US, Iran vs. Israel - 2nd Obama Term

The New York Times: Reports on the diplomatic style of US Secretary of State John Kerry, the article notes the following, " To critics, Mr. Kerry’s eagerness is an open invitation for the Iranians to press for concessions as the talks enter the final stage. "

Lets Get Real:

One gets the impression that Secretary Kerry is following the path of British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain who thought he alone could prevent War with Germany, thus the Munich agreement allowed Hitler to take over part of then Czech Republic, before marching in to Prague later.  Chamberlain like Kerry and President Obama was arrogant, clever people always think they know best, its others who suffer when they turn out to be wrong.   Thus Israel should make it clear to the Oval Office if they think the deal is wrong they will take action no matter what the Obama wants or thinks.    A Israeli attack on Iran would force US politicians to make a choice, would they support Israel or Iran, if they want to get re-elected they will support Israel, Obama will be out of Office in 2017, the Israeli lobby will be around for longer. 

Israel and the US - The Flawed Relationship - 2nd Obama Term

Telegraph: Reports " Benjamin Netanyahu arrives in Washington on mission to thwart Iran deal..Israeli prime minister says he speaks for "the entire Jewish People" in attacking possible nuclear deal between US and Iran, ahead of speech to Congress "

Lets Get Real:

This blog is fair, lets see what the deal is between the Oval Office and Iran, any Treaty requires the approval of the US Congress, and the Congress will be extra tough on this deal.  If its not a Treaty but just an understanding between the US and Iran its not worth the paper its written on, are Democrats really at the end going to support the Oval Office no matter what, a flawed deal would be seen as a disaster for the US and a win for Tehran.   The Tehran Regime want to see an ease up in sanctions, there economy has tanked, thus they will appear to deal, but as pointed out by opposition groups last week the Tehran Regime can not be trusted, they have secret bunkers in which they pushing their nuclear plans.   Politics will decide how Democrats react to any deal, if the US voter says NO, then any Obama agreement is DEAD in the water, politics is brutal but simple. 

What NEXT in the New War on Terror - Iraq

Guardian: Reports the following on the Tikrit operation, " The long-promised battle for Tikrit and the province of Salahuddin, north of Baghdad, is set to be a dry run for another offensive, backed by the US-led international coalition and Shia militia, to retake Isis-controlled Mosul. "

Lets Get Real:

The prize for the new Iraqi Army and Government is the retaking of Mosul, but the price comes with costs, the attack has to be successful, the Army can not run away if there are problems, the US air force will have to have close co-operation with the land forces as to help in the house to house fighting in Mosul.   The Iraqi Army will also need support from US Special Forces, as the Iraqi Army will be attacking Mosul with the help of Iran it places the Oval Office in a fraught position, the the Israeli and US relationship is fraught to say the least, the Israeli Government sees Obama as selling out to Iran over a nuclear deal, thus the more the Oval is seen as in the same bed as Iran the more chance that Israel will attack Iran without telling the US.   The reason that the US needs Iran is simple, the Oval in 2011 left Iraq without leaving behind US troops, thus the growth of IS in Syria and Iraq.   Thus a threat to the region.  Mistakes have results even for a Nobel Prize winning President. 

Target Tikrit - New War on Terror

BBC News: Reports " Iraq has launched a military operation to recapture Tikrit, the hometown of former leader Saddam Hussein, from Islamic State (IS) and its allies. "

Lets Get Real:

If the new Iraqi Army can push IS out of Tikrit it will be a tactical victory for the West, on Strategy that is another matter, as the article notes the Iraqi Army is being helped by forces from Iran, thus when it comes to IS the US and Iran are on the same page.   This raises problems for the Oval Office, while the US and Iran are fighting IS in the Middle East they are having talks about the future of Iran's nuclear ambitions, how far can the Oval push Iran, when it needs Iran to buck up the new Iraqi Government, and what will the Allies of the US think that the US and Iran are in bed together in the MIddle East.   The politics of the Middle East are always murky, never more that NOW, lets see what the Iraqi Army can do in Tikrit, next it will be Mosul, and the Iraqi Army will need the support of the US in the air and on the ground.