Monday, March 14, 2011

Obama Re-Elect of 2012


Rasmussen Reports: Has its latest daily tracking poll of likely voters, the numbers are not great for the Obama White House, President Obama has a 44% Approval rating, while 56% disapprove of the President’s job performance. This is not good for POTUS, the Obama White House has the following problems, the sluggish economy, with an unemployment rate of around 8.9% but double that if you think of those working part time or in jobs that are well below the educational level of the worker. On the international front you have the following problems, Afghanistan will be an open sore in till the planned exit of 2014, Iraq has an agreement for 2011 leaving date, lets see if that happens, the terror landscape seems on a low burner, but that can change in a second. The present real problem is Libya, the freedom surge in the North Africa and the Middle East could fail in Libya. The brutal use of his armed forces by Colonel Gaddafi will show to other dictators in the area that the West will not react should governments start to kill their own people. Given the crisis in Japan, the near civil war in Libya, the Kingdom of Bahrain has requested military assistance from its Sunni neighbour Saudi Arabia. The Kingdom of Bahrain is population wise is split between Sunni and Shia, the Shia are the majority, but they don’t have any political power, with the recent demands of freedom in the region the Kingdom has seen a break out of violence between the Government and Shia groups, lets recall the US 5th Fleet is stationed in Bahrain, thus the US wants to keep the place calm, thus the request by Bahrain for Saudi Arabia to send in troops will cause some unease in the Oval but after Libya POTUS cant be seen to throw an ally under the bus when he has been slow over Libya. The one positive for the West, and in this case Western interests is that the media is all over Japan, thus the Kingdom can take some brutal action and there will be no TV cameras to report the story. Thus both Libya and Bahrain are in some respects a news blackout.

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