Thursday, February 11, 2010

Iran and the Bomb?

The Daily Mail: Reports on the statement by President Ahmadinejad that Iran is now a nuclear state, President Ahmadinejad also stated that Iran has enriched its uranium by 20%. The year long search by President Obama to have talks with Iran has failed, the question is what now?, either Obama takes action or Israel will take military action. The first step for the Oval is to get tough sanctions through the UN Security Council, but as posted China is saying NO. Thus the US and its Allies might have to take independent action, the question is will these sanctions work and will it have any effect on Iran. One can postulate that these sanctions will fail, then what, well it comes down to military power, that is the choice for Obama, either US or Israeli planes attacking Iran. What Oval cant have is Israel taking action, this could lead Iran attacking US forces in Iraq. This would open a new War for the Obama Administration, thus its better a US attack, as Iran would be told that any return action and the US will remove the Tehran Regime by what ever means. The US will not play around with Iran, it wont be the Iran - Iraq War, the US reaction would be fast hard and ruthless. Thus interesting few weeks ahead folks.

China vs USA

Fox News: Reports on China's refusal to back tough sanctions on Iran. In this case the Obama Administration has to be careful, China is the banker for the USA, the Obama Administration needs China to buy its debt. The US economy and the Obama Presidency needs China to keep the debt of the US and to buy more of that debt. The day China says NO and sells the debt at a loss to make the point could see the end of the Obama Presidency. Thus President Obama by his own spending has risked the national security of the United States, from his economic package to his push for health care reform has placed US in the hands of China. Of course China has vast economic interest with Iran thus does not want to lose its money in this economic climate, who can blame them, thus President Obama will find that he will have to take tough action without China and the UN. As noted in his Nobel speech President Obama stated the he kept the right to take independent action for the security of the USA. Thus a blocked UN Security Council and the lack of power to force to China could mean that Obama ends up being another Bush 43.

Tehran Today

The Times: Reports on the failure of the dissent movement today in Iran, on the anniversary of the 1979 Revolution the Tehran Regime owned the street, that ownership was through violence but they won. The Green movement has to decide does it want to win, it can only win by armed unrest, it has to take up arms, the Obama Administration should funnel arms to those in dissent in Iran. The CIA as it did in the 80s in Nicaragua should cause havoc to the economy of Iran, also the CIA should support a Government in Exile, fund it and make sure they have one aim, the destruction of the Tehran Regime. The day Iran gets the bomb the game changes, it will be like North Korea, the Obama Administration will have no choice but to talk under threat of blackmail, but the difference between Korea and Iran is Israel, Israel will not allow a nuclear armed Iran, thus that will leave two bad choices for Obama, either Israel takes action or the USA will have to attack Iran. That simple and brutal folks.

Reconciliation Process - Speaker Pelosi

RCP Blog: Reports that the liberal Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi will use reconciliation process to get health care reform passed. The Republicans should start to pray that Speaker Pelosi is that foolish, the Republicans can then state that since the Democrats have used this parliamentary trick of 51 votes in the Senate they will block all the Obama Agenda. Then as the health care reform act has all the bad bits at the start, tax hikes and mandatory obligation that all Americans buy health care the Republicans should have one message for the Mid Term Elections, repeal the Obama/Pelosi Act. If the Democrats force this through they will lose the House and the Senate and Obama will not win re-election in 2012.

Death in Afghanistan

MOD: Reports that a British soldier died today in Afghanistan, the soldier was from the " 1st Battalion Coldstream Guards ". Thus since 2001 the UK has lost 257 of its Armed Forces Personnel in Afghanistan, of that total it has lost 224 in combat operations and 33 due to illness, accidents or other incidents. The cost of the War in Afghanistan gets more bloody by the years, 2010 will be more bloody than 2009.