Tuesday, July 02, 2013

Mr Kerry's Failure - Middle East Crisis Points

The New York Times: Reports the following on Secretary Kerry's search for a Middle East Peace Deal between Israel and the Palestinian people, " Mr. Kerry’s efforts raise questions about the Obama administration’s priorities at a time of renewed regional unrest. ".

Lets Get Real:

This is a dig at Secretary Kerry folks, there you have Syria in a state of Civil War, this is causing unrest in Jordan and Lebanon and Iraq,  Western interests are under threat, in Egypt you have a Army Coup in the works with the support of the people of Egypt, the winners could even be more of a threat that the Muslim Brotherhood, then you have Iran on the way to the bomb within  a few months, and what is Secretary Kerry doing,  he is is Kissinger mode,  trying to solve a problem that will never be solved, any solution would be a threat to Israel, thus a pointless.   The US Secretary of State should be in Egypt, trying to get a deal between the Government and the people, he should be trying to create a united non terrorist opposition in Syria, the reason that the US Secretary of State is not doing the above is the weakness of the Oval, Obama does not want to get to much involved in Syria, it took the Assad using chemical weapons for him to get off the fence, in Egypt there is the worry that a new Government could be worse than the Muslim Brotherhood,  at the end of the day leadership is taking the lead, Obama is weak and thus is US Foreign Policy as represented by Secretary Kerry. 

Morsi and the Outside World - Egypt Crisis


Lets Get Real:

The last thing that the UN wants is another Syria on its hands, it can be postulated that the US Defence Department will be in close touch with the Office Core of the Egyptian Army and that the CIA will be keeping a close eye on the moves by the Morsi Government and the Muslim Brotherhood, as has been shown on the news the supporters of Morsi are turning out with wooden sticks, in a conflict these can cause damage.    The Egyptian Army has to give the image that it is going with the will of the people, lets see if the Islamic Parties put up much resistance at least the Army has the guns, lets hope the transfer of power can be done with peaceful way, that the Morsi Government does not try to follow the lead of President Assad of Syria. 

Morsi REBUFFS Army - Crisis in Egypt

BBC News: Reports that President Morsi has rebuffed the demands by the Army of Egypt that he talk to the opposition, thus the clock ticks to a popular Army Coup. 

Lets Get Real:

The external worry for the US/West is that Egypt could fall in to a state of Civil War, it would be Syria but worse folks, the Camp David Peace agreement between Egypt and Israel would come under threat as the agreement is not that popular in Egypt, it would be one of the ways for one of the different groups within  Egypt to gain popular support by stating that they would revoke the agreement and have a more warlike relationship with Israel.   The could be a major strategic crisis for the Oval, with Syria the Oval could keep its distance in till of late, a Egypt in a state of armed rebellion would force the US to act before Israel would have to defend itself.    The Islamic elements if they think they are going to lose could use popular anger on the Arab Street against Israel to secure their base and gain support, thus the future of Egypt is import for Egypt, but also for Israel and the West folks.    The World can not allow Egypt to fall in to Civil War, that really would release the furies folks.