IBD/TIPP: The latest tracking poll from the most accurate pollster of 2004 has the following result, Obama 48% - McCain 43%. The Obama lead is 5%, 1% less than my prediction of a 6% Obama win over McCain. Thus Virgina is an early test, that closes at 7pm USA time, around 12am UK time. If Obama wins big expected, Florida and Ohio to go to Obama. If the result is closer expect a longer night, the result wont be different a Obama win but will make election night more interesting for political junkies. The early indications will be the Exit Polls, but lets recall Kerry was winning in 2004 before the Republicans voted later in the day. See you on election night folks.
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