Sunday, November 30, 2014

Is Obama a Lame Duck President ? - 2nd Term Blues


Lets Get Real:

Ever since the Reagan Presidency ALL 2nd Term Presidents have wanted to be a Reagan, the one that got close was Bill Clinton, thus how does this blog grade 2nd termers, simple really, who is their successor, in the case of Reagan it was Bush 41, this showed that the Reagan Era had the support of a majority of Americans, if not then the Democratic nominee would have won the election.   This blog would argue that Clinton got close because his VP, AL Gore won the popular vote but lost his home State, if he had kept a eye on his own State as President Clinton told him then he would have won the Presidency.   Both Presidents, Reagan and Clinton had a VP who wanted to run after them and they supported their VP for the top job.   That is not always the case, lets recall the famous or infamous remark by President Eisenhower when reporters asked him what had Nixon done in the two terms, the President stated if they gave him a week he would think of something, hardly helpful.   But at least Eisenhower, Reagan and Clinton were not afraid to have  a VP who wanted the job, both  Bush 43 and Obama had Vice Presidents that were not a threat to them in the long term, they would not go off the reservation if it helped them in political terms.   Both Bush 41 and Gore needed some distance between themselves and the boss, with Bush 41 it was Iran - Contra and with Gore it was the affair that Bill Clinton had with an intern, the added problem for Gore was the view that Clinton was a negative on the campaign trail, that was not the case with Reagan.    Thus they ALL want to be the Gipper, few get close but none are really the Gipper. 

Is Turkey a base for IS - Middle East Crisis


Lets Get Real:

Thus Kobane is under attack on four sides, the worrying aspect would be if Turkey becomes a base for IS, lets recall Turkey is part of NATO, thus the West needs Turkey to be secure, it does not want or need for Turkey to go down the road of Syria and Iraq.  One expects the Turkish security system to come down hard on IS supporters in Turkey and to prevent IS causing problems for the Turkish people and government.  IS is a cancer, it is about time for the US to consider placing US troops in Turkey to prevent any future problems there now or in the future.   Kobane has to be held at all costs by the Kurds and its allies, a loss would be a strategic disaster.  

IS Update - Middle East Crisis


Lets Get Real:

The fight for Kobane has become a symbol for the fight between the Kurds, Free Syrian Army and US air power against IS.   Kobane is a destroyed mess, but as long as the Kurds and its Allies defend the town, the more it shows to others including the Iraqi Army that it can fight IS on its own ground.   One has to assume that US and UK Special Forces are part of the fight, helping the US target IS positions on the ground.   The winner of Kobane will win a strategic victory and a PR VICTORY, that is why the fight is still going on, for the Obama plan to use air power alone this fight has to be won, otherwise Syria AND Iraq will need Western forces to take down IS.