will be out of Iraq by August 2010 and the rest of the forces will be out by 2011. Obama has noted that Iraq is not the top Foreign Policy problem he faces, that is Afghanistan and Pakistan. It can be postulated that the USA and Iraq will come to an agreement to keep troops in theatre post 2011. Obama can not allow Iraq to fall in to Civil War, he can not afford for the recent violence to reach the 2006/7 levels. If Iraq fell in to Civil War, Obama would have to send the troops back in, thus Obama must hope that the peace keeps and that Iraq becomes a plus for him by 2012.

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