Saturday, December 26, 2009

The HAMMER in Iran

The Washington Post: Reports that the Regime in Tehran will bring down the hammer on those that dissent from the regime if they do not stop protesting. Thus the Tehran regime is in a race, it needs the nuclear bomb or its leaders will be hanging from the nearest yard arm, thus its in their interest to rebuff the Obama Administration and run towards the bomb. Once they have the bomb the Obama Administration will have to try to contain them, also it will have to contain Israel from taking military action. If it gets to this point the Democrats on the Hill will bail on Obama, they will not want to be seen as weak as Obama, because by this time Obama would have become another Jimmy Carter, a political dodo in other terms, his agenda would be dead on the Hill, and the Republicans could have a chance of retaking the House, and gaining more seats in the Senate. Also like Carter, Obama would fail to win re-election in 2012. That is the real nightmare for Democrats in 2010.

2010 is about IRAN

RCP: An Excellent article by Mr Krauthammer of the WP on the failure of the Obama policy towards Iran, and how Iran will be central to US Foreign Policy next year. It will be interesting folks what the UN Security Council comes up with when it comes to sanctions, any thing weak and it becomes very hard for POTUS to stop an Israeli attack, if this is the end result, Iran will take action in Iraq, thus any US withdrawal would be over, in fact the US could end up sending more troops to Iraq to support its existing forces. Also Iran could try to prevent oil getting to the West, thus the US Navy could see action in the region as they did in 80s under the Reagan Administration. The problem for POTUS is that Tehran needs the bomb for the Islamic regime to survive, it needs that ace in the hole, or one day Obama will get that call that there is a full scale revolution in Iran, thus Obama might want to deal but Tehran has learned the lesson of the USSR, when the Cold War came to and end the USSR was the last casualty. The government in Tehran needs the USA as an enemy and it needs the bomb, not in that order, but the same effect. Thus the first few months of 2010 will show what road the the world is going to go down, either Tehran smells the coffee and takes a risk and does not go nuclear or Israeli hits to prevent a nuclear armed Iran. Those are the stark choices folks, there is no third way.