Did Israel Strike Syrian Convoy ? - Middle East 3

Telegraph: Reports more on the unconfirmed report that Israel has hit a Syrian convoy that entered Lebanon,  the article notes the following, " An Israeli military spokeswoman declined to comment on the report, which was carried by Reuters and Agence France-Presse news agencies ". 

Lets Get Real: 

Thus folks due to the lack of anything out of Syria, Israel, or even the UK/US one can take it as read that it happened, it would great to have had a confirmation from CNN, SKY, or BBC News,   thus lets see if there is a reaction by Syria, or if the US and Israel take further action, lets be clear folks, the innocent deaths in Syria does cause alarm and concern, but at the end of the day a terrorist group with the WMD's of the Assad Regime is more serious for Israel, and the West. If and its a BIG IF, the Assad Regime has lost control of its chemical weapons the Oval will have a brutal choice, either allow Israel to take out the threat or take action, there are no easy and quick options folks.   Thus this blog would not be surprised if the US has to take out some Syrian sites due to the worry that Assad will or has moved his WMD's in to the hands of terrorists.  Watch this space folks. 

Syrian Chemical Weapons and Israel - Middle East 2

Guardian: Reports on a report that Israeli planes have hit a target on the Syrian/Lebanon border, the article notes the following, " Unconfirmed report of attack comes as Israel monitors region for possible chemical weapons convoys leaving Syria for Lebanon ".

Lets Get Real:

The Israeli Government will not allow terrorists in Lebanon to get hold of chemical weapons, if this was to happen Iran would suddenly become the 2nd threat to Israel.   One would assume that the Mossad of Israel, the CIA of the US and MI6 from the UK will have eyes on the ground in Syria.  The gradual destruction of the Assad Regime allows for Islamic terrorists groups to get their hands on weapons of mass destruction, and folks these groups will use these weapons.    Thus lets see if there 2nd confirmation for this story, it would up the crisis in Syria, the Assad Regime could use it for good PR, from their point of view it would be the Jewish State attacking them for a 2nd time of late, the last major attack was in 2007, when Israel prevented Assad going nuclear.   Think folks if Assad had the bomb, he could blackmail the region and the West.    Thus Israel should keep an eye on Syria, from the ground to the air, but get it right, do not hit a innocent convey, one can assume that the Oval has drones ALL over the Syrian chemical sites in case they have to be taken out, the next few weeks and months could be critical folks. 

Is Egypt about to Fall ? - Middle East

Telegraph: Reports on the riots in Egypt, the article notes the following, " Egypt is nearing "state collapse", its defence minister and army chief warned in comments widely seen as a threat to re-impose military rule. ".

Lets Get Real:

If the new Egyptian democracy falls then the Oval has a problem, the Muslim Brotherhood on one hand as kept Gaza quiet, thus Israel has not invaded, but and here is the BUT, the secular liberal groups in Egypt see that the Muslim Brotherhood is a threat to the secular liberal nature of Egyptian society in the urban areas.    Thus the constant demonstrations, the Army is worried that it might lose its economic interest in Egypt and also lose US support.    The Oval wants the Muslim Brotherhood Government to keep Arms from getting in to Gaza from Iran, but also keep the peace deal with Israel, the Muslim Brotherhood on the other hand is trying to move Egypt in to another Iran.    Thus a problem for the Oval.  It has kept very quiet so far.    Thus the outcome folks, one can assume at some point the Oval will give the green light for the Army to take over and secure the Country, Democracy has it place folks, but Israel is under threat from Gaza, the civil war in Syria and when the day arrives that Iran has the bomb, thus the Oval might decide that the Army is it's SOB and look the other way when it comes to democracy, that how the game has always been played in the Middle East folks, it took POTUS a long time to learn that lesson. 

Obama's Drones in Niger - Mali Crisis 2

Guardian: Reports on a agreement between the US and Niger to place US drones in Niger, the article notes the following, " ..US only currently desires surveillance drones to be deployed to Niger though the agreement could pave the way for more aggressive armed drones in the future. ". 

Lets Get Real: 

Thus West Africa is the new battle ground between the West and Al Qaeda terror networks, the use of drones has been very effective in Afghanistan and Pakistan, even if innocent people have been killed, the question is how long before UK and US Special Forces have to be placed on the ground,  drones can only do so much folks.    The terrorists have a lot of space to hide, so one day in the near future it will not surprise this blog to hear that UK and US Soldiers and fighting and getting killed in West Africa.    The growth of a franchise Al Qaeda has been a major failure of the Bush 43 and Obama years,  this battle will take years folks, and as Mali shows a Crisis can develop out of nowhere, even this blog had to find out about Mali, it was not on this blog's map of future crisis points, thus far we have seen French, UK and now the US one way or another getting caught up in the fight, lets hope UK and US Soldiers do not have to die for French mistakes. 

The West African Crisis - Mali

BBC News: Reports that the UK Coalition Government is sending 330 UK military personnel to West Africa, with 40 going to Mali. 

Lets Get Real:

When this blog hears military advisers it thinks Vietnam War in the early years, as this blog stated in a tweet, this is VERY bad idea, the French so far have given us nothing so they can secure and deal problems arise form their colonial past.    The terror threat is real folks, and France as a major power should not need help from the UK and the US, not after the French Government stabbed the UK in the back over Iraq.   Thus far the French forces have been successful, it wont last folks, the Arab Spring has thrown the chess game of the region on the floor and the pieces have been taken up by Al Qaeda and those terror networks with links to the group.    The fall of Gaddafi of Libya has released Islamic terrorists back on to the street, but also given them access to weapons.   This latest action by the UK Government will not end well folks, lets see the public reaction should any UK Soldiers be killed in Western Africa due to this action. 

Kerry for State - Senate Confirmation

The White House: Has a Statement by POTUS on the confirmation by the US Senate of Senator Kerry as the next US Secretary of State.  POTUS states the following, " I am pleased that the Senate has confirmed John Kerry as our next Secretary of State with overwhelming bipartisan support.  From his decorated service in Vietnam to his decades in the Senate as a champion of American global leadership, John’s distinguished career has prepared him to guide American diplomacy in the years ahead.   

John has earned the respect of leaders around the world and the confidence of Democrats and Republicans in the Senate, and I am confident he will make an extraordinary Secretary of State.  I look forward to his counsel and partnership in the years ahead as we ensure American leadership in the world and advance the interests and values that keep our nation strong.  ".

Lets Get Real:

The question is will Kerry have any real influence, it has been said that the outgoing Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was not part of the inner Obama kitchen cabinet, and she nearly beat POTUS in 2008 for the Democratic nomination, so what real power base will Kerry really have with POTUS.   At State Kerry will have to deal with Mali, the crisis in Mali and the neighbouring States is growing, thus the UK sending 350 Soldiers to Africa, with 40 going to Mali, how long before US Special Forces as requested by the French, there is a lot of sand to cover if the terrorists are going to be taken down.   Then is Israel there is the developing prospect that Israel will hit Iran, and Iran will hit US Naval interests in the area, the Civil War in Syria is endless, even if the CIA is moving weapons from Libya to Syria to help the rebels.   There is the growing tensions in Egypt, the attempt by the Muslim Brotherhood to make the secular Egypt another Iran, while the Oval hopes that Egypt keeps Gaza quiet as to prevent Israel invading it, then we come to the US drone strikes, the UN has started to look in to drone strikes, lets see if they take on the Oval.   The State Department only has influence if it is close to the Oval, one can assume that while the PR will be at State the real power and the action of the US will be taken by the Oval.