What NEXT for Iran ? - Iran Crisis

Guardian: Reports that the Iranian Parliament has " ..requested a debate on a bill calling for the Strait of Hormuz to be closed to shipping from countries supporting sanctions. ".

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks this blog would not be that surprised to see the Tehran Regime allow some low level attacks on tankers going through the Strait, enough to send the price of Oil up but not enough for the US to launch a massive attack. Thus Shipping underwriters should expect to raise their charges to insure against losses or small level attacks, the Tehran Regime can not afford yet to lose its access to oil revenue, it needs the money to fund its supporters and to allow Iran to become a nuclear armed power. Lets be VERY clear here folks, this crisis is developing, a planned attack or an accidental attack could come with the next few days, the Tehran Regime has seen how North Korea has blackmailed the West with its limited nuclear ability, that is the power Iran wants, its not there yet but its close folks. Lets hope the Israeli intelligence network the Mossad has its eyes and ears open when it comes to Iran, this blog expects Israel to tell the world if Iran is close to the bomb, that might come after an attack, but its coming folks.

The US vs. Iran - Iran Crisis

The New York Times: Reports the following on the developing crisis between the US and Iran, the US " has quietly moved significant military reinforcements into the Persian Gulf ". The US is concerned that the Tehran Regime will try to close down the important oil route of the Strait of Hormuz.

Lets Get Real:

This Crisis might not wait for the US Presidential Election in November folks, the latest EU sanctions on top of the already UN sanctions is starting to break down the civic order in Iran, as the excellent reporting by the NYT has shown all levels of the State have to work outside the system as to keep above water. The local currency has lost 50% of its value, the main growth industry in Iran is speculation, getting rid of their local currency for Dollars and items that will not be effected by a war between Iran and the US. If the Tehran Regime can not pay its supporters then it will need to divert attention and fast, thus the latest idea to close down the Strait, this would be drastic move, as this could be seen as a green light by Israel to hit Iran's nuclear structures, the US could hardly say much as they will have a small naval war going on with Iran at the time. The Tehran Regime wants time to make a nuclear bomb, this is the last thing wanted by the Oval and Israel, thus the present sanctions, the Regime might think it has nothing to lose, it has seen how weakness has overthrow leaders through out Africa and the Middle East, thus it might it is worth the risk, they might think that the Oval would back down from a fight with a powerful Iranian military, the Regime has spent on its forces over the years. If the Tehran Regime can close down the Persian Gulf it will send oil prices through the roof, do they dare, do they have the number of the Oval, it only needs for someone to get their signals wrong for a regional war to develop.

Afghanistan Front News

MOD: Has announced the names of the three UK Soldiers killed on Sunday in Afghanistan, they were " Warrant Officer Class 2 Leonard Perran Thomas of the Royal Corps of Signals, and Guardsman Craig Andrew Roderick and Guardsman Apete Saunikalou Ratumaiyale Tuisovurua of the 1st Battalion Welsh Guards ". Our thoughts are with the families of these brave Soldiers.