Wednesday, October 07, 2015

Clinton risks breaking with Obama - 2016 Election


Lets Get Real:

The Clinton Campaign has to be careful, the Oval Office might not like the fact that next Democratic President is breaking with the Oval Office.    The Obama White House might think that they have nothing to lose by supporting VP Biden for the nomination, at least Biden would understand the need to keep the Oval happy, the President could make it known that if it comes down to a choice between Biden or Clinton the Oval thinks that Biden would be a better President.   This would help Biden with the African - American vote and could sink USS Hillary Clinton.   Also the White House has a year and bit to go, it could help Biden with polices that he supports and cut the ground from under Hillary Clinton.  Lets recall Obama is a Chicago pol. they understand payback.  Interesting time in the Democratic race. 

The Conservatives who care about the poor - End of Conservative Conference


Lets Get Real:

The speech by the Prime Minister was very different than the one this blog expected, the PM hit the issues of security and EU, but then moved to the left, he wants to deal with hard social issues, he wants to reform prisons, he wants more social mobility, in that part of the speech even Labour moderates could agree with, it will be interesting to see how the Conservative Party deals with this call by the PM for action.   Of course at the moment the PM has the wind at his back, he has won a election every thought he would lose, and Labour has elected Jeremy Corbyn, the PM has been very lucky, but there will be tough times, when the tax credits are cut expect the BBC/Guardian types to argue that the speech today was ALL PR, but this PM does care, he wants all the UK to benefit, the question does have the time and the political skill to be successful. 

The Legacy of JFK - JFK


Lets Get Real:

The REAL JFK, is far different from the liberal hero, he was very complex, and only allowed some people to see different parts of his persona.   Of course it was a different era, his affairs, were kept secret by the White House and the press, by doing this the press allowed JFK to think that he could get away with things, that even then would have bought down any other politician.    President Kennedy is heroic, he had to deal with constant back pain, his health condition was also kept secret, it was said that Jackie O thought if he had survived he would have been a in a wheelchair in his 2nd term.   On the World stage Kennedy earned his pay for his actions over Cuba, by not hitting Soviet missiles when they shot down a U2, and doing a secret deal with the Russians over missiles in Turkey.    The major failure of the Kennedy Administration was South Vietnam, the Kennedy Administration gave a green light for the overthrow of Diem, and kept secret the role of the US in those actions, also by the time of Kennedy's death the US policy in Vietnam was a bloody mess. 

Missiles from Russian Ships HIT Syria - Syrian Crisis


Lets Get Real:

As they say in poker, the Russians are going all in, they are putting all their money on keeping Syria an ally and keeping President Assad in power.   The bad news will come and it will come when Russians are returned in body bags, the more planes and troops you have on the ground more a chance that Daesh and other enemies of Assad will try their luck to snatch a Russian and place him or her on the internet.   The Russian people have been scared by Afghanistan, and of late East Ukraine, there is no overall support in Russia for Putin to place Russian troops on the line, the Russian people are not that stupid, even if Moscow has lost the plot.   Risky times for Russia in Syria.