Monday, September 23, 2019

Warren's ROAD to the OVAL OFFICE - US Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

This is a two man/woman race, the presumed front runner VP Biden faces a great challenge by Senator Warren, she is now leading in Iowa, and if you read the above article, she has a great local operation, also she is from Mass, thus close to NH.  They get their TV coverage from there, so she is well known.   The question is what does Biden do, it's  a very simple answer, he moves to IOWA AND NEW HAMPSHIRE, he can not afford to lose these two States in 2020, if he does it could be OVER for Biden.   The former VP should be in people's homes over the Christmas and New Year period in the two States, in fact the voters of the two States should be sick of his face by the actual contests in February 2020.  DOES BIDEN HAVE it in himself to WIN.   There can be no more political gaffes, he has to take the fight over the Ukraine to Trump, show that one on one he will fight Trump and beat him.  Expect more polls from Iowa and New Hampshire over the next few months. 

Iran Crisis - Update 1 - Middle East - US Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

Let's be CLEAR, Ronald Reagan was one  of the greatest Presidents in US history, and as Lady Thatcher said won the cold war without firing a shot.  As the article notes Reagan used US Armed Forces when Iran attacked US interests, the President understood that bullies have to be countered, and let's be honest he tried to talk to Iran, thus Iran - Contra, when that did not work and Iran was shown to be a bad actor in, Reagan responded attacks from Iran  with force, let's recall Reagan's VP won 1988 US Presidential Election, no VP had successful won the Oval after a two term President in 152 years and nonce since.  Donald Trump will never be a REAGAN, he will be lucky to win  a 2nd term, he is the modern Neville Chamberlain and the Middle East is the modern Munich.  If you appease you LOSE in all kind of ways. 

Trump and the Ukraine - Update 1 - US Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

When it comes to foreign policy of the US President has vast power, even if he asked for dirt on the Biden family from the Ukraine Government it is not illegal, the Congress is equal to the Presidency, it is NOT above it.   An issue as to whom can see Presidencial calls would have to get to the US Supreme Court, and even then the US House might LOSE, the Republicans have backed the US Supreme Court will their Judges, the Democratic House would look weak and foolish if it lost an argument before the Supremes.  The Biden camp is fighting the charges from Trump, but also in a recent poll it was 2% behind Senator Warren in Iowa.  If Warren can make the case that she can take on Trump, then Biden might find he no longer be called the front runner.  VP Biden should spend all hit time in Iowa and New Hampshire, if he loses those States to Warren in 2020 he could be finished. 

Labour's MIXED MESSAGE on Brexit - Brexit Update 1 - General Election 2019?


Lets Get Real:

The HARD REMAINERS within the Labour Party will be furious, they will be stuck following the Party line, well those in the leadership otherwise during a general election the Party will be accused of mixed messages.  At least Corbyn has held on to his real view, it can be argued that Corbyn is a firm HARD BREXIT supporter if he was not leader of the LABOUR PARTY.   It is expected tomorrow that the High Court will state that the suspension of Parliament was illegal, and thus the House of Commons will be recalled.   This would be unfair on two levels, it's a political decision to suspend Parliament and also the Conservative will not have had their conference, it will be easy to see if the HIGH COURT is full remainers, it would be very unfair to allow the Lib Dems to have their conference but deny that to the Conservative Party.