Sunday, October 20, 2013

Did President Obama WIN? - 2nd Term Blues


Lets Get Real:

Thus standing still is not winning folks, its a bit like trench warfare of World War One, winning is not just keeping the line, its actually moving miles not inches, the Oval has kept ObamaCare but the infamous sequestration is still in place, the planned movement on immigration reform is DOA in the House, the Republicans need to keep together on something, immigration reform is seen a Democratic WIN, so do not give them any wins, if the Oval wants to play hardball then the Republicans have to become better trench fighters, the main point for Republicans is to keep the House after the 2014 Mid Terms, gain more Senate seats or even retake the Senate. If the Democrats want concessions on the sequestration, the Republicans want major cuts in the welfare state, that is the main objective of the tea party movement.   The Republicans should remained their Democratic friends, if they have any. that they face re - election next year, the Oval does not, thus time for some distance between the Oval and the Hill.   Politics never ends folks. 

The FAILURE of ObamaCare - 2nd Term Blues


Lets Get Real:

Folks, IF ObamaCare was WORKING, we would be getting a the FULL PR spin, the fact the Administration can or will not say how many people have actually enrolled in ObamaCare and how many of those are young and healthy shows that behind the PR it is a disaster.   The funding for ObamaCare comes from the young and healthy paying in to the system to offset the costs of those with a pre existing condition or old.  If the majority of those enrolling in ObamaCare are not young or and healthy then there is no funding for the scheme.  One can see President Obama wanting more money for ObamaCare or even an increase in the tax you have to pay if you do not want the scheme.  The major row will come next year folks, small business operators have started to cut hours for workers, if an employee works more than 30 hours then the employer has to help fund ObamaCare, the answer folks, cut the hours your workers work, do not offer health care and dump them in to ObamaCare, the costs in the majority of the States would make your eyes water folks.   Thus it would be ironic folks, if ObamaCare was defeated from within, the Congress will not give more funding, if the Oval tries to rises taxes as a penalty on those without ObamaCare the Democrats will be in REAL political trouble.   The Democrats have forgotten one thing folks, the young like free music, free tv, and free newspapers, they get very upset if they have to pay for them, thus the great row about pirate sites for different art and news content.  Yes folks, the Democrats might not understand their natural base. 

The Left of the Left - 2nd Term Blues

The Nation: As this take on the recent US Government shutdown and debt ceiling rise deal, that is seen as a defeat for the Republicans, " Surrender? Any more “victories” like this and Democrats will end up paying tribute into the GOP’s coffers. ".

Lets Get Real:

In this perception the WIN for the Oval was ALL PR, as the new deal confirms the cuts agreed to in 2011 by the President and the Congress, the sequester is a a major concern to Democrats, they really want to ease up on the cuts, the Republicans if they are smart can play the Democrats on this, and try and create a division between the the Oval and House and Senate Democrats.   Lets recall folks, there are the 2014 Mid Terms next year, the Hill wants to bring home the bacon for their States and Districts, thus what are Democrats willing to give up, a delay in ObamaCare for a year, as its not working folks, the Obama Administration has not released the number younger and healthy Americans who have singed up, they need this group to pay for the ObamaCare.   If those that have singed have a pre existing conditions or older, the Oval has a problem, the Republican House will not fund ObamaCare any more than passed by the Democratic Congress, thus ObamaCare might fail due to its internal paradox.    Thus the Republicans need to play tough in Budget talks, not give an inch, and try and cause a division between the Oval and Democrats on the Hill.   This is why politics is an art folks.