Friday, October 31, 2014

Hagel and Syria - War on Terror 2


Lets Get Real:

Thus another Secretary of Defence is protecting his backside when it comes to Syria, the Oval will have to face the fact that the War in Syria and Iraq is not going well, the air strategy alone only works in the mind of President Obama.   Thus if you judge a President by his actions, one has to say President Obama has been a failure when it comes to Syria, his disaster of the  red lines speech started the process, when Obama said that if the Assad Regime used WMD it would be a red line, then did nothing when Assad used WMD gave the impression that the Oval and the US was weak.   The decision to remove ALL US troops from Iraq will be seen as a equal disaster, the removal allowed IS to take over vast areas of Iraq and become a threat to the Capital, Baghdad.    The fact that the Hagel memo leaked shows that Hagel does not want to be blamed for Syria or Iraq, loyalty costs in Washington D.C. 

IS Draws more Fighters - UN


Lets Get Real:

In many ways IS is a bigger threat than Al Qaeda, it has developed a State structure and has its own PR departmenet, they recruite exteme Jidadists from around the World and fund their operations through the selling of black market oil.   The UN and Western Countries have to develop a plan to stop people going over to Syria and Iraq, and then stop the money, its the money that is allowing IS to have a PR department and to gain more supporters.   The NSA should tackle the IS websites and bring them down, make it harder for the IS to get its message out, the NSA has done it before when it wanted to prevent leaked secrets coming out.  The UN should Countreis should agree a naval force to prevent IS getting its oil out.   The more money IS has, the bigger the threat, the time for action is NOW by the WEST. 

Kobane Update - War on Terror 2


Lets Get Real:

The resistance in Kobane needs Western military support, as noted in the linked article there are complaints that Kobane is taking away troops from other areas in Syria.   Thus 24/7 news has been quite on the Kobane front as there is not much  movement, Turkey is still doing nothing, and Western air campaign is helping in the resistance of Kobane, its a mini Stalingrad, but there is no plan for success.  If the Oval wants the Kurds and the FSA to be the ground forces of the West Obama needs to place US/UK Special Forces in Syria to help the rebels over the next few days and weeks as to allow the West to train FSA rebels.   Otherwise the battle of Kobane could last well in to the new year. 

Wednesday, October 29, 2014

Israel vs, The Obama Administration - War on Terror 2


Lets Get Real:

The tensions between the Obama Administration and Israel is not new, THE Oval wants a two state solution, it would love to have as a legacy  a Palestinian State in place before President Obama leaves Office in 2017.    The view from Israel is that the Obama Oval wants to sell out Israel to get a nuclear deal with Iran at any price.   The article notes that the Obama Administration does not think that Israel would strike Iran without the support of the US, well Israel has hit other States in the Middle East without telling the US, Iraq in 81 and Syria in 2007.   The Israel has the Israeli lobby in the US Congress, if Israel does strike then they will get support from Democrats/Republicans in the House and Senate, any Obama sanctions would be revoked.   One gets the impression that both sides are waiting for new leaders to come along, tense time ahead then for the relationship. 

Will Secretary Kerry be fired ?- War on Terror 2


Lets Get Real:

The Oval Office is looking for someone to take the blame for the disaster that is the 2nd Obama Administration when it comes to Foreign Policy.   In essence the White House is saying that Secretary Kerry is not the voice of the President of the United States.   This blog warned the Oval that is was a bad to hire Secretary Kerry, lets recall Kerry has been a Lt. Governor of his State, then a leading member of the US Senate, he was the 2004 nominee for the Democratic Party, he lost to Bush 43.  In pure political terms he is a major political player in his own right, thus it can be suggested that he follows own lead, then has to get back in line with the White House.   One can only wonder what Secretary Kerry thinks of the above remarks, if your the US Secretary of State the power you have comes form how close you are to the Oval and if you advice is taken on board.   If your seen as a lose gun, then when you argue with foreign powers they will wonder are you speaking for yourself or the Oval.   The political clock could be ticking on Secretary Kerry, the question is who will the Oval want as his next Secretary of State. 

Kobane Update - War on Terror 2


Lets Get Real:

The news from Kobane does not sound good, to really go after IS the West needs trained Western troops, UK/US special forces who have seen action in IRAQ, and have done house to house combat.   The sending of FSA/Kurdish support troops has the feeling of being done at the moment, with no long term planning by the those that are sending them, it can be postulated that the Oval is waiting for the Mid Terms to be over before sending trained Western troops to Iraq and Syria.  One has to hope otherwise this is going to be a LONG WAR, well in to a new US Administration in 2017.    The IS fighters are tough, they are being paid by IS, the terror group makes money from the selling of black market oil, has that been stopped, NO, it is still going on, thus IS have millions to spend, the West needs to cut the money to IS, starve them of funds, curb their power to pay their terrorist troops.   The West has to win in Syria. 

Monday, October 27, 2014

The IS threat to US Air Strategy - War on Terror 2


Lets Get Real:

The above is WHY that US and its allies need ground forces to take down IS who might have the above missile systems, a air strategy alone is doomed to failure, even if you take out IS in Syria and Iraq you need ground forces to take and hold the land, otherwise you take out one group of IS terrorists to see them replaced by other IS terrorists.    The Kobane siege and it is a siege is a classic example that you need trained forces on the ground to match the air war. IF IS can start to take out Western planes the alliance will get smaller with every successful attack on a Western plane.   Thus to prevent losing the ground war the US and its allies should send in special forces, this is the only way that the West can win, and its about winning at the end of the day.