Don't plays US to Iran - VP Vance

Guardian: Reports in its 1.47pm post the following, " Vance warns Iran not to 'play' US in Islamabad talks  "

Let's Get Real:

There is a lot hanging on the talks tomorrow is Islamabad, the US - Iran War and the political career of VP Vance.  It is known that Vance did not support the War in the first place,  by ideology he is an American First politician, wants to keep out of wars in the Middle East or forever Wars, like Afghanistan and Iraq.  THUS he needs to get a good deal he can sell to voters in 2028, when he is expected to run as a successor to Trump.  A bad deal would finish him off for 2028.

Trump on Iranian control of the Strait of Hormuz- Update

Sky News Reports in its 8.01am post the following, " Trump attacks Iran for doing 'very poor job' of allowing oil through Strait of Hormuz "

Let's Get Real:

The talks have not started yet and the Oval is already complaining, rightly so, the Tehran Regime is charging for oil tankers to pass the Strait, that cannot stand, its against international law. This ceasefire is fragile, how long will it last, your guess is as good as mine!

Lebanon wants ceasfire before talks with Israel - Update

BBC News: Reports in its 11.02pm post the following, " Lebanon tells BBC it will take part in talks with Israel if ceasefire in place "

Let's Get Real:

Thus another hindrance before talks start in Pakistan.  Thus Oval will have to talk to Jerusalem, get them to agree to a ceasefire with Lebanon and stop the bombing, as along as Hezbollah also agree to stop bombing Northen Israel.  The talks start on Saturday, we shall see if they are successful or fail.

 

Israel to talk to Lebanon - Update

Fox News: Reports in the following post, " Israel agrees to talks with Lebanon on Hezbollah  "

Let's Get Real:

One would not be shocked if this is idea of Trump Oval, ceasefire talks in Pakistan could fall apart anyway, they have different agendas and thus the prospects are not great.  Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon is a side issue in the view of POTUS.  Thus not hard to place pressure on Israel when it comes to this subject.  IT would be Rude for Israel to bomb Lebanon and very Un-diplomatic when in talks.  Thus no bombing one can presume as long as Hezbollah does not bomb Israel.

Update: CNN and BBC News reports that Israel is bombing Lebanon again and targeting Hezbollah, what will Hezbollah do and more importantly Iran! Bombing and Diplomacy, interesting.

Iran's Nuclear stockpile - Update

Guardian: Reports in its 12.41pm post the following,  " Iran nuclear chief on restrictions to uranium enrichment: 'US and Israel demands will not come true' "

Let's Get Real:

This is the major issue for the US and Europe, a nuclear armed Iran cannot happen, this has been US policy for many US Adminstrations and Europe.  Tehran with the bomb would be another North Korea, the theocracy could strangle the Western Economy at any time through blocking the Strait of Hormuz, and the World could not do anything as Tehran would have the bomb and long range missiles as a shield.  This cannot be allowed to happen.

More THREATS from Iran - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 1.15pm post the following, " Iran's president warns more Israeli strikes on Lebanon will 'render negotiations meaningless "

Let's Get Real:

The President of Iran in normal days would not have much power.  The power is centered on the Supreme Leader, the new Leader is in a coma or dead.  Thus no one for sure knows who leads Iran at the moment.  The Theocracy placed power in many areas if the Supreme Leader is killed, thus we shall who turns up in Pakistan for ceasefire talks, Moderate by Iranian standards or a hard liner, and can they make decisions or do they have to go back Tehran for an answer.  Israel action in Lebanon could break the ceasefire, as Israel and the US have stated, Lebanon was not part of the ceasefire deal.

US stays in the Middle East and warning to Iran - Update

BBC News: Reports in its 4.57am post the following, " Trump says US forces to stay 'in place' until 'REAL AGREEMENT' complied with "

Let's Get Real:

This is a threat from Trump, US Armed Forces are loaded and ready to shoot.  The ceasefire is still on so far, Europe wants appease Iran, no great shock, the UK FCO is in full Appeasement mode, have they learned nothing from the 1930s and the Appeasement of Nazi Germany.  Israel and the US have made it clear that the war in Lebanon was not part of the ceasefire deal.  Thus we wait to see what Iran does now.