Sunday, August 31, 2014

NEVER TRUST the Russian Bear - Ukraine Crisis


Lets Get Real:

There is a high chance that there will be a full scale war between the Ukraine and Russia, this is of course what Russia wants,  any fight between the two will be a one sided affair, a total Russia invasion would see Kiev under Moscow control with a few hours or days.   That is not the question, the question is what will the West do then, it will have to increase NATO troops in the Baltics and Poland, it will have to see that  a new Cold War has broken out, the New World Order after the fall of the USSR would have come to an end,  that Russia would be seen as a major threat to Western and Eastern Europe.    If the West wants to STOP this it has to draw a line in the Ukraine and mean it, that the security of Western Ukraine has to come under the protection of NATO.    Otherwise we entered a New Cold War 2. 

EU and Russia - Ukraine Crisis


Lets Get Real:

It seems that modern Western leaders DO NOT READ HISTORY, the League of Nations failed in the 1930s because it could not enforce collective security, what is the point of being in the EU for the Baltic States and Poland IF Russia should take action there and the EU does nothing.  Lets be very direct here reader, can you see the EU coping with a full Russian invasion of the Baltic States or Poland.  Of course not, it would be down to NATO, the last thing Obama wants in WW3 or a small scale version on his legacy.   Thus the more Putin pushes the more chance of a strategic mistake by either the West or Russia.     The West should say it will arm the Kiev Government with latest up to do date arms, also it should state that West Ukraine is a no go area for Russian troops, back that up with clear red line, place NATO troops on that line, its drastic, risky, and Putin might not think that the West or Obama are serious,  that is not the point, he would have to think very hard, also it would change who rules of the game.   The above is DRASTIC, its better than waiting for Russian forces to be on the Polish border. 

Amerli Siege Broken - Iraq Crisis


Lets Get Real:

One has to assume while the US airpower hit IS terrorist targets the Iraqi Government and Kurdish Forces had ground help from the US Special Forces and the SAS.   Ever since the US started to strike IS forces have been pushed back, thus one can see why the UK upgraded its security level, the leadership of IS might think that since they can not take on the West in Iraq it might start to hit Western targets, as a way to show they can still hit back.   IS is a threat to the Middle East and the West, it can not be contained, thus Obama sooner or later will have to give the green light for the US planes to hit IS targets in Syria, the Oval did not help itself by stating that the US didn't have a strategic plan when it came to IS in Syria.   This is the kind of thing that worries voters. as the Pentagon stated it has plans for everything, it is just waiting the go order from the Oval.   IS will be a long term fight, they have 2 billion in cash, through robbing banks and criminal schemes through the areas they control.    They will strike back, depends when and where?  Western intelligence needs its eyes and ears open, time to bug everyone if that what it takes to protect Western security. 

Into the Dalek - Doctor Who Review


Lets Get Real:

This was an interesting episode, the teaching colleague of Clara, Danny Pink is an interesting intro, is he the future boyfriend for Clara, how will the Doctor react to that and that Pink is a ex Soldier, this anti Army thing has to be handled with care by the BBC.   The UK still in Afghanistan and are doing flights over Iraq, also lets recall the Doctor served with Unit in the 1970's, so will Clara call him out on that and also he destroyed his home planet, he was lucky he got a 2nd chance with that issue.   The episode had some classic moments, the Doctor and Clara being ( spoiler ) in to the Dalek, the slap that Clara gave the Doctor because he would not give the Dalek the chance to change.  Who? keeps saving those that would have died because of the direct action of the Doctor, tea is always good!! The ending was dark, the new good Dalek saying that the Doctor was a good Dalek.    Is the Doctor a good man?, does it matter, he tries to do good, it would be a boring 12 weeks if he just drank tea, would get in to a fight with the teapot after a while!!  This Doctor is developing, building the character, makes Saturday fun again, but also makes you think, that not bad for 45 minutes. 

Saturday, August 30, 2014

US, Ukraine and Greater Russia - Ukraine Crisis Part 3


Lets Get Real: 

At the end of the day its the Oval Office that will decide what happens in the Ukraine and the Middle East, the question is can President Obama do what it takes, can he get over his ego and place ground troops in Syria and Iraq to push back IS, will he arm the Kiev Government as to allow it to defend itself.     One has to say at present the answer is NO to both ideas, the Oval is stuck back in 2003 and the invasion of Iraq, the reason POTUS was elected for his first term in 2008 was down to his opposition to the Iraq War, now the game has changed and the President is stuck in the past, he can not see the real world as it conflicts with his ego, an ego that can never be wrong, he does not want to be Bush 43, at this rate he will make Neville Chamberlain look good, that is a club that Obama does not want to be part off, time for him to read up on THE HISTORIES of President Kennedy and Reagan, they knew when to talk and when to be tough, time for Obama to find his inner Camelot and hold a big stick against the enemies of the US. 

EU and the Ukraine - Ukraine Crisis Part 2


Lets Get Real: 

This is the TIME for the EU to show if it has ambition to be  a REAL STATE, what happens when Russia turns it eyes on Poland, and other former Soviet Satellites, either the EU can ACT as one when it comes to the defence of its interests or it is NOTHING.  TALKING will get you know were with Putin, he stated a few days ago that Russia was a nuclear armed power, not the most subtle warning.    Thus the elites in the EU have to grown up and defend its interests, this is the TEST for the EU, either you want to be a State or you are a talking shop for windbags.  TIME TO CHOSE EU. 

Russian invades Ukraine FOR REAL - Ukraine Crisis


Lets Get Real:

It is time for NATO members to support Ukraine with arms that will allow them to fight Russia and its small scale invasion, a full Russian invasion would see the Ukraine fall within days, this would bring Russia close to Poland a NATO member, the last thing NATO or the EU needs is Putin breathing down its neck, thus better to arm Kiev and keep the Russian Bear contained on the other side of the Ukraine border.    The lack of leadership of POTUS and the EU has allowed Russia to take the Crimea and if the West is not careful they will take the Ukraine.   Putin wants a Greater Russia,  this threat will not go away, time for the West to find its backbone and fast.