Tuesday, July 16, 2013

The US and Egypt - 2nd Term Blues


Lets Get Real:

One has to wonder what the Kerry State Department and Oval was thinking, did you really expect a warm welcome from the Muslim Brotherhood, the Oval went on the golf course while Morsi was being overthrown, the Oval has no interest in seeing Morsi back in power, the Muslim Brotherhood was a threat to Egypt and Israel in the long term.   The Morsi Government was removing the democracy that got them elected, it can be argued that they would have revoked the Peace Deal with Israel in the long term as to keep support of the Arab street.  Also Morsi was getting in to bed with Iran, that is no go area even for this Oval. What was surprising was the real politic of the Obama Oval, Kissinger could not have done a better job at the height of his power, the one exception being that Kissinger knew his subject and care how the US was seen in the Middle East.    While the Obama Oval has kept his nose out of the Middle East, he lead from behind when it came to Libya, and allowed the UK and France to lead.   The Obama Oval sees US interest in the Pacific, the problem is folks that a Middle East Crisis out of control, with no US role can cut off OIL, the West is still in the wake of the banking collapse of 2008, it can not afford a major hit.  Thus folks keep a close eye on the Egypt and Iran, they could be major flash points over the next few months. 

The Conservatives and Labour Neck and Neck - New Poll


Lets Get Real: 

The surge in Conservative support folks is due to the fact that the Conservative Party has moved to the right, it is pushing through a Referendum vote on the EU for 2017, it is going after welfare, and lets be honest, the UK has had great success in sports, from the Lions winning in Rugby, the 1st British  Wimbledon Champion in over 70 years, the 1st Ashes Test won by England, and of course the SUN is out, one wonders when the rains are going to come.   Also the economy is not like the PIIGS nations, its not great but not in the toilet, thus folks the voter is giving the Conservatives a 2nd chance, lets see if they can gain more support, of course this poll could be a rogue poll, lets see others, also 2015 in election terms is a lifetime away folks.   There will be more rainy days ahead folks, lets see who gets washed away.