Biden has small LEAD over Warren in New Hampshire - Election 2020

CNN - Politics: Reports on a new poll, " Biden stands at 20%, with Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts at 16%, South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 15% and Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont at 14% in a tight race for second place. "

Lets Get Real:

This is good news for VP Biden, at last he is ahead in a early voting State.  The last few polls from Iowa and New Hampshire have not been good for the former VP, he leads in the national polls, but that will not matter when you get to voting in Iowa and New Hampshire in the Cold of Winter.   The Biden Camp must be worried that the hearts of liberal Democrats are will Warren but they do not trust her to win against President Trump, one has doubts that even Biden will win against an angry President who has just been impeached by the Democratic House.   The Biden Campaign has to keep its lead in New Hampshire and try to win in Iowa, if Biden could take both and then go to his strong hold of SC then he could run the map and win the nomination, that is a LOT OF IFS of course.  There will be more polls!!.

14% LEAD for the Conservatives in new poll - GE2 - General Election 2019

Sky News: Reports " Conservatives enjoy 14-point lead over Labour - poll..A YouGov poll for Sky News suggests the Tories will benefit from Farage's decision to stand aside in seats they are defending.  "

Lets Get Real:

A poll likes this worries this blogger, it breeds over confidence by Conservatives on the campaign trail, it would be better to think you are 10% behind, the 6% in a previous poll should worry the Campaign, the manifestos of the Parties are not out yet, let's see what the Labour Party offers and how they will they pay for it, the Conservatives have to give the message that the Labour Party would ruin the economy, it would be the 1970s all over again or the 2007/08 GREAT RECESSION.  With the Brexit Party out in 317 SEATS the Conservatives have clear field, they should try to avoid losing seats, the straight Labour and Conservative marginals are a different matter, the voters who want BREXIT, should vote Conservative to get Brexit, otherwise you are voting for a Corbyn Government. 

Labour GAINS in new POLL - GE1 - General Election 2019

Guido Fawkes: Reports in its 2.50pm post the following, " The latest Survation poll has the Labour Party creeping up, gaining three points in one week to 29%, and squeezing the Tory lead down to six points, with the party resting on 35%... Survation was the most accurate pollster in 2017…  "

Lets Get Real:

This is a troubling poll for the Conservatives, it cuts their lead from over 10% in previous polls to 6% in the survation poll.  The survation poll was closes to the result in 2017.   The Conservative Campaign has to up its campaign, really go after a message of how BAD a Corbyn Government would be to the UK, from the economy to national security.   The Labour spending packages has to be seen as a tax killing manifesto, also that the Middle Class and the Working Class would be hit.   Also the UK does not want another HUNG PARLIAMENT, that would mean years of stalling by the Remainers within the House of Commons.   The Conservatives have to keep on message, hit Labour HARD, the old stuff on Corbyn is not working, it has been factored in by voters, the future has to look bleak if Corbyn is in No 10 Downing Street.