BBC News: Reports on the hunger strike by US - American-Iranian reporter Roxana Saberi. This case has the potential to torpedo any talks between the USA and Iran. If the reporter, Ms Saberi was to die while in the custody of Iran this would prevent any talks between Iran and the USA. One has to ask why, why the arrest and why the holding. Lets be really cynical, there are factions in the Iranian government, there are religious conservatives, conservatives and moderate conservative and just moderates. The last moderates it can be argued represent those born after the the revolution in Iran in 1979, we hear all the time that we should just give these moderates time to gain power, sorry the clock is up on that, lets go to the Conservatives, we have the religious leader of Iran who has stated that Iran will talk to the USA when its breaks its alliance with Israel, thus that avenue for talks is non starter. Thus we come to President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad of Iran, he has called Israel a racist country and wants to wipe it from the face of the earth, thus again another non starter. The Moderate Conservatives want the same thing as Ahmadinejad but want better PR in the West. These wont win, the religious conservatives are behind Ahmadinejad, if the Iran gets better relationship with the West they are under threat, more travel and thus more freedom, the regime begins to crack, ask USSR what happens when you have better relationship with the West. Thus the Obama Administration will have to deal with Iran in a military manner sooner or later, other wise Israel will take action, then you will see a Middle East War.
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