Wednesday, April 08, 2015

Yemen and Al Qaeda - Yemen Crisis Part 3


Lets Get Real:

The US has removed its special forces from Yemen due to the fall of the Government, that Government is in effect exile needs Saudi Arabia to take action, the US drone strikes on Al Qaeda has ceased due to the fact that they no longer have a base in Yemen.   The falling of Yemen in to civil war has helped Al Qaeda grow its influence and also gain land as noted above article.   Thus the US has three points to consider when it comes to Yemen, 1, How far can the US push Iran in Yemen before Tehran calls the nuclear deal in to question, 2, How much support will Saudi Arabia need to take out the threat from Iran, 3, While the above two are going on the terror of Al Qaeda grows and becomes even more a threat to the West.    There is no way the US would send troops in to Yemen, to many sides would like to take pot shots at any US forces, thus the Oval on the whole is following the right policy, support without getting burned. 

The THREAT to the Gulf States from Iran - Yemen Crisis Part 2


Lets Get Real:

The West has no interest in using force in Yemen, after Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya and now Syria and Iraq again to fight the growth of IS, the West it tired of long terms conflict.     Saudi Arabia an ally of the West when it comes to the long term conflict between the West and Iran will have to use its own forces, the US is helping but it worried about the Iran nuclear deal and does not want it linked to other areas.   In this case SA has to send in ground troops and stop the growth and power of Iran through its supported rebels.  The Yemen Civil War is messy and needs a major power to action to keep the balance between the Gulf States and Iran.   Lets see who blinks first. 

Yemen Update - Yemen Crisis

Lets Get Real:
It can be postulated that Saudi Arabia sooner or later will have to send in ground forces, the use of fighter planes to take out the Houthi rebels has not worked, the group is supported by Iran and thus every victory for the Houthi is a success for Iran.   The Tehran leadership if the nuclear deal with the US goes through can cheat its way to a nuclear bomb, very much as North Korea did in the 1990s under the Clinton Presidency.  As was pointed out in the Washington Post the same words to sell the North Korean deal  has been used by the Obama Oval.  One can expect an arms race to start within the region once Iran goes nuclear. 



Miliband's fiasco over Non Doms - Election 2015


Lets Get Real: 

The Ed Miliband speech was ALL political, it will get good press from the elite Guardian and BBC types.   It was shown that the speech was political due to the fact that the Shadow Chancellor Ed Balls stated in January that such a move would cost the UK in the long term.  The UK voter has to wake up, Ed Miliband will say any old rubbish to get the approval of the elite left wing.   Thus the policy that started this morning in a Miliband speech has had blowback, if Labour can not connect the dots while in Opposition what hope for them in government.   It was the Conservative Party that made the rules tougher, even the Liberal Democrats do not want to get rid of non - doms, bad policy and bad politics by Labour.  The BBC will love this kind of speech. 


Ed Miliband and Non Doms - Election 2015


Lets Get Real: