Monday, April 22, 2019

Is Sanders the MAN to BEAT? - Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

It could be Senator Bernie Sanders year, he came close to beating HRC in 2016, and the Democrats are seeking someone who is very liberal, well he is a Democratic Socialist, also on the monies front he is leading the other candidates.   The question is can he beat POTUS in a general election, the answer is NO, the fly over States are never going to elect a Socialist, there was a good joke in 2016, Sanders went to the USSR for his honeymoon and never came back, it is a good joke because its hurts and accurate.   One can Conservative Democrats in BLUE State not been that keen to vote for Sanders, either voting for someone else or not voting.  One can be sure that President Trump hopes that Sanders is the Nominee, he will paint the Senator as a Marxist, very much like Jeremy Corbyn in the UK.  Of course VP Biden is yet to enter the race, the polls will change when Joe Biden makes it official.   Iowa and New Hampshire always important, will be more important, in cutting down the field.  When Biden enters the race there will be 20 Candidates for the Democratic nominee.  This could help Sanders, he just has to win, not big, but enough to get close to the nomination number.   The Democratic delegates have to vote for their candidate in the first round of ballots, but in the 2nd they are free to go for who they think can win, Biden could win that way.   Biden could be a real threat to Trump, but are Democrats clever enough to chose him, the candidates will have to get the political knifes out just to shine in the pack of candidates.  The race could go all the way to the convention, that would be good TV if not good for the Democrats.  How about Mayor Pete as the nominee and Sanders for VP, not as foolish as it sounds, it could happen. 

The Democratic Race in New Hampshire - Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

A Century ago, well it seems like that, Beto was the golden boy, the man to take on POTUS, well he seems to have dropped to POLITICAL EARTH.  The fresh face and with a good war record is Mayor Pete, he also happens to be gay, that works in the Democratic field.  The Democrats could have the first openly married gay as their candidate.  On the plus side, Mayor Pete has managed a big enough town, thus has management experience, he has served in Afghanistan, and comes across as clever without being cocky.   The downside is the fact that he talking liberal talking points, wants to get rid of the electoral college etc.  The UK Guardian had scathing article about him, in essence the charge that was thrown at Gary Hart in 1988, Where is the beef?, the the Guardian article suggested he was a empty suit with no firm ideas.   In essence he does not pass the liberal purity test, liberal since birth.   It is expected that former Vice - President Joe Biden will get in to the race on Wednesday, it is about time, Sanders is starting to look like the leading candidate, he leads in the polls. Biden will have to hit the ground running, he needs to spend a lot of time in Iowa and New Hampshire, being a former VP does not cut it, he has to re-sell his brand name, and move the political talk to the centre, he has to make it clear if Sanders is the nominee then Democrats will lose in 2020, no way in God's earth will the US vote for a Democratic Socialist in 2020.  It would be another four years of Trump. 

Impeachment, The Democratic Base vs. The Leadership - Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

CNN has been pushing impeachment since the Mueller Report came it, the problem is that voters on the whole seem disinterested, you have the fanatical liberals who just want to impeach, the wiser heads the LEADERSHIP establishment know what happened to the Republicans when they impeached Bill Clinton 1998, they lost seats in the Mid Terms of that year.  Speaker Pelosi after getting her old job back does not want to lose it because some political fanatics just want political porn, the House with a Democratic majority could impeach, the question is will a new members from Conservative States support the move, could it lead to a split within the Democratic Party.   If the Democrats do impeach, it could be a bonus for POTUS, he could argue that the Mueller Report and the US Attorney General found his innocent of collusion and obstruction of justice and that liberals have gone more unhinged after that.   Even if the House does pass Articles of Impeachment, the Senate will say NO, then POTUS will be found innocent.   Then Trump will tarnish those Democrats running for President who support the move. This could lead to the Republicanas retaking the House and keeping the Oval Office.  ARE THE DEMOCRATS THAT STUPID. 

President Trump increase pressure on Iran - Middle East/Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

The Trump Oval goes after anything with a Obama trade mark on it, thus its assaults on ObamaCare and to the deal between the US and Iran over its nuclear plans.  For a President very much following an isolation policy, trying to get the US out of Afghanistan and Iraq, the Trump Oval is placing enough pressure on the Iran regime to force them to take action against the US, then one assumes the US will take out the Tehran Regime, that is only a guess, but a good guess if you follow the logical road map.  This blog supports the Trump policy, it does not trust Iran for a second, one assumes that they are building some kind of nuclear structure, out of sight of US intelligence.  One assumes that the CIA has a operation in IRAN to follow any Iran breakout in the nuclear field.   The White House does not want to be surprised one morning with the news that Iran has tested its first nuclear bomb.   When it comes to intelligence in the Middle East, this blog trusts MOSSAD, Israel's intelligence network.  A couple of years ago this blog read an article that stated that Israel with Saudi Arabia had plans to attack Iran if it ever got the stage when it could test a bomb, one does wonder if there are talks between Jerusalem and Saudi Arabia for a joint attack on Iran if it passes the nuclear stage, it would be better if they did it, rather than the US, they have the money and military knowhow and will be given fresh weapons if they run out.  This is a story to watch this YEAR.