Tuesday, January 12, 2010

That Kennedy Senate Seat ?

Boston Globe: Reports on the close race to fill the Senate Seat of the late Senator, Edward Kennedy, the article states the following, " But the most striking.......is that they are both viable candidates in a race too competitive to call. In Massachusetts! " Thus we have the Obama effect, from health care reform to Afghanistan, it is hurting Democrats, here is my prediction, the old Democratic machine will win out, if the Republicans win will give five pounds to New Labour. The race should be a warning to other Democrats, don't think your re-election is assured, President Obama might cost you your seat in the House or the Senate.

Obama at 46% Approval

CBS: Reports on its new poll that has POUTS below magic 50% mark, the poll has Obama on 46% approval and 41% disapproval. Even the elite media has started to smell the coffee when it comes to Obama, a network like CBS would be loathed to produced a poll like this, but it follows a tend in other polls, in the months leading up to the Mid Term Congressional Elections in 2010, the Obama White House has to stress jobs, jobs , jobs, if the US voter gets the impression that POUTS is distracted by side issues they will punish the Democrats in November, the Republicans could retake the House and eliminate the Democrats control of the Senate. This blog is keeping to its prediction that Obama will either lose his re - election bid in 2012 or will decide to bow out and spend more time with his family. At the end of the day President Obama is no Ronald Reagan. Lets be more brutal, Obama does not have the political skills of a young Bill Clinton. In 1994 Clinton after the disaster that was his push for health care reform lost the House, but he came back to win re-election in 1996, Clinton could move with the political wind and win, Obama is stuck like glue to his Agenda, an Agenda that could make him the next Bush 41, a one term President. This year will see if Obama is either Carter or Reagan.

Guantánamo Bay Detainees - NO MOVE - SA

The Hill: Reports that the Obama Administration will not transfer Guantanamo Bay Detainees to Saudi Arabia in the future. The problem faced by the Obama Administration is that it cant risk any more Gitmo prisoners returning to the terrorist fight, if they release more prisoners and there is a terrorists attack the Obama Administration is over in political terms. Its an aspect of American politics that Democrats are seen as weak by the American voter, if the terrorists think that Obama is weak they will start to move the War on Terror from Afghanistan and Iraq to the United States. Thus Obama is in a tricky position, he has give the US Foreign Policy a new face for the World after Bush 43 in the eyes of Democrats but it cant be seen as weak, that can be tricky thing to manage. Thus still holding to my prediction that Obama will either lose his bid for re-election in 2012 or not run at all, he will want to spend more time with his family.