Defensive Action by the US - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 10.32pm post the following, " US conducted 'defensive' strikes against at least two locations in Iran, American official says " 

Let's Get Real:

The US waiting for Iran's response to its latest peace plan, thus every action by Iran is seen as a skirmish in the words of Trump.  The Trump Oval wants out of the War before Trump's visit to China and the Mid Terms.  The price of gas has gone up and inflation is making harder for Americans to pay their bills.  The Democrats are using affordability against the Trump Oval, thus a weak Trump wants out of the War.

Explosions in Iran - Update

BBC News: Reports in its 10.16pm post the following, " Iranian state media says explosions in multiple Iranian cities "

Let's Get Real:

The US is calling the action defensive, POTUS is desperate to end the WAR he started, he needs a clear victory.  The main points are that the Strait of Hormuz has to be clear for oil tankers and Iran has to give up its nuclear stockpile.  Anything less would be a PR disaster for Trump before the Mid Terms in November.  

Vote Reform on Thursday

Tired of the OLD Parties, want a BIG change!

Had enough of one party rule in Wales = Change

Tired of Sir Keir Starmer and his numerous U - turns= Change!!

Vote Reform in the elections for Change

Vote Reform for Change

What have you got to LOSE!

Vote Thursday = Reform

Bombing campaign “at a much higher level if Iran doesn’t accept terms - Update

Guardian: Reports in its 12.52pm post the following on a deal between the US and Iran, " If they don’t agree, the bombing starts, and it will be, sadly, at a much higher level and intensity than it was before. " 

Let's Get Real:

This POTUS being good coo/bad cop in one.  On the good side Trump will lift sanctions and there will be talks on Iran's nuclear stockpile, the bad cop is offering increased bombing.  This could be Trump's Munich 1938, Tehran get what it wants and Trump gets a piece of paper. PEACE IN OUR TIME ANYONE! 

A Deal on hand - US - Iran War - Update

 BBC News: Reports in its 10.34am post, " White House believes it's close to agreeing memorandum with Iran to end war - US report  "

Let's Get Real:

The Obama deal with Iran took two and a half years to get before Trump ripped it up in his 1st term.  The Memorandum will be like Chamberlain signed agreement with Hitler at Munich, it will lead to to war a did the Chamberlain-Hitler agreement.  The Tehran Regime will lie, cheat over any nuclear deal, they can open or close the Strait of Hormuz as they want, this is Trump's Munich agreement of 1938.

Trump does TACO over Convoy in the Strait of Hormuz- Update

Sky News:  Reports in its 12.01am post the following, " Trump: 'Project Freedom' to be paused "

Let's Get Real:

Thus another Trump TACO moment, the US Navy only has had 2 vessels through the Strait of Hormuz, now Trump paused the operation, just because Pakistan asked, does not mean you grant the request.  What has Iran agreed to do, NOTHING, Trump is desperate, he wants out of the War he started, Trump is so weak, its embarrassing for the US and the World.

The cost to the UK of the US - Iran War - Update

BBC News: Reports in its 6.03pm the following, " Government bond markets have all fallen since the start of the US-Israeli war with Iran, meaning the effective cost of borrowing for governments has shot up. " 

Let's Get Real:

This is bad for Government funding, that means the government can spend less on Defence, and other government priorities.  The shock from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has not really hit the UK yet, it will, the PM has warned inflation is coming, and the War is not finished as yet, it could days, weeks even months. Start saving those pennies.

Iran make a Deal - Update

Guardian: Reports in its 5.50pm post the following, " US president Donald Trump urged Iran Tuesday to “do the smart thing” and make a deal, saying even as a Middle East ceasefire teetered that he did not want to kill more Iranians.  " 

Let's Get Real:

POTUS believes everything is a deal, that is a mistake in international politics, as LBJ found in the Vietnam War, he just wanted to get in a room with North Vietnam leader and do a deal, Hanoi was a national movement that wanted ONE Vietnam under the communism.  It is the same with Iran, a Revolutionary Government that is a Islamic theocracy, there is no talking to them, there can only be one winner.

Trump can crash the Iranian economy - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 5.02pm post the following, " Trump says he'll crash Iran economy 'because I want to win' " 

Let's Get Real:

POTUS means it, the Iranian economy is FREE FALL already, inflation is in nightmare dreams in the West.  The Blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is blocking Iran from selling its oil, thus funding the State and allowing Iran to fun Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in Gaza.  Trump wants people out on the Streets, calling for the downfall of the Tehran Regime.

US Convoys 2 ships through Strait of Hormuz- Update

Fox News: Reports the following, " US-flagged vessels 'successfully transited' Strait of Hormuz amid Trump's 'Project Freedom': CENTCOM "

Let's Get Real:

At last Trump is doing something, like Reagan's Convoy of tankers in the late 1980s.   The US Navy might have to defend itself, Tehran will make fake claims, it needs to bolster support with its minority supporters.  Readers should have 2 sources for their news, everything is political these days.

US denies Iranian claim - Update

Guardian:  Reports in its 11.48am post the following, " Axios’ global affairs correspondent, Barak Ravid, has posted on X to say that a senior US official denies the American ship was hit by Iranian missiles. " 

Let's Get Real:

Thus the Iranian claim was FAKE NEWS, the Regime does this to bolster its supporters, that why a FREE press is needed.  The Trump Oval would have acted if a US ship was hit.  Readers should be wary of original sources, they might be trying to Spin the news.  This is not new for this war.

US Ship hit - Iranian claim - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 11.11am post the following, " Iran hits US warship with two missiles near Strait of Hormuz - state media "

Let's Get Real:

The above is from Iranian state TV, it could be FAKE News, waiting for confirmation from Western Media or the US.  IF TRUE, the US will hit back hard IF TRUE, the fog of war, information is a weapon.

Another TACO moment from Trump - Update

BBC News: Reports " President Donald Trump has said that the US will help guide stranded vessels out of the Strait of Hormuz from Monday.  "

Let's Get Real:

Is another TACO moment from Trump, what will Iran do, just do nothing, Trump states talks are going well with Iran, this blog does not see the theocracy in Tehran agreeing to this new policy, will there be limited action around the Strait of Hormuz? More questions than answers!

Trump and the new Iranian Peace Plan - Update

Guardian:  Reports, " Trump casts doubt on Iran peace deal and says Tehran has not ‘paid a big enough price’....US president to review Iranian proposal but signals scepticism amid deadlock and fears of renewed strikes " 

Let's Get Real:

This only leaves Trump with the one option, a strategic strike on Iran, take out the infrastructure and the nuclear plants, those published and ones off the books, force the people out in the streets and have them call for the removal of the theocracy.  Tehran is playing games, trying to play out the clock, Trump must take control of the Board and WIN.

Tehran gives Trump 2 options - Update

Sky News:  Reports in its 3.02pm post the following, " Iran says Trump must choose 'between impossible operation and bad deal' " 

Let's Get Real:

This leaves Trump with one option, he has to strike Iran harder and take out its infrastructure, get the people out on the streets and support them this time.   The Theocracy has over played its hand, it thinks it has Trump over a barrel, Trump does not see himself as a loser.  A massive military strike, might be the only option left for the Trump Oval.

US response to Iranian Peace Plan - Update

BBC News: Reports " Iran has received a US response to its latest peace proposal, Iranian state-linked media have said. "

Let's Get Real:

It would be a miracle and political suicide for the Trump to agree to the demands from that has been leaked to the press.  Opening of the Strait of Hormuz, removal of US bases around Iran, reparations for the US bombing, no going back to bombing after peace talks, that is just some of the demands, no discussion of the nuclear issue in till later.  Its a Iranian wish list, what are they smoking in Tehran.  The Theocracy is playing games!  We wait reaction from Iran.

Trump reading the latest peace proposal- Update

Fox News: Reports the following, " Trump says Iran sending over 'exact wording' of potential new deal  " 

Let's Get Real:

The Tehran Regime has to give way on its nuclear stockpile, anything else is going back over previous proposals.   The Regime has to give way on the Strait of Hormuz and as mentioned it'd nuclear stockpile.  POTUS has to stand firm, anything else is a TACO moment from Trump.  We await the reaction from President Trump.

US to reduce 5,000 Troops in Germany - Update

BBC News: Reports the fallowing, " The US Defence Department plans to withdraw 5,000 troops from Germany, amid a spat between President Donald Trump and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz over the war with Iran. " 

Let's Get Real:

This what happens when the German Chancellor stated that the US was being humiliated by the Tehran Regime.  Other Presidents would have let it go, Trump has very thin skin, Spain and Italy could face the same wrath, Allies are a two way street for Trump, the UK PM has suffered of late, it took a Royal Visit to mend fences.  IRAN is the problem that won't go away, talks are going nowhere, will the US strike again, it could be on the cards.

US not happy with latest Iran Peace proposal- Update

Guardian: Reports the following, " Iran offers new peace proposal to US but Trump ‘not satisfied’....Tehran reportedly passed proposal to mediators in Pakistan on Thursday night, though its contents are not yet clear " 

Let's Get Real:

Trump is from REALITY TV, he wants the appearance of winning, anything else and he is a LOSER, Trump hates losesers, that is why he cannot admit he lost in 2020 Presidential Election to Joe Biden.  A secret deal like JFK in 1962 with the Cuban Missile Crisis, would not stay secret in the modern World, Trump likes to talk to much.  The Tehran Regime has to be seen to lose by Trump and the American voters, thus more talks, Trump cannot afford to lose.

Deal or be blasted to hell,- Trump to Iran - Update

Sky News: Reports the following, " While there are more noises coming from the diplomatic sphere, a deal appears to remain out of reach. Donald Trump said Iran "wants a deal" - and he said he'd rather not "blast the hell" out of the country "

CLet's Get Real:

The eternal deal maker wants to make deal, Trump wants to another TACO moment, but even the shallow Trump knows for a real victory Iran has to give up its nuclear stockpile or dust as Trump has called it, anything else would like a major defeat.  The clock is ticking on the Mid Terms.

War Powers Act ( 1973 ) - Update 2

BBC News: Reports the following in a post " President Donald Trump has told Congress that US hostilities with Iran have "terminated" owing to an ongoing ceasefire "

Let's Get Real:

That dog won't hunt with Democrats, they hate POTUS so much they would rather the US lost to Iran than give Trump a VICTORY.  The Democrats as a whole would rather allow IRAN go nuclear than allow Trump to set the agenda.  As stated in previous post past Presidents have stated that the WAR POWERS in illegal and not constitutional, and they were right.  If it was a Democratic President the Democrats would be arguing for attacks, that is how bad D.C is at the moment.

New Threats from Iran - Update

Guardian: Reports in its 11.57am post the following, " Foreigners have no place in Gulf 'except at bottom of its waters' says Iranian supreme leader in statement "

Let's Get Real:

Is the new Supreme Leader still alive, this blog has postulated that he was killed with his father at the start of the War, his image could be used by the military running Iran.   The US has to press on with either a blockade or restart the War, time helps Iran over the long term, the Democrats are already calling the Iran War a quagmire, like Vietnam, it was not North Vietnam that defeated the US, but Liberal media and protesters in the US, are we seeing history repeat itself?

New Military Options for Iran - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 8.36am post the following, " Trump 'to be briefed on new Iran war options - including resuming strikes' "

Let's Get Real:

One has to be honest that Trump is not a patient President, he wants big wins, the easy way or the hard way.   The political pressure is on Trump before the Mid Terms and the War Powers Act, that comes in to force after May 1st.  Thus what options will POTUS take, he wants to win.

US will take action if Iran does not deal - War Secretary- Update

Fox News: Reports the following in a post, " US prepared for further military action against Iran if nuclear deal isn't reached: Hesgeth "

Let's Get Real:

This is a direct threat to Iran or the War Secretary playing games with mind set of the Tehran leadership, do a deal or face the consequences, the question is will Trump follow through, he is TACO; Trump Always Chickens Out; at lot at the moment, the Blockade is holding, for how long, when gas prices go up and the Mid Terms come close to the Democrats taking the House of Representatives, will Trump hold on and win or allow Iran to win and go nuclear.

Trump favours Blockade of Strait of Hormuz- Update

CNN: Reports the following, " Trump sees blockade extension as best option for forcing Iran back to the negotiating table "

Let's Get Real:

Thus POTUS is hanging tough, he favours the Blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, thus Iran, Trump might be an odd pacifist, he genuinely does not like WAR, short Wars, YES, such as Venezuela, no to long wars, such as Iran.  It will cost politically in the Mid Terms with the price of gas goes up, the Democrats will be on the attack, they hate Trump so much they would rather lose the Iran War, than Trump have a win.  On this Trump has impressed this blog! 

The War Powers Act ( 1973 ) - Update

BBC News: Reports in its 4.27pm post the following, " The clock is ticking before lawmakers demand a say on Iran war "

Let's Get Real:

As the article notes the War Powers Act ( 1973 ) comes in effect on May 1st.  After that the US Administration needs Congressional approval for the War in Iran.  It should be noted that past Administrations while following the law have always said its against the US Constitution, what will the Congress do, on the whole the Republicans are supportive, while the Democrats not so.  The American people are against the War from polls taken in the US.

Iran THREATENS action over Blockade - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 2.44pm post the following, " Iran threatens 'unprecedented military action' over US blockade, state TV says "

Let's Get Real:

The Mexican stand off carries on, Trump must be tough like JFK and Reagan, he has to win in Iran or the US and the World loses, IF Tehran wins, the World security and economy would be at stake, Trump cannot TACO this time, Presidential Credibility is at stake!

The King's speech to the US Congress - Update

BBC News: Reports in its 6.54pm post the following, " Charles to call for US-UK 'reconciliation and renewal' in speech to Congress "

Let's Get Real:

Wisely chosen words from the King, the UK has been allied with US through two world wars and the Cold War.  The UK and the US has seen off fascism and Communism, there have been a few hiccups, Suez, Grenada, and now Iran.  Its healthy to have disagreements, but at its core, when the balloon goes up we are united. God Save the King.

Update: A Kingly speech, stating the alliance between the US and the UK.  Subtle dig at Trump over the Ukraine, the US Congress behaved, the Democrats were happy, the VP less so over the mention of the Ukraine. God Save the King.

Iran is state of Collapse - Trump

Guardian: Reports the following in its 4.40pm post, " The US president, Donald Trump, has claimed in a new Truth Social post that Iran has “just informed” Washington that they are in a “state of collapse”.  " 

Let's Get Real:

This could be a ploy by Tehran, feeding Trump what he wants to hear, fool him to make concessions and then welch on any future deal on Iran's nuclear stockpile.  There has to be some public announcements from Tehran that they give up, otherwise its all about trust, as Reagan said, Trust but Verify, Tehran cannot be trusted.

Trump not happy with new Iranian offer - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 7.00am post the following, " Trump 'doesn't love' latest Iranian peace proposal " 

Let's Get Real:

This should be a non starter for Trump, the Tehran Regime wants the nuclear stockpile off the table for now, while opening the Strait of Hormuz, this would make the Oval look WEAK and gaining nothing from the WAR of choice from the perspective of Europe and the rest of the World.  Trump should stand tough, not give way to Iran.

The King and Queen's visit to the US - Update

Guardian: Reports in its 8.59am post the following, " Buckingham Palace released a statement yesterday evening confirming that King Charles and Queen Camilla are going ahead with their plans to visit the US on Monday. "

Let's Get Real:

The King and Queen will have a thankless task of fixing the Special Relationship, in between Trump and Starmer it has been fraid beyond repair.  The King and Queen will do a good job, one hopes against experienced that Trump will behave himself, no insults about our Army, the Royal Navy, the Foreign policy of Sir Keir Starmer, ot his thoughts about the Duke of Sussex! The King does not need this with his health problems or the former Prince Andrew and the Epstein files.   God Save the King.

Iran's new offer to the US - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 8.21am post the following, " The US has received a new Iranian proposal through Pakistani mediators - which includes reopening the Strait of Hormuz, but postponing nuclear negotiations  " 

Let's Get Real:

As stated Tehran is playing games, they know that the Oval could not agree to the new plan.  The media and the Democrats would have a field day, it would be another TACO moment, Trump they would say started a WAR of choice but could not win it.  Its a ploy by Tehran, endless talks that go nowhere, Trump has to stand tough even against the MAGA base, and keep his VP on the same script, he wants the nomination in 2028.

Iran BLAMES US for failure of talks - Update

BBC News: Reports in its 8.55am post the following, " Araghchi blames US's demands for talks failure as he lands in Russia "

Let's Get Real:

Tehran is playing games, the US has 2 sticking points, Iran hands over its nuclear stockpile or dust as Trump calls it, and allows the free passage in the Strait of Hormuz.  There is the lessee point but still important that Iran stops funding Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in Gaza.  The ball is in Iran's hands, who is ever leading Iran at the moment.

POTUS was target of gunmam at Washington Correspondence Dinner - US Attorney General

BBC News: Reports in its 1.38pm post the following, " Preliminary' findings suggest suspect targeting 'administration officials' - Acting AG Blanche "

Let's Get Real:

The Hilton Hotel was the location that Ronald Reagan was shot and injured in 1981, before he had the chance to change the World.  Trump was cool in a crisis, if he had his way, the Dinner would have gone on, but the US Secret Service said no.  The President stated that the White House needs its own Ballroom, it would be secure and prevent last night's incident.  The security has to be upgraded for the King's visit next week.

Trump cancells US Delegation trip to Pakisatan - Update

Fox News: Reports in the following in a recent post, " Trump cancels Witkoff, Kushner trip to Pakistan for US-Iran talks "

Let's Get Real:

Trump is not going to have his delegation snubbed by Iran.  On this POTUS has a point, the US is the sole super power and Trump is the leader of the free world.  No US President would allow Iran to play games, at some point the Trump Oval will let lose the dogs of War on Iran, really hit Iran and force them to Real talks, Iran has to give up its nuclear stockpile and control of the Strait, if Trump wants a win before the Mid Terms.

Iran discuss its Agenda with Pakistan - Update

BBC News: Reports in its 1.02pm post the following, " Iran shared 'views and considerations' with Pakistan on ending war - foreign minister " 

Let's Get Real:

Thus no meeting between the US and Iran in Pakisran.  The Pakistan Government will give Iran's agenda to the US Delegation when it arrives, what was the point of the US Delegation going to Pakistan, at least the US VP did not go, it would be seen as a snub by Iran if they did not meet the VP.  

US Delegation to Pakistan - Update

Guardian: Reports in its 5.28pm post the following, " US president Donald Trump is sending special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner to Pakistan for talks with the Iran’s foreign minister,  " 

Let's Get Real:

POTUS is desperate to get a deal before the Mid Terms, he knows that Democtrats will use the issue of affordability against him, gas has gone up, the cost of goods in stores.  The War was a choice one, he did not build support for a WAR, there are no Allies with the exception of Israel.  It's Trump's war, one for him to solve.

New US - Iran talks in Pakistan - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 12.38pm post the following, " Pakistani government expects US-Iran peace talks to resume, source tells Sky News "

Let's Get Real:

Thus the Mexican stand off is OFF for the moment.  ONE assumes the US will send a delegation.  The 2 sticking points are Iran's nuclear stockpile or dust as POTUS calls it, and the Strait of Hormuz.  The first could be sticky, neither side want to compromise, Iran wants enriche its nuclear stockpile to NUKE capacity, while the US wants ZERO enrichment in Iran.  As for the Strait, the Trump Oval cannot compromise, it would be against international law to allow Iran to take it over.  Thus expect tense talks.

US could change its position on the Falklands Islands - Trump Update

BBC News: Reports " Downing Street has said the sovereignty of the Falkland Islands "rests with the UK", following a report the US could review its position on the British claim to the territory. "

Let's Get Real:

This Trump getting back at the UK because it refused to join in its War with Iran.  The Spanish are looking at been thrown out of NATO, we in the UK have to recall we still need the US in NATO, whatever the temper tantrums of the Trump Oval.  There is the War in the Ukraine, we have to keep the US involved, that could be WW3 around the corner.

Trump does not want to be rushed over Iran - Update

Guardian: Reports in its 9.22pm post the following, " Trump says 'don't rush me' when asked how long he'll wait for Iran deal "

Let's Get Real:

The political clock is ticking for Trump, there is the Mid Terms in November, when the Democrats could take the House and impeach him again! Also force him to end the Iran War on their schedule.  Also we see start of the 2028 Presidential cycle in Iowa and New Hampshire.  That is the one good things about Western Democracy, the election cycle.

Israel ready to return Iran to the Dark Ages on US Green Light - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 6.17pm post the following, " Israel ready to 'return Iran to dark ages' when US gives 'green light' "

Let's Get Real:

This is tough language from Israel, worse they mean it, how much control does US have over Israel.  This blog supports Israel a 100%,  but not at embarrassing our King and Queen on a State visit to the US.  Let's see what Trump's Diplomacy does, the King must never be embarrassed on official duties.

Trump's on the King and Queen's visit to the US - Update

BBC News: Reports " US President Donald Trump has said next week's state visit from King Charles and Queen Camilla could help repair relations with the UK. " 

Let's Get Real:

Is this a wise idea to send the King to the US as the US is at WAR with Iran.  POTUS has slagged off the UK Armed Forces, the King is head off, also being critical of the UK PM's, his Foreign policy, what if Trump is critical of the King's First Minister, what could he say in the King's presence, could cause a diplomatic incident.  The Special Relationship is frayed at the moment.

US - Iran Talks in Pakistan - Update

Guardian: Reports in its 3.24pm posy the following, " US-Iran talks could be held in next three days - Trump "

Let's Get Real:

Thus the US is paying a weak hand, Trump is desperate for an off ramp, the War is not popular in general with US voters, even the MAGA base is not that solid, Trump did not sell the War before starting the WAR, at least Bush 43 and Tony Blair sold the Iraq War, flawed and wrong information as it was at the time.  The sticking points in the Iran War are Iran's nuclear stockpile and the Strait of Hormuz, both sides have different agendas.

Iran takes 2 Vessels in to custody - Update

BBC News: Reports in its 11.30am post the following, " What has been happening in the Strait of Hormuz? "

Let's Get Real:

Iran has taken 2 vessels in to custody, this shows what Tehran really thinks of Trump's extension of the ceasefire, while Tehran attacks, Trump and the US Navy DO NOTHING, it is reported that a number of vessels have gotten through the US blockade.  Thus far Tehran is winning this war!  This is a defeat for the West.

Trump does another TACO moment over Pakistan - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 9.14pm post the following, " Trump announces extension to Iran ceasefire ".

Let's Get Real:

Trump has chickend out again, Iran and the World knows that Trump has a yellow streak.  In his truth social, POTUS stated that the extending the ceasfire came at the request of Pakistan, one would not be shocked if Trump requested that  Islamabad ask for the extension. Trump gives cowardice a bad name, that what happens if you elect a reality TV star for President.  Trump has earned the title, Trump Always Chickens Out.

Iran will TALK with US - Trump-

Guardian: Reports in its 2.57pm post the following, " Trump says Iranian leaders will 'soon be in negotiations' with US "

Let's Get Real:

One presumes that POTUS knows for a fact that the Tehran delegation will turn up in Pakistan, any humiliation climb down should not have the face of the Trump Oval behind it, that is the job of the VP, he wants the nomination in 2028 and Trump's support.  It will depend how poor deal goes down in Washington DC, will the Republicans in the Congress support the deal, even if the US gives concessions to Iran over its nuclear stockpile and the Strait.  The Trump Oval will sell ANY deal as a victory, it choose this war, did not build support for a War or sell it to the American people.

Update: Sky News reports that Pakistan is still waiting for confirmation from Tehran that they are coming to Pakistan for talks.

Update 2: Sky News reports via the New York Times that the US VP's trip to Pakistan is on hold.  This is Tehran being rude to the US and Pakistan.

Iran BREAKS Ceasfire numerous times - Trump

BBC News: Reports in its 12.18pm post the following, " Trump accuses Iran of violating ceasefire 'numerous times'  ".

Let's Get Real:

Thus far neither the US or Iran have flown in to Pakistan for talks.  The American Vice - President can not fly to Pakistan on Speculation that Iran might turn up.  The US is the sole superpower in the World.  Tehran must think they have Trump over the barrel with them having shut down the Strait of Hormuz and Trump thinks he has Iran over the barrel by blockading the Strait to Iranian oil tankers. WHO will blink first? 

Iran will probably turn up for talks with the US in Pakistan - Pakisten

Sky News: Reports in its 7.35pm post the following, " Pakistan says Iran likely to attend US talks as Trump ceasefire deadline nears "

Let's Get Real:

Thus it seems that Tehran as going to come to the talks, it will be interesting talks, as Trump will have to make concessions from the perspective of Tehran, they know that they have POTUS over a barrel.  The Trump Oval wants out, and he has sent his VP to take the political arrows if the deal falls flat in Washington D.C.  There are reports that their will be time limits on Iran's nuclear stockpile, that they could enrich it after 20 years, another President in the White House who will have to deal with the issue.  The US could be allowing Iran to have a toll on the Strait of Hormuz, that will not down well with the Gulf States and European States.   Trump is no Truman, JFK or Reagan.

Trump on Iran Deal - Update

BBC News: Reports in its 5.57am post, " Trump says deal with Iran will happen 'relatively quickly'...He also denies that he is under "pressure" to make a deal. "

Let's Get Real:

At least the sounds out of the Trump Oval are good, before it looked liked the Tehran Delegation would not turn up.  They must know that they have Trump over a barrel, he wants out of the Iran War, he wants a another WIN to his so called title of Peacemaker when it comes to 10 Wars! He still wants a that illusive Nobel Prize.   It will be interesting to see who concessions he gives to Iran, that they can keep their nuclear stockpile or run the Strait of Hormuz  as they like.  The question is how will sell the deal to the US public after being so critical of Obama's deal.  That is the problem of electing a reality tv show star to the Oval.

US Navy takes Iranian ship in to custody - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 8.26pm post the following, " US Navy seizes Iranian ship trying to pass naval blockade, Trump says "

Let's Get Real:

The Trump statement is packed up by Force, on top of Trump sending a delegation to Pakistan, the same meeting that Iran has stated its not going too! If it was not so serious it would be a British farce.

US off to Pakistan AGAIN for Talks - Update

BBC News:  Reports in its 1.21pm post the following  " Trump: US team heading to Pakistan for talks with Iran "

Let's Get Real:

This could be it from Trump, take this ďeal or else.   There are only so many times can do a TACO moments, the Iranian's can only hope for so long that the Democrats will come to rescue them, North Vietam had the right instincts about the Congressional Democtrats in 1975.  

Iran Does not want another meeting with US - Update

Guardian: Reports in its 6.54pm post, " Iran is not yet ready to hold a new round of face-to-face talks with US officials, a senior Iranian official said Saturday, citing Washington’s refusal to abandon “maximalist” demands on key issues. "

Let's Get Real:

In other words Tehran thinks time is running out for Trump when it comes to the Hill.   There is a weekly War powers Vote by the Democrats, thus far the Republicans have been solidy behind Trump, wil this change if American ground troops are needed to get Iran's nuclear stockpile or dust as called by Trump after last year's bombing.

Iran tried to blackmail US again -Update

Sky News: Reports in its 2.53pm post the following, " They wanted to close up the strait again, as they've been doing for years, they can't blackmail us, Trump stated. " 

Let's Gets Clear.

This was Trump's warning Iran off, Trump comes from the tough World of New York Real estate, all his existence is about the DEAL, one would like to think he has learned something about Foreign Affairs. The dreaded Munich Agreement of 1938, and political ramifications, the War in 1939.  

Iran Closes Strait of Hormuz- Update

BBC News: Reports in its 9.38am post the following, " Iran's military closes Strait of Hormuz again - state media  "

Let's Get Real:

The US has Iran by the throat, it either gives up its nuclear stockpile or face the blocking of Iranian oil money, that keeps the Regime going.  The Tehran Regime will fold in a few hours, they need the money.

Update: BBC News reports that tankers have been fired upon in the Strait of Hormuz.

Trump's Iran Deal - Update

Guardian: Reports in its 5.43pm post the following, " Trump: Iran's enriched uranium will be brought to the US "

Let's Get Real:

This will be the tricky part in any deal with Iran, the Tehran Regime since the start of the conflict has been firm about Iran's right to have a nuclear stockpile, that is why the US is keeping up its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, it wants a total win.  There is talk that the US will give Iran back 20 billion in frozen Assets.  IN Trump's mind that is not baying the nuclear stockpile, as Obama did with his deal.  A deal is expected in a few days in Pakistan. 

Strait of Hormuz OPEN -'Update

Sky News: Reports in its 1.56pm post the following, " Iran's foreign minister declares Strait of Hormuz 'completely open' for rest of ceasefire "

Let's Get Real:

The US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is winning, Iran has its hand on the throat of the Strait, thus winning on Tactical level, but it cannot get its oil out, thus no money for the Regime, thus a strategic win for the US. Trump might not be completely lose cannon when it comes to foreign policy.

Can YOU trust Sir Keir Starmer any more? - Update

BBC News: Reports in its 11.00am post the Following, "  I'm absolutely furious,' says Starmer on Mandelson vetting revelations "

Let's Get Real:

This blog does not trust anyone, and Sir Keir is a repeate offender, no one wonder he removed the Potrait of Lady Thatcher from his office, he brings shame to the OFFICE, the U-turns and throwing others under the bus for his mistakes! Shane on you Sir Keir.

Did Sir Keir Lie to the House of Commons - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 3.52pm post the following, " PM has misled parliament and 'must take responsibility' over Mandelson appointment, says Badenoch "

Let's Get Real:

The process of vetting Lord Mandelson was not complete, he did not pass vetting.  The final push came from the FCO, one presumes under the orders from No 10.  Sir Keir should go, but knowing him he will find someone else to blame, plus we need him for the Ukraine.

Israeli - Lebanon ceasfie - Trump

BBC News: Reports in its 4.40pm post the following, " Trump says Israel and Lebanon agree to 10-day ceasefire "

Let's Get Real:

This has three effects, it allows Trump to state he has solved another war, and still No Nobel Prize and helps with ceasefire talks with Iran, as Hezbollah in Lebanon is a proxy terrorist group of Iran, helps in talks between the US and Iran, expected next week in Pakistan.

Trump, China and the Strait of Hormuz- Update

Sky News: Reports in its 1.15pm post the following, " I'm opening Strait of Hormuz for China, says Trump - and Xi will 'give me a big, fat, hug'"

Let's Get Real:

This will make China happy as long as their tankers can get through the blockade at some point.  Trump's view of World Politics is the strong powers agree on a issue and the rest of the World follow suit, that has not worked out in the Ukraine, that is why President Trump is peeved with Zelensky of the Ukraine, as he infamously said that the Ukraine has no cards in its war.  In many respects Trump is from the Imperial Era, the age of Gunboat Diplomacy, were might is right.

US Blockade of the Strait of Hormuz- Update

BBC News:  Reports in its 11.56am post the following, " Iran threatens shipping in Gulf, Red Sea, and Gulf of Oman if US naval blockade continues  "

Let's Get Real:

While Trump keeps suggesting that the US and Iran will return to talks, the Tehran Regime uses the rhetoric of war.  The article suggests that the Blockade has been successful, other reports state that Iranian ships have gotten through the Blockade.  The US fleet cannot be kept for the duration in the Middle East, and Trump wants out of this war, the Mid Terms are getting close, and the Democrats are the Great White sharks in the Ocean, ready to take the House.

Is Trump's Blockade failing - Update

BBC News: Reports in its 3.29pm post the following, " The first 24 hours of the US naval blockade of Iran’s ports have been notable for their inconsistency. "

Let's Get Real:

As the article makes clear Iranian linked ships are getting through blockade.  It makes the operation look amateurish by modern standards, the US has the intelligence from the CIA to the NSA to work out from which Ports that tankers come from.  Thus easy win for Iran, that what comes from having an erratic and delusional President with a God complex.

Pakistan suggests further talks this week - Update

Sky News: Reports the following in its  4.11am post, " Pakistan proposes hosting second round of US-Iran talks - report "

Let's Get Real:

POTUS has suggested that Iran wants further talks, Iran has stated it will freeze enrichment of its nuclear stockpile for 5 years.  This would be a mistake for the US to accept, does any one trust Iran with a nuclear bomb, Israel would see itself under more of a threat.  The Strait of Hormuz is also a problem, it cannot be controlled by Iran, it would be against international law.  

IRAN wants DEAL - Update

Guardian: Reports in its 6.00pm post the following, " Donald Trump claims Iran wants 'to work a deal' and confirms blockade of strait of Hormuz " 

Let's Get Real:

Is Trump delusional or believes his own press statements, VP Vance was sent to Pakistan to get a deal, he was seen as anti War and the mission failed.  The Tehran is playing Trump, he wants out, but Iran won't give up on nuclear ambitions and controlling the Strait of Hormuz.  Someone has to give, it could be, Trump, declared victory and leave.  That would be a major Appeasement by Trump. That would give the US House to the Democrats before 2028 cycle starts.

Trump threatening Iranian attack speedboats- Update

Sky News: Reports in its 3.28pm post the following, " Trump warns Iranian ships will be 'eliminated' if they approach blockade "

Let's Get Real:

These pasky speedboats can be a dangerous nuisance, they are fast and hard to target in less you are looking for them at sea.  US Navy has the technology it needs to thwart such attacks, they only have to be lucky once, to cause problems for the Blockade, the America voters do not support the War, neither does the Liberal press.  Trump is in a pickle when it comes to the war,  no US President could allow Iran to go nuclear on the other hand after Afghanistan and Iraq the Americans want their Presidents to concentrate on domestic issues, such as inflation.  A option is for Trump to declared victory and go home, any Presidential Credibility would be gone.

Trump"s Blockade of Strait of Hormuz could be more dangerous- Update

BBC News: Reports in its 11.37am post the following, "  Blockade puts US in even more dangerous territory "

Let's Get Real:

As the article notes this could bring in China and Russia, a combustible situation.  Trump is off to China in the next few weeks, how China going to react if its ships are impeded, the same goes for Russia, what will Putin ( Trump's best friend ) think seeing its tankers boarded.  Interesting hours and days ahead.

UK Rejects role in Trump's blockade of Strait of Hormuz - Update

Guardian: Reports " UK will not join any Trump blockade of strait of Hormuz  "

Let's Get Real:

Typocal of Sir Keir Starmer, all talk no trousers, the left hate Trump so much, that their conscience comes first at the expense of other.  If your not in the room who cares what you think.  The Tehran Regime is EVIL, you destroy evil and make dam sure they do not get a nuclear bomb.  The UK under Sir Keir has failed, Appeasement never goes down well with historians or future writers.

US to blockade Strait of Hormuz- Trump - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 1.56pm post the following, " US Navy will blockade Strait of Hormuz, Trump says  "

Let's Get Real:

It worked in the Cuban Missile Crisis, why not Iran in 2026.  The idea cut the money off from Iran and make Western Europe help.  This will annoy Russia and China as they are the greatest customers for Iranian oil. The question who will blink this time, in 1962 it was USSR and a secret deal, how will Iran react to the Blockade.

Update: BBC News reports that the US will impead Ships going to Iranian ports or departing from then at 3pm ( UK Time) tomorrow.  This will hurt Iran, prevent Iranian Government from funding itself

Iran has said no to US terms - Update

BBC News: Reports in its 2.36am post the following, " Iran has not agreed to US terms, Vance says "

Let's Get Real:

The talks between the US and Iran have failed in Pakistan.  The sides had vastly different agendas, neither was going to move, will there be further talks in the two week ceasefire, one has doubts, will the War restart, a possibility at the moment.  Trump stated he did not care about the talks as the US has already won.  At the moment the US is removing mines from the Strait of Hormuz, under threats from Iran.

Iran has lost its mines in the Strait of Hormuz- Update

Guardian: Reports the following in its 1.23pm post, " Iran 'unable to find the mines it laid in the strait of Hormuz' "

Let's Get Real:

This blog does not believe for a second that Iran has lost its mines in the Strait of Hormuz, if that is why they blocking the Strait, they must think that the US and Europe are stupid.  The Oval has to call them out over the issue, they are blackmailing the West.  They are getting fees and thus it is their problem to find the mines.  One hopes VP Vance calls them out on the issue in the talks in Pakistan.

Update: Sky News reports, The talks have started between the US, Iran and Pakistan.

US rejects unfreezeing Iran's assets in the Gulf - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 11.11am post the following" US denies it has agreed to key Iranian demand - as Vance meets Pakistani PM "

Let's Get Real:

One gets the feeling that Iran is playing games with the US, or they believe their own press leaks.  POTUS has been very critical of Obama's deal, and the money he sent back to Tehran.  The last thing he will do is follow the same pattern.  The major issues from this blogs perspective is the Iranian nuclear stockpile and the Strait of Hormuz.  Those issues will decides who wins in this ceasefire talks.

Talks in Pakistan between the US and Iran - Update

BBC News: Reports in its 7.46am the following post, " Iran-US negotiations today, Israel-Lebanon talks on Tuesday - what's the latest? "

Let's Get Real:

This blog does not expect hugs on the first day, if they can agree an agenda for the day, that would be progress of some kind.  It depends what they can agree on, if anything, the main concern as stated by Trump is Iran's nuclear stockpile and the Strait of Hormuz, one would think that Tehran understands this is its last chance for peace.  

Artemis II Crew make it back to Earth - Update

NASA Reports at 1.07am ( UK time ) that the Artemis II has made it safely back Earth.

The Artmis II crew real heroes, they have travelled to the farside of the Moon and back safely.  The  next flight should see humans colonise the moon, after that Mars.  This is man's final frontier.

Former VP Harris might run in 2028

CNN: Reports the following, " I Know what it requires’: Harris on why she’s thinking about running for president in 2028  "

Let's Get Real:

This not a great idea by the former VP, that what happens when people close to her do not tell her truth, she was  not a great candidate in 2024, and she did not face challengers, VP was given the nomination by Biden, after his disastrous debate performance against Trump.  There is also the issue that women have created their own glass ceiling, they do not want a woman President, never mind men.  AFTER the Mid Terms in November, the 2028 cycle starts.

Iran has NO CARDS - Update

Fox News: Reports the following from President Trump " Trump says Iran has ‘no cards’ outside of ‘short term extortion’  "

Let's Get Real:

It might be time for POTUS to shut up, the talks in Pakistan will be hard as is, the sides have different agendas, someone has to blink, it better be Iran, the World economy is at stake, the US and Europe have to win over the Strait of Hormuz, Iran is breaking international law by blocking and charging fees for oil tankers to pass.  Tomorrow will be an interesting day for PEACE in the Middle East.

Don't plays US to Iran - VP Vance

Guardian: Reports in its 1.47pm post the following, " Vance warns Iran not to 'play' US in Islamabad talks  "

Let's Get Real:

There is a lot hanging on the talks tomorrow is Islamabad, the US - Iran War and the political career of VP Vance.  It is known that Vance did not support the War in the first place,  by ideology he is an American First politician, wants to keep out of wars in the Middle East or forever Wars, like Afghanistan and Iraq.  THUS he needs to get a good deal he can sell to voters in 2028, when he is expected to run as a successor to Trump.  A bad deal would finish him off for 2028.

Trump on Iranian control of the Strait of Hormuz- Update

Sky News Reports in its 8.01am post the following, " Trump attacks Iran for doing 'very poor job' of allowing oil through Strait of Hormuz "

Let's Get Real:

The talks have not started yet and the Oval is already complaining, rightly so, the Tehran Regime is charging for oil tankers to pass the Strait, that cannot stand, its against international law. This ceasefire is fragile, how long will it last, your guess is as good as mine!

Lebanon wants ceasfire before talks with Israel - Update

BBC News: Reports in its 11.02pm post the following, " Lebanon tells BBC it will take part in talks with Israel if ceasefire in place "

Let's Get Real:

Thus another hindrance before talks start in Pakistan.  Thus Oval will have to talk to Jerusalem, get them to agree to a ceasefire with Lebanon and stop the bombing, as along as Hezbollah also agree to stop bombing Northen Israel.  The talks start on Saturday, we shall see if they are successful or fail.

 

Israel to talk to Lebanon - Update

Fox News: Reports in the following post, " Israel agrees to talks with Lebanon on Hezbollah  "

Let's Get Real:

One would not be shocked if this is idea of Trump Oval, ceasefire talks in Pakistan could fall apart anyway, they have different agendas and thus the prospects are not great.  Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon is a side issue in the view of POTUS.  Thus not hard to place pressure on Israel when it comes to this subject.  IT would be Rude for Israel to bomb Lebanon and very Un-diplomatic when in talks.  Thus no bombing one can presume as long as Hezbollah does not bomb Israel.

Update: CNN and BBC News reports that Israel is bombing Lebanon again and targeting Hezbollah, what will Hezbollah do and more importantly Iran! Bombing and Diplomacy, interesting.

Iran's Nuclear stockpile - Update

Guardian: Reports in its 12.41pm post the following,  " Iran nuclear chief on restrictions to uranium enrichment: 'US and Israel demands will not come true' "

Let's Get Real:

This is the major issue for the US and Europe, a nuclear armed Iran cannot happen, this has been US policy for many US Adminstrations and Europe.  Tehran with the bomb would be another North Korea, the theocracy could strangle the Western Economy at any time through blocking the Strait of Hormuz, and the World could not do anything as Tehran would have the bomb and long range missiles as a shield.  This cannot be allowed to happen.

More THREATS from Iran - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 1.15pm post the following, " Iran's president warns more Israeli strikes on Lebanon will 'render negotiations meaningless "

Let's Get Real:

The President of Iran in normal days would not have much power.  The power is centered on the Supreme Leader, the new Leader is in a coma or dead.  Thus no one for sure knows who leads Iran at the moment.  The Theocracy placed power in many areas if the Supreme Leader is killed, thus we shall who turns up in Pakistan for ceasefire talks, Moderate by Iranian standards or a hard liner, and can they make decisions or do they have to go back Tehran for an answer.  Israel action in Lebanon could break the ceasefire, as Israel and the US have stated, Lebanon was not part of the ceasefire deal.

US stays in the Middle East and warning to Iran - Update

BBC News: Reports in its 4.57am post the following, " Trump says US forces to stay 'in place' until 'REAL AGREEMENT' complied with "

Let's Get Real:

This is a threat from Trump, US Armed Forces are loaded and ready to shoot.  The ceasefire is still on so far, Europe wants appease Iran, no great shock, the UK FCO is in full Appeasement mode, have they learned nothing from the 1930s and the Appeasement of Nazi Germany.  Israel and the US have made it clear that the war in Lebanon was not part of the ceasefire deal.  Thus we wait to see what Iran does now.

VP Vance to Pakistan for talks with Iran - Update

Fox News: Reports the following in a post, " Vance heading to Pakistan for negotiations about Iran this weekend, White House says "

Let's Get Real:

Thus if the ceasefire survives in till Friday, POTUS is sending his VP to Pakistan for talks with Iran.  The VP is known to have opposed the War with Iran.  The VP wants to run in 2028, the anti war base of MAGA, will want a deal.  The Oval wants any blame for failure to go to Vance, that is the point of VP's to take on unpopular issues, VP Harris had the border, Bush 41 had to deal with Ross Perot when he came to complain to the Reagan White House about the perceived issue that Vietnam was still holding American POW's from the Vietnam War.  President Reagan knew that Bush 41 knew him thus give the negative job of telling Perot that he was wrong to his loyal VP.  The aftershock was that Perot ran against Bush 41 in the 1992 Presidential Election.  The Gipper was wise, any problems send in the VP, thus no political hassle for the Oval.   Thus a major job for Vance and his career ambitions to be POTUS.

Tehran Threatening Ships in the Strait of Hormuz- Update

Guardian: Reports in its 3.30pm post the following, " Iranian navy threatens ships in strait of Hormuz without permission  " 

Let's Get Real:

This is a very fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran.  On the one hand you have Israel attacking Hezbollah in Lebanon, and you have Tehran confirming that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz is still on going, against the ceasefire deal.  Will this ceasefire hold, it has to be asked.

Iran Threatens Ceasfire - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 3.23pm post the following, " Tehran will withdraw from ceasefire if attacks on Lebanon continue - Iranian state media "

Let's Get Real:

This will be hard one for Trump to deal with, Israel has made it clear that its war against Hezbollah in Lebanon is separate.  LAST YEAR, Trump ordered Israel planes back while they were in mid flight.  Does he have the same power now.  The CEASFIRE between the US and Iran is fragile, also the Israeli lobby is powerful in the US, can the Oval blackmail Israel this time? The post is an interesting development!

Update: Reports from the Guardian that President Trump has stated that Lebanon was not part of Ceasefire deal.  The President must be thinking of the November Mid Terms.  This statement means that Trump cannot pressure Israel to stop bombing Hezbollah in Lebanon.