Tuesday, March 24, 2015

When to SPY on your Friends - US and Israel


Lets Get Real:

The best people to spy on are your friends, they can be worse than your enemies.  Israel has to worry that the Obama Oval will sign any deal with Iran to get a decent 24/7 news cycle.   The liberal left wing media have shown contempt for Israel for years, they are more interested in the creation of a Palestinian State and the are pro Arab when it comes to the Middle East Peace process.   The Mossad of Israel are the best in the business, they sometimes go over the line, when it comes to British interest and subjects there are lines that Israel should not cross, if you have to annoy anyone go after other European Countries.    As Israel is not part of the talks with Iran they have to use old methods to get the important information, then they can get the Israeli Lobby to lobby the US Congress to say NO to the agreement between Israel and the US/UN.   Friends can sometimes hurt more than enemies, you do not expect to be sold out by your friends. 


The downfall of Yemen - The New War on Terror


Lets Get Real:

The Obama Administration has a problem, the Tehran Regime is supporting Iraqi Forces against IS, on a pure tactical level that works for the Oval Office, at least is not Western troops fighting IS.   On the strategic level this means that the US is on the same page as the Tehran Regime and the Assad Regime in Syria when it comes to IS.   On the other hand Yemen was seen as a successful part of the Obama foreign policy, that has gone up in smoke. The Gulf States do not trust Iran, and because the Oval wants a deal so badly the Gulf States do not trust the Obama's America.    It will be interesting to see if the Gulf States take action, this would mean that other US allies will threaten any deal with Iran, it can be postulated that Iran will place pressure on the US to make sure its Gulf States allies do not act, power playing in the Middle East can be complex. 

When your Finished your Finished - David Cameron and being PM


Lets Get Real:

This was a tactical mistake by the PM, all the runners for the leadership will want to make sure that their elbows are bigger than any opposition, and that is just the Conservative Cabinet.   Also it was a statement that undermines the confidence of the voter, if they vote Conservative they are voting for David Cameron to be PM, now they will start to think that if they vote Conservative they will face a soap opera for the leadership within a few years.  On the strategic level its a mistake because the leaders of the other political parties wont say the same thing, they will rubbish the move, also as stated the maths is against PM, he will not get a second term, this will lead to a Conservative defeat and a call for a leadership ballot.   This blog will start to look at the Labour Cabinet after the May election, of course Ed Miliband will be the PM, the question is does he have the power to move Ed Balls from No 11, otherwise it will be a return to the Blair/Brown years of conflict.