Wednesday, May 07, 2008

McGovern Message, Clinton GET OUT

CNN: Reports that an early supporter of Senator Clinton, former Democratic Nominee in 1972, Senator McGovern has asked her to get out of the race. How can can she justify keeping the race going, the Democratic Party wants it finished, well the leadership wants it finished.

Clinton Out ?

Fox News: Reports on the pressures for Clinton to get out of the race. Perhaps Obama should offer the VP spot to Clinton and help her with her campaign debts.

It's over, NOT YET, Its the Clintons after all!!

New York Times: How Indiana and North Carolina results has give the pundits the excuse they have wanted to tell the Clintons to get lost!!

Money talks and weeps!!

New York Times: Reports that Clinton is lending her Campaign 6.4 million dollars again, throwing money in to a dry hole ( no oil term ) is a very bad idea, and your own money even more so, Clinton can not win, how much price Impeachment before Bill takes her Cheque book away.

Praise of CBS News

New York Times: Reports on the early call by CBS of the vote on Tuesday. This is a post in praise of that decision, when looking at the returns I called Indiana for Clinton. Although my projection was out, the call was right. So tipping of the hat to CBS News.

The Future of the 08 Race and the Media



Lets see what the Media thinks of last night's result:

New York Times: Reports that Obama is going to be the nominee and that " His supporters look more and more like the McGovern-Dukakis constituency, and the walls between that constituency and the rest of the country are higher than they were weeks ago. " The article points out that both Obama and McCain have to get voters that have not made their minds up. But as the past has found, it is a lot more easier to move from the right to the centre that it is to move from the liberal left, just ask Presidents, Mondale, Gore, Kerry!! McCain has a great advantage over Obama, it has to be noted that a minority of white working class voters will not vote for a black candidate, sad but its the truth. Thus Obama has to get more of these Independent voters than McCain.
Reports that Camp Clinton wont give up, next phase change the rules so Clinton can get Florida and Michigan in, that will be tough to get through, Obama will fight tooth and nail. On the whole does not look good for Clinton.

The 08 Race

The final result was as following:

Indiana

Clinton 51%

Obama 49%

This was a good result for Obama, close race, didn't allow Clinton to build up her vote total. Thus Obama has a healthy lead. Obama has to keep the popular vote lead up to June 3rd. If Obama can keep the popular vote and Delegate lead then he has the nomination.

North Carolina


Obama 56 %

Clinton 42%

A healthy victory over Clinton, North Carolina could be the state that hands the nomination to Obama in the long term.



01.05am

37% of the vote in Indiana. Clinton 56%, Obama 44%. Very close to that Survey USA Poll. See past post.

12.55am

33% of the vote in Indiana. Clinton 57%, Obama 43%. I am taking a punt, Clinton margin of victory of about 10%. Clinton seems to be keeping a forty thousand margin between herself and Obama. Depends on urban votes. So Clinton by 10%. NC no idea as yet.


12.49am
I think Clinton will win Indiana but its the margin. So I am calling Indiana for Clinton. NOT THE MARGIN.

12.43am
Fox has called North Carolina for Obama, Indiana still not called. Also the NC margin is very important, if Obama can win big, lot harder for Clinton to fight on. NOT CALLING THE MARGIN.