Monday, March 15, 2010

Out of Left Field - 2010 Mid Term Elections

The New Republic: Argues that the Obama White House needs to follow the 1982 Reagan model for the Mid Term Elections, that Obama needs to follow the Reagan message of " staying the course." Its an interesting perspective but is let down by a view out of left field, the article states the following on the Obama message so far, " But Obama (has ) been reluctant to stigmatize George W. Bush and the Republicans--perhaps out of a spirit of bipartisanship. " In less I have been asleep for year that all Obama has done since January 20th 2009 is to blame Bush 43, from the economic to foreign affairs, lets be clear Obama is no Ronald Reagan, he lacks the ability to tell a story, the American story, Reagan as an ex actor new that it was important that the audience or voter understood the overall message if not details, Obama is all about details, thus his obsession with health care reform. As recent elections have shown the Obama magic touch has gone out of the window, some of his staff see him as the second coming, Mr Emanuel is the exception to that rule. Thus when it comes to a clear simple message the last person you need is President Obama, his own intellectual arrogance complicates the message and can lead to the Republicans taking over the House. The real political world will hit the Oval when the Republicans are in charge of Congress and just say No to Obama, as POTUS said himself, elections have consequences, the question is will Obama be Reagan or Mondale in 1984.

NYT on HCR

The New York Times: Has an Editorial that comes out in favour the Senate version of health care reform and attacks Anti Abortion Democrats in the House, the liberal NYT states the following, " Anti-abortion Democrats need to show similar statesmanship and accept the Senate’s restrictive provisions. They owe it to all Americans. ". On this specific aspect of HCR the liberal NYT is right, if and when the House does pass HCR it has language that is weaker on abortion than at present and would allow for women to get abortion via government funds. In this one case the liberal leadership was right not to cave to conservative Democrats, the Government should fund or help with abortion costs. Thus on this specific issue an salute to the liberal NYT.

If they Deni, ITS TRUE - White House

CNN News: Reports on the rejection by close Obama Aide David Axelrod of tensions between himslef and Obama's Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel. A rule of thump folks if Government denies a story take it as fact, so there is political tension between those that worship Obama as the second coming and the real political operators such as Mr Emanuel. It comes down to one issue folks, that is health care reform, the Obama worshippers want to push HCR through even at the cost of losing the Hill to the Republicans, they only see Obama, while Mr Emanuel sees the next election, that is the Mid Term Elections in November being a disaster for Democrats. As stated after the Congress passes HCR the Obama White House will have to sell the Act, interesting notion to sell tax hikes and forcing Americans to buy insurance. That is why Obama will be a one term President.

216 on HCR - NOT YET?

RCP: Reports that Speaker Pelosi does not have the House votes yet to pass health care reform. When you come to news reports about the vote count you believe the side you want to win, it can be argued that Speaker Pelosi would not delude herself and more important the White House that she had the votes if she didn't have the votes. The lack of votes could be a ruse to get more votes beyond 216 to make the Speaker look good, also give cover to moderate and conservative Democrats. As stated the Bill will pass, the Democrats in the House don't have the political common sense to get the fact that Obama is throwing them over the cliff, Pelosi and Obama are safe when it comes to re-election, moderate and conservative Democrats are going to go over the cliff and there will be no nets to save them from political reality. Thus in 2010 Mid Term Elections the Republicans will retake the House and lot of Democrats will be looking for jobs.