Saturday, April 19, 2008

Pennsylvania Prediction



If the polls are to be believed Clinton is leading in Pennsylvania by single digits. The RCP average of Polls has Clinton leading by 5.7% over Obama. All the problems that Obama has faced seems not to have had any real effect on his poll standing. Is this true is the question, we recall New Hampshire, Obama leading and he lost by a few points. This race is over, Obama will be the nominee for the Democrats, the question is will Democrats in the state finish off this race and vote for Obama. Thus my prediction don't be surprised to see Obama win the state, could be wrong, Clinton with a big win or a small win in single digits. A small win will not work for Clinton, share of the delegates would be about even, and since she has lost her commanding lead, expect a very close race. Obama has spent more than Clinton and he could still lose but we all want to be with winners.

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