Andy Burnham to run for Labour Leadership if elected in Makerfield by - electoon - Update

Daily Mail: Reports that the Mayor of Manchester, Andy Burnham on BBC's Question Time has admitted that if he wins the Makerfield by - election he will run to replace Sir Keir Starmer as PM and Labour leader.

Let's Get Real:

This was not even a secret, the sole purpose for Andy Burnham running in Makerfield is to be the next PM.  Thus if Andy Burnham does win he will be challenged by Wes Streeting, also there is the possibility that Angela Rayner, the former Deputy PM could run, she has cleared her tax problem.  One doubts Sir Keir Starmer will run, no matter what he says now, Polls of Labour members show that Andy would beat Sir Keir and Wes.  If this blog was advising Sir Keir it would be to announce his resignation after the Makerfield by election if Burnham wins, and give the in till the Labour Conference for the candidates to have a good run, then announce the result at the conference.

Hezbollah ATTACKS Northern Israel - Update

Fox News: Reports the following, " Israel: Sirens in northern Israel due to Hezbollah rockets fired at IDF troops "

Let's Get Real:

Israel has made it clear if Northern Israel is attacked, then Hezbollah base in Beirut will be attacked.   The Jerusalem Government has a duty of care towards its own population and cannot accept these terrorist acts by Hezbollah, THEY MUST ACT no matter what the Trump Oval screams down the phone.  The IDF must protect the people of Northen Israel, that is their duty.  

Never Give a Blank Cheque to Israel- Historical Lesson

Guardian: Reports in its 1.39pm post the following,  " Hezbollah leader rejects latest ceasefire agreement reached between Israel and Lebanon "

Let's Get Real:

Any one with knowledge of history knows the example of the German Empire giving a blank cheque to the Austrian - Hungary in 1914, to attack Serbia and leading to the WW1 and the fall of the German, Russian, Austrian - Hungary Empires.  If Trump can control Israel then he might get a deal with Iran.  This means appeasing Tehran and Hezbollah, the Trump Oval needs the Strait of Hormuz open as to lower gas prices and lower inflation, if wants a chance of keeping the House and Senate in Republican hands, other wise stalled government and Impeachment for the last two years of the Trump term.

Ukraine hits Russian Crimea - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 7.10am post the following, " Three dead after Ukrainian strikes on Crimea, Russian-installed official says "

Let's Get Real:

The Ukrainian military has gained land in the Donbas, struck Russia proper, the WAR is costing the Russian economy and people are asking when will it end.  President Putin has gained the same delusional view of reality as Trump.  It is estimated that Russia has lost half million men, when will the population turn on the Kremlin, Putin controls the media, press, Internet and TV.  What is the breaking point for Russia ?.

Israeli - Lebanon Ceasfire - Update

BBC News: Reports the following, " Israel and Lebanon have agreed to renew their fragile  ceasefire "

Let's Get Real:

The ceasefire will only hold if Hezbollah does not fire in to Northen Israel.  Hezbollah has stated it will only cease the war when Israel leaves Lebanon.  This is not going to happen, the people of Northen Israel are tired of being bombed, thus the Jerusalem Government facing elections will keep troops in Lebanon and will strike close to Beirut if it feels the need.  The Trump Oval cannot be seen as appeasing Iran and their ally Hezbollah, no matter how much Trump wants a deal to end the US - Iran WAR.

US will take nuclear stockpile from Iran - Trump

Fox News: Reports the following, " Trump says Iran 'agreed' to let US recover nuclear material buried after strike " 

Let's Get Real:

The above is nonsense, Tehran is playing Trump, they will do more since the US House of Representatives passed the War Powers Act.  In the next few days Trump has promised a DEAL with Iran.  This blog will not hold its breath.  The Iran War has been a strategic mistake, Iran knows it just close the Strait to win.  Thus a Trump folly that cost to much in the end.

War Powers Act invoked in the House - Update

CNN: Reports the following, " House votes to limit Trump’s Iran war powers in remarkable rebuke "

Let's Get Real:

The Democrats have gotten their way in the House, now it goes to the Senate.  The White House has limited time to solve the Iran War.   The Regime in Tehran will see these developments and think they have the time to play Trump.  If the Senate passes the War Powers Act the Trump Oval can VETO it, the would require 2/3 of the Congress to overturn a Presidential VETO.