Telegraph: Reports that the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Admiral Mullen has stated that the success of the West in Afghanistan could have negative effects on Pakistan. Its simple really, the Taliban are not stupid they are not going to have direct battles with the USA, they will lose those battles. The Obama Administration has pushed Afghanistan and Pakistan to the top of the Agenda, thus more troops for Afghanistan, President Obama has sent twenty one thousand troops and could send another ten thousand by the end of the year. If your a clever terrorist, what do you do, fight the USA face to face, and lose, either die or become a prisoner. Or else do cross the border in the badlands of the border between Afghanistan and Pakistan and fight the Army of Pakistan that has a conventional mind set to fight War not terror. Thus the worry that Pakistan could become a bigger problem than Afghanistan. Also the worry that Pakistan wont learn the lessons that the USA learned the hard way in Iraq, the Army of Pakistan might win land but will it stay, the USA had to stay, does the Army of Chiefs of Pakistan understand that after winning against the Taliban they have to stay in theatre and win the heart and minds of the locals. Also how safe is the nuclear missiles of Pakistan, this is a constant worry for the USA. Thus expect heavy fighting in Afghanistan in the run up to their Presidential Election, also more tension in Pakistan and the Swat Valley, the USA might have to send troops in to Pakistan, at the end of the day Obama might have to take the political heat to win in Pakistan.
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