Monday, October 20, 2014

IS in Turkey, WHERE ELSE? - War on Terror 2


Lets Get Real:

The EU and NATO should have their intelligence bodies on the look out for IS within, as the US and its Allies carry on bombing one would not be surprised if IS tries something in the West, the terrorist group can not take on the US in the air, even if it does have planes,  thus it will look for weak spots in the West.   IS is as much of a threat as Al Qaeda, it has control of vast areas of Syria and Iraq, and is a State in may ways, that is why its a threat, it can not be allowed to control the oil of Iraq, and become a regional threat to the other States in the region, even Iran.    The only good news is that Iran and IS hate each other, on the other hand this places the West on the same page as Iran, not great.   The Middle East is a bomb that could go off at any time, lets hope we have wise leaders in the West. 

US Weapons Drop on Kobane - War on Terror 2


Lets Get Real:

Thus the US had bombed IS with the help of the Kurds, now its is dropping arms and other military equipment to help the Kurds, IN the above Secretary Kerry makes them out to be the plucky underdog, one can see the dots now, what if the Kurds of Kobane need US military presence on the ground or face losing to the IS.   This would place the Oval in real political trouble, after the red lines disaster the Oval might have not choice but to help the Kurds.  One wonders what the Turks would make of that, of course IS wants the US to place troops in Syria and Iraq, the fight would be more equal, the US would lose troops.   The US voter is not ready for that yet, it might be never ready, but that will be the end result, the US back in Iraq, in the air and ground. 

Turkey MOVES on Kobane - War on Terror 2

BBC News: Reports " In a policy reversal, Turkey is to allow Iraqi Kurdish fighters to cross the Syrian border to fight Islamic State (IS) militants in Kobane. "

Lets Get Real:

The Oval must have placed a lot of pressure on Turkey to allow this, also the home politics of Turkey might have also added to this decision, there HAVE been many Kurds in Turkey who have protested that they have not been allowed to fight with their fellow Kurds.   Also Kobane has become the symbol for the Oval of the fight against IS.   As the article notes the US had dropped weapons and other equipment for the Kurds.    The Oval and its allies can not afford to see Kobane fall, there has not been that much success in the bombing of Syria and Iraq, a win of Kobane by IS would be a PR disaster.   There will be a lot more bombing of Kobane before it ends.