Monday, July 08, 2019

Warren on the move in the POLLS and the MONEY FRONT - Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

Let's postulate that Biden is one of the two contenders for the Democratic nomination, let's also postulate that the Sanders Campaign goes nowhere, the question is where does the Sanders voters go, they could end up supporting Senator Warren.   The Senator is full policy ideas and is also not taking big money but getting along from small contributors.  The Democratic voters must know that Trump will tear Warren apart, she is so LEFT, she makes Lenin look like a Adam Smith supporter.   Thus in essence the Democratic supporters have only once choice, they must support VP Biden.    Thus if the above is right, we have endless  months of a phony war, of course it depends on the above being RIGHT!!  This blog hates being WRONG!!

Iran in BREACH of the UN Nuclear Deal - Iran Crisis


Lets Get Real:

The more than Iran breaks the nuclear deal with the UN/Europeans/China and Russia, the more chance that Saudi Arabia and Israel will see it as a threat to their common defence interests, and thus strike Iran before they get the bomb.   As noted in this blog and by many others, Israel struck Iraq in 1981 and Syria in 2007 when they perceived a nuclear threat from these countries.   The fact that Trump was so WEAK when Iran shot down a US drone might push these countries to form a very odd alliance, using Israeli and Saudi planes and Saudi Arabia as an airport to strike Iran.   In pure political terms, it would be easier if the US did hit Iran, otherwise you could see a regional war, with Saudi Arabia and Israel on the one side and Iran on the other.   This kind of war could close down the persian gulf, thus a threat to Western economies, as was the tanker wars in the 1980s.  The Trump Oval should place more economic pressure on IRAN, make Tehran come to the diplomatic table and to behave in the modern world. 

Trump Surges in Poll for WP - Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

The Democrats by their words at the debate have helped the Trump re-election campaign, the idea of giving medical cover to illegal immigrants is not popular, the fact that the leading candidates for the Democratic nomination want to get rid of private medical cover has gone down faster than the Titanic, and the Democrats do not stop.   After the mistake on debate of supporting such a move Senator Harris had a clean up operation the following day, but the damage was done.   The Washington Post/ABC News poll found that the only Democratic candidate that can beat Trump is former VP, Joe Biden.   The problem is that VP Biden has to get through the Primary contest, and it can be assured that the left wing candidates will go after Biden on race.  The fact that Trump has been so weak on foreign policy should help the Democrats, the Biden Campaign has jumped on the Trump weakness comes to North Korea, in fact Biden looks tougher on North Korea than Trump, that should help Biden with a moderate Democrats and even Republicans in the general election of 2020.