Rethinking Egypt - Israel

The New York Times: Reports that political and military leaders in Israel are rethinking their posture towards Egypt should Egypt be taken over by extremists. If Islamic extremists take over Egypt this would be political and military disaster for Israel, what ever Wars Israel found itself in it could always know that it had a peace agreement with Egypt, should that be revoked Israel could face two wars on different fronts, thus from Egypt, Lebanon and Gaza. This is why Egypt has to be treated carefully and hope it works out in the long term interest of Egypt and the West. Otherwise a very different world folks.

Obama/Cameron - Transition to Democracy = Egypt

Guardian: Reports that UK Prime Minister David Cameron supports the latest remarks by President Obama that Egypt should have a peaceful transition to Democracy. One has to wonder if one was a cynic if these remarks are for the historical record if the Army and Police regain control of Cairo and Egypt. In other words, to keep the New York Times, the Guardian happy the US and UK wants it on the record that the leaders did support Democracy but only after discreet info from their own people that the Army is going get heavy with the protests or have ex spook take over as President in a few days. But this blog is cynical when it comes to leaders and international politics, they might actually mean it, another Iran 1979 anyone. There is something in the air folks, the US is getting its people out, one can assume it has gotten the word that the Army and Police are going in heavy, but that is just a guess, lets face even the experts are guessing. Interesting hours and days ahead folks.

What kind of Democracy for Egypt?

Telegraph: Reports that the US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and the UK Foreign Secretary William Hague have called for a peaceful transition to democracy in Egypt. The Obama Oval and the 10 Downing Street have to careful that they don’t breath new life in to the protests, there has never been a democracy in Egypt, a secular liberal Egypt might be wanted by the West but Democracy has a nasty habit of electing people that is a major threat to Western interests, Hitler in Germany, Hamas in Gaza, in other words its not the revolution that is the problem is what comes afterwards, Iran in 1979 was a secular revolution that become a religious revolution, in 1917 Russia you have the 1st revolution that produced a government for Russia that was acceptable to the Liberal West but this was overthrown by the Communists in October 1917. Thus its not the initial revolution that should be the worry it what comes afterwards, does the Obama Administration want to face an extreme Islamic Government in Cairo that revokes the peace agreement with Israel. There is wise remark, don’t nosey in the internal affairs of other countries, it might get chopped off. Give the crisis in Egypt a few days, the West should not be pushed in to action by the 24 hour news cycle, lets see what the Army and police do, if they make a mess of it then have a plan to move to democracy and then pray it works.
　

End Game for Egypt

Thus folks we are at the end game for the revolt in Egypt, as of now, and things can change in a minute it seems that President Mubarak wont be running for the nearest helicopter, the Army from news reports has forced him to name General Suleiman as his Vice - President, the Mubarak Government has been smart and sneaky, it has allowed the protesters to release some stream, while removing the police, this has allowed for looting, this has caused real worry to those in the Middle Class with homes and business, once a Middle Class fears for its own lot a revolution will hit the buffers. The Army of Egypt has played a clever game, it has allowed the steam of revolution to turn in to protest, violet sometimes but peaceful, a revolution has some violence, even the tearing down of the Berlin Wall was a form of violence against the State. This Sunday we have seen the Army move in more tanks and troops and jets, in the nightfall expect the Army and the Police to secure Cairo and other major cities. In this the it can be argued a majority of the people will support the move, they want law and order. Thus what can we expect tomorrow, the Army and Police will gradually reduce the protests, make them smaller, keep them on a secure level. After a decent period, Mubarak will be replaced by Suleiman, there will be elections, free in way but the Army will decides who wins, thus Egypt wins a way, no more Mubarak, and the West keeps a stable Egypt, that is in the interest of Egypt and the West.