Monday, October 30, 2017

The Russian Connection Part 3 - Russian Scandal - Trump Era


Let's Get Real:

When do American politicians and staff learn never to lie to the FBI, the clever ones just say they can not recall, the prosecutor can not nail you for perjury if you have a BAD memory, how ever much they do not believe you, this worked for Ronald Reagan during Iran - Contra and HRC with her scandals.   Those that think they are brighter than the FBI land themselves in trouble and cause problems for their political Masters.   One will see how much damaging information Mr Papadopoulos has on the Trump Campaign and Administration.   This will be  LONG fight, it will take years. 

The Allegations against Paul Manafort - Russian Connection - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

One should recall that the Watergate break took place in 1972, the resignation of Richard Nixon was in 1974, and Trump is no Nixon, he will fight and he has the money and base support for this to last years. When it comes to Iran Contra, it broke late in 1986 after the Mid Terms, Reagan and his staff did a great job of dealing with the legal and political aspects of the scandal, at the end Reagan got a slap on the hands for bad management skills, while Bill Clinton and his scandal took up 1998 and only came clean when he had no choice.   The Democrats best hope is that they take the House and Senate in 2018, otherwise it does not matter what they want, the Republicans will stall in till 2020, there is already talk that Trump will not run for a 2nd term, with his poll ratings that could be a good idea, he does not want to be a LOSER.   This story is far from over.

The Russian Connection Part 2 - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

They say history repeats itself, well it seems that the Trump Campaign did a 1968, in that year Candidate Richard Nixon got the South Vietnam Government not to enter talks with the US and North Vietnam for a peaceful end to the Vietnam War, this lead to the election of Nixon in a very close election.   The question you might ask why bring up that NOW, well it can be argued that the Watergate break in of 1972 was Nixon wanting to know what the Democrats had on Nixon and the events of 1968.   Let's look at the background of 68, LBJ knew that Nixon had been playing dirty games, but did not go public with the news as this could lead to a Constitutional crisis, thus he kep the information to himself, in other words he was making sure that Nixon treated him with respect in his Post Presidential years, well Nixon wanted to know who else knew about 1968, thus the DNC break in, and of course we have Watergate and the resignation of Nixon in 1974.    The actors change but events do seem to follow a pattern, one wishes those in politics knew a bit of political history!!

The Smoking Gun of the Russian Connection ? - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

There were other charges, as the BBC notes, first up Paul Manafort, Trump's former Campaign Manager. " Initial headlines on Monday morning were about Paul Manafort's indictment for money laundering and undisclosed foreign lobbying activities. The real blockbuster, however, may end up being George Papadopoulos's plea bargain, which was disclosed shortly after the Manafort news came out.It depends who else is caught in the Russian net, those close to the President could place the President in the frame, this time Trump can not say that his Campaign or Administration had no contact with Russia, as the above proves, also his son in law meet with Russian lawyer who said she had dirt on HRC, also Mr Manafort was present.   Vice - President Pence could find himself President by the end of the year, think what happened to President Ford, he was Vice - President but then took over after Watergate finally broke Richard Nixon.  One thinks that Trump is a fighter, they will have to drag him from the White House, those darn Dems might just have a point, would thought this blog would say that today. 

The Russian Investigation - Trump Connection ? - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

As noted by others today the Trump Oval is trying to divert attention from the first charges brought in connection with Russian actions in the 2016 Presidential election.   The Special Counsel has to be careful, the charges better have some connection to Trump and the 2016 election, it can not be just slim connection, if the Trump Oval sees a way to sack the Special Counsel it will, also are the charges the start or the end of the investigation, how far along is the case, will there be more charges, it all depends on what happens later today.