Obama 53% - McCain 47% ( Prediction )

Lets have a look at the latest polls. Lets see how early this race will be over on Tuesday.

RCP ( Average of Polls ): Reports on the Average of Polls, Obama 50.4% - McCain 43.7%. This gives Obama a 6.7% lead over McCain. As I have predicted a six percent win by Obama for weeks now, this would fall in to my area of prediction. It can be argued that the Obama will have long coat tails, thus a big increase of Democrats in the House and Senate. The downside of that is of course if the economy goes down the toilet next year under Obama he and the Democrats will have no one else to blame.

Rasumssen: Reports a 5% lead for Obama. The poll finds the following, Obama 51% - McCain 46%. The five to six percent mark seems to be the Obama point win over McCain. It could get closer due to the Bradley Effect, white voters who say they will vote for Obama but don't because of race. Lets hope we can bury the Bradley Effect, it would better for Obama to win by double digits than for people to vote for McCain because of race. It easy to vote against Obama because he is Liberal, tax hiker, odd connections, etc, but to vote against him because of the colour of skin is wrong in the 21st Century. Lets have a fair election voters.

The Diageo/Hotline: Reports a 5% lead for Obama over McCain. The Poll finds the following, Obama 50% - McCain 45%. If that was the final result it would be a good show for McCain, the Republicans have had to deal with Bush as President, lowest approval for any President, two Wars, Iraq and Afghanistan and the economic 9/11. On the whole McCain has done his best in a bad field to fight.

Reuters/Zogby: Reports a 6% lead by Obama over McCain. The Poll finds the following, Obama 50% - McCain 44%. I recall in Indiana Zogby had Obama winning by 2%, at the end of the day Hillary Clinton won by 2%. If you use that example then the race between Obama and McCain could be down to 2% margin of victory for Obama. If it did come down to a close race, lets see Obama 50% - McCain 48%, this would be good for McCain, it would not be a blowout as some of the polls are suggesting, also it might help down the ballot paper with Congressional Races.