Wednesday, April 26, 2017

No TV Debates - Campaign Trail 16 - GE2017


Lets Get Real:

Jeremy Corbyn is a FOOL, he has fallen in to the Conservative TRAP, the Conservatives can now say that since Corbyn will not appear with the other opposition candidates then the PM will not appear.   The Corbyn Campaign better up its game or it will go down to the biggest defeat in UK political history, the UK will become a ONE PARTY state in till 2030.  The Conservatives have to stress that Corbyn is a risk to national security, that he would rise the taxes of the people, that it is always the Middle Class that get hit when there is a Labour Government.  Also he will betray the EU vote in 2016, Corbyn is the best asset the Conservatives have at the moment. 

Is North Korea planning for WAR ? - North Korean Crisis


Lets Get Real:

With both the US and North Korea doing War drills it only takes a mistake to start a war, the US and South Korea have to be careful that they do not talk themselves in to War, the worry is that North Korea takes the US drills as the first stages of war planning.  Of courses the US and South Korean drills can not be called off, that would be what North Korea wants and blackmail would win, the US and South Korea should increase it defence skills, make clear that the US and its allies will do what it takes to defend the alliance in Asia.  The Trump Oval should be on the phone to China, telling them they need to be even tougher on North Korea. On the UK's news shows stated that the North Korean Crisis could be compared to the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962, IF it is its a slow Crisis, lets hope it remains below boiling. 

New Polls - Conservative LEAD - Campaign Trail 15 - GE2017


Lets Get Real:

Thus two polls that have the Conservative Party on 49%, that is not a bad start for a six week Campaign.  It will be interesting to see the polls after the political parties release their manifestos, that might effect the polls, the Labour Party has a MAJOR PROBLEM, the leader does not support having nuclear weapons and would never use them if he become the PM.   The Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats support the UK having its nuclear weapons, thus Labour offers a good target over the next six weeks, the UK voter wants to be protected from the likes of North Korea, and thus do not trust LABOUR, no matter how much the put up the wages of Nurses and Doctors.  On the whole a good week for the Conservatives. 

North Korean Update - North Korean Crisis


Lets Get Real:

The hope by the Trump Administration is that North Korea gets a clear message, this far and no further when it comes to its testing of nuclear devices and its ICBM's.   The problem is that North Korea might have stopped listening even to its biggest ally in the region, China.   It is interesting to postulate what North Korea wants, does it want direct talks with the US, does it want food for its people, thus far in public North Korea has been quiet on that issue.   Of course the taking of American hostages could be a crude attempt to get the US to talk to it directly, to show that a nuclear powered North Korea can make even the might US listen.   Thus it would be interesting to send Former President, Bill Clinton to Asia, that might happen to contain a visit to North Korea, this could lead to back channel talks. 

Tuesday, April 25, 2017

New Poll - Campaign Trail 14 - GE2017


Lets Get Real:

This is another good poll for the Conservatives, there have been a couple of them, BUT, a single poll does not make victory, it is snapshot of voters on a given day, thus Conservative HQ and Conservative supporters have to carry the message, the Labour Party could win with a small turnout, thus as stated many times in this blog the Party has to get its base out, and also those that want a hard Brexit, let's get it done, the Labour Party is all over the place, it is hard to place Corbyn's previous comments within the present policy, he does not think there should be immigration controls, thus in essence the Labour Party has a policy while the leader has been very quiet today.   The UK voters want stable and strong leadership, the Labour Party would be the coalition of the left and the extreme left, with SNP controlling the strings. Thus only one vote counts, that is a Conservative VOTE. 

The Labour Policy on EU FALLS APART - Campaign Trail 13


Lets Get Real:

The Labour Party is ALL OVER the place when it comes to the EU, it is split by a MP majority who want to reverse the 2016 vote, and a minority who want to leave the EU, while a majority of its voters also want to leave.   The London centric view of the Labour Campaign could lead to its downfall in the 2017 General Election.   It can be postulated that its leader is really a outer but stuck with a MPs who want in and would be rather run by the EU.   If the Labour Party wants to avoid destruction in the polls it must get away from London and talk to real voters. 

POTUS and the the US Senate - North Korean Crisis


Lets Get Real:

IF the Trump Oval want to be tough on North Korea, it is a good idea to get the Senate over, they will leak as soon as the meeting ends.   The Oval should stress that the US can not allow another nuclear test, or a ICBM test that works.  A nuclear powered North Korea with a ICBM that holds a nuclear device would be a threat to Asia and the US.   China of late has been very helpful, they do not want a nuclear war going on in their backyard, radiation does not care about land borders, thus China must be the BAD COP, threaten the Regime, turn of its lights if it will not listen.   China can not allow the impression to grow that it is weak in the face of North Korea's game playing, that would be an internal threat.  Of course once the US and South Korean War games finish the tensions in the region could return to normal, of course that depends if North Korea understands the hard messages from China and the US.